Analysis: Here's Why I Think Kamala Harris Will Win (Not Based On Current Polls)

Black Panther

Long Live The King
Supporter
Joined
Nov 20, 2016
Messages
13,726
Reputation
10,293
Daps
71,454
Reppin
Wakanda
Niggggaaaaaaaaa. :dead:


I never watched one of his interviews but he’s cleeeearly




the-goat-black-guy.gif


I don't want to take away his streak, or his methodology from him. It's impressive.

But he always spends a good chunk of his time glazing himself about the "13 keys" that he's developed and how clever he is. :comeon:

Like nikka, we get it. :skip: Dude is the Punxsutawney Phil of politics at this point.
 

Uachet

Superstar
Supporter
Joined
May 25, 2022
Messages
4,702
Reputation
3,431
Daps
27,378
Reppin
Black Self-Sufficiency
Let's not pretend we don't understand how race works in this country.

If you're half-Black...you're Black.

Of course we understand that he's biracial (like Harris). But I'd feel confident saying 0% of voters in 2008-2012 voted for Obama because he was half-White. :dead:



I am confident Harris will break that barrier too.
I guess we will see. They were so confident in Hillary winning, until the tally was made. So, I will not assume she will win. Seen that assumption made before, and also seen how White women can easily go majority against a female candidate.

Also, don't forget what Biden himself said about Obama, and what it implied:

"I mean, you got the first mainstream African-American who is articulate and bright and clean and a nice-looking guy. I mean, that's a storybook, man."

-Joe Biden
 

TAYLONDO SAMSWORTHY

Veteran
Verified
Supporter
Joined
May 18, 2012
Messages
13,402
Reputation
29,750
Daps
109,950
I don't want to take away his streak, or his methodology from him. It's impressive.

But he always spends a good chunk of his time glazing himself about the "13 keys" that he's developed and how clever he is. :comeon:

Like nikka, we get it. :skip: Dude is the Punxsutawney Phil of politics at this point.


Just watched this:




His grill is horrendous but other than that he a cool cat
 

valet

The official Chaplain of the Coli
Joined
May 18, 2012
Messages
24,789
Reputation
3,940
Daps
53,323
Reppin
Detroit
Trump nail in the coffin was turning on white evangelicals. It was clearly evident in what he did at the RNC.
 

BiggWebb79

You Don't Have The Answers...
Supporter
Joined
Nov 12, 2012
Messages
10,867
Reputation
2,297
Daps
46,751
Reppin
Elm City
It would be close once the votes come in. Biden beat Trump by 8 million votes, how many of those will Trump pill off and how many of that 71 million he got will flip for Harris?
You are forgetting one particular detail that is different. In 2020, it was 2 White men running against each other. In 2024 it is a White man vs a Non-White woman.

So we have no clue how this will fully play out among the White voting population until it is all done.
2022 is an indication of what will happen after Roe was overturned, Republicans lost the mid-term election because of this. Trump will be on the ballot since that decision. He has also lost every election since becoming president. 2018 midterms, 2020 election, 2022 midterms.
 
Last edited:

Black Panther

Long Live The King
Supporter
Joined
Nov 20, 2016
Messages
13,726
Reputation
10,293
Daps
71,454
Reppin
Wakanda
You gotta take Biden out of the equation in your analysis :francis:

Biden is an important factor.

I don't know for sure if she has kept the 2020-2022 Biden coalition together--signs indicate that she mostly has--but it's clear that her becoming the candidate galvanized younger voters, Black voters, and several more groups who were falling away.
 
Top