Analysis: Here's Why I Think Kamala Harris Will Win (Not Based On Current Polls)

Black Panther

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Is anyone here voting for trump

@Jasonmask , @O.Red , @Bunchy Carter , and @tuckgod are all Trump supporters.

You thought they were just spewing #BothSides rhetoric for no reason? :skip:


I feel like I'm going crazy, how is OP measuring turnout of an election that hasn't happened yet? :heh:

All I'm doing is an analysis of past voting trends from 2016-2022.

I've been clear that everything I've said about 2024 is speculative, but I base my predictions on recent voting trends.

All it takes is an a$$hole district in Michigan, Wisconsin, or Pennsylvania to disprove my theorem.
 

Thavoiceofthevoiceless

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This thread needed to be made here. Most people in HL already knows this stuff.
You're not going to get the meaningful discussion you're looking for in TLR, so it's better served posting in HL.

Not to mention you're not going to change these posters mind who are voting for Trump or sitting out the election altogether as their mind is already made up.
 

O.Red

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@Jasonmask , @O.Red , @Bunchy Carter , and @tuckgod are all Trump supporters.

You thought they were just spewing #BothSides rhetoric for no reason? :skip:




All I'm doing is an analysis of past voting trends from 2016-2022.

I've been clear that everything I've said about 2024 is speculative, but I base my predictions on recent voting trends.

All it takes is an a$$hole district in Michigan, Wisconsin, or Pennsylvania to disprove my theorem.
I got multiple posts saying fukk Donald Trump, I just don't do this emotional dikk riding, looking for some weird ass purpose in gang banging for politicians with strangers online

You @'ing me and I don't know who you are, and won't remember you an hour from now:mjlol:
 

Black Panther

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You're not going to get the meaningful discussion you're looking for in TLR, so it's better served posting in HL.

Not to mention you're not going to change these posters mind who are voting for Trump or sitting out the election altogether as their mind is already made up.

The glass is half-full. :yeshrug:

Humans are weird; the same folks who said for months--even years--that they were staying home or cutting third party may change their minds at the last minute.

Some of y'all may end up voting just because your job tells you the day before you won't be counted as late.
 

bnew

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You are forgetting one particular detail that is different. In 2020, it was 2 White men running against each other. In 2024 it is a White man vs a Non-White woman.

So we have no clue how this will fully play out among the White voting population until it is all done.

how many times in your lifetime have you seen life long republicans , former and current republican politicians come out and endorse a democrat? not only that they are actively campaigning for her.
 

Kiyoshi-Dono

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Petty Vandross.. fukk Yall
You are playing semantics, what ifs and trusting polls just like Hilary
This election hinges on young people voting, women(specifically white women, Asian women, Latinas, Middle Eastern and others) actually casting their vote for Kamala
You have very empirical proof how the groups I just mentioned vote
White men and ain’t no straight boomer ass white man voting for a racially ambiguous womam
Especially children of Jim Crow or muthafukkas still kicking that were the most flagrant during Jim crow
The reason Biden won was because of all the bullshyt Trump did and people being tired of him
Biden “instilled” a certain confidence because of his previous track record as VP
Welp any good will he had going amongst young voters is gone due to the Israeli/Palestine conflict
Kamala ain’t helping much in that department and is stained by the incumbent she shared a political office with
You mentioned Obama
You fail to mention the reason he won was because of young voters “believing” in “ Hope” and “ Change” and because he was a very gifted orator
Kamala is none of those things and she doesn’t inspire anybody
That wave Obama had was different and he has tainted all his moves and good will since being president
So now you have two really unliked people running for president
The majority of the populace that’s not as plugged in as you so called coli political pundit brehs don’t see the voter apathy
People feel it’s the same shyt just different characters at the podium talking copious amounts of bullshyt
Most people are out here fukked up and worried about how they going to make it today and truly ain’t worried about the political process
You can’t expect a starving person to think about the future while their stomach is touching their backs today
And even still, people know about Project 2025 and still believe in it
So these are the two factions voting
Trying to survive
Wanting that old thing back
Mixed in with a generation that has no reference points to how fukked up things can really be Ie Two Reagan terms, George Bush Sr and Jr terms
That’s a failed state by my moms generation and my generation
And you have a disaster waiting to happen
Yall get on this forum(yes YALL Cletus Cassidy hairline having fakkits) with tunnel vision and skewed rhetoric trying to pass yourselves off as intelligent while omitting a lot of shyt in your arguments
Since you using history and barely touched the surface on Hilary
Kamala and her are one in the same
And if you can’t see how their history’s mesh
Then you are willfully ignorant
And white women gon do the same shyt they did back then
But you nikkas so ignorant to the fact that that same demographic heard that bytch ass nikka admit to open harassment towards women like @Still Benefited and still voted him in
Then had a fukking women’s march after his victory
How Sway
So keep ignoring obvious shyt
This race will be very tight
 
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Thavoiceofthevoiceless

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The glass is half-full. :yeshrug:

Humans are weird; the same folks who said for months--even years--that they were staying home or cutting third party may change their minds at the last minute.

Some of y'all may end up voting just because your job tells you the day before you won't be counted as late.
Whose y'all? My job has already made it clear that they'd prefer me vote on my own time and not during company hours.
 

null

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UK, DE, GY, DMV
big-trouble-if-i-speak.gif


puta gingo america just ain't gonna do it.

sorry

:hubie:
 

Geek Nasty

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I have no clue why the polls show the race tightening. Trump is imploding, every appearance is a disaster, his fans are leaving events early. This all looks like a dying campaign except the numbers.
 

Thavoiceofthevoiceless

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I have no clue why the polls show the race tightening. Trump is imploding, every appearance is a disaster, his fans are leaving events early. This all looks like a dying campaign except the numbers.
Because that doesn't speak for the 300+ million people that live in the US as you will still have people that stick to voting Republican like they always have.
 

Black Panther

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I got multiple posts saying fukk Donald Trump, I just don't do this emotional dikk riding, looking for some weird ass purpose in gang banging for politicians with strangers online

You @'ing me and I don't know who you are, and won't remember you an hour from now:mjlol:

Hit dogs holler :mjlol:
 

Black Panther

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I have no clue why the polls show the race tightening. Trump is imploding, every appearance is a disaster, his fans are leaving events early. This all looks like a dying campaign except the numbers.

That's why I try to ignore them. I feel like MSM/pundits bring up polls to create drama when they don't have shït else to talk about.

Mentioning polls as part of a larger story is one thing, but an entire segment on the latest Ipsos poll = "we couldn't find anything juicy enough to discuss".
 
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