Analysis: Here's Why I Think Kamala Harris Will Win (Not Based On Current Polls)

Black Panther

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Niggggaaaaaaaaa. :dead:


I never watched one of his interviews but he’s cleeeearly




the-goat-black-guy.gif


I don't want to take away his streak, or his methodology from him. It's impressive.

But he always spends a good chunk of his time glazing himself about the "13 keys" that he's developed and how clever he is. :comeon:

Like nikka, we get it. :skip: Dude is the Punxsutawney Phil of politics at this point.
 

Uachet

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Let's not pretend we don't understand how race works in this country.

If you're half-Black...you're Black.

Of course we understand that he's biracial (like Harris). But I'd feel confident saying 0% of voters in 2008-2012 voted for Obama because he was half-White. :dead:



I am confident Harris will break that barrier too.
I guess we will see. They were so confident in Hillary winning, until the tally was made. So, I will not assume she will win. Seen that assumption made before, and also seen how White women can easily go majority against a female candidate.

Also, don't forget what Biden himself said about Obama, and what it implied:

"I mean, you got the first mainstream African-American who is articulate and bright and clean and a nice-looking guy. I mean, that's a storybook, man."

-Joe Biden
 

TAYLONDO SAMSWORTHY

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I don't want to take away his streak, or his methodology from him. It's impressive.

But he always spends a good chunk of his time glazing himself about the "13 keys" that he's developed and how clever he is. :comeon:

Like nikka, we get it. :skip: Dude is the Punxsutawney Phil of politics at this point.


Just watched this:




His grill is horrendous but other than that he a cool cat
 

valet

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Trump nail in the coffin was turning on white evangelicals. It was clearly evident in what he did at the RNC.
 

BiggWebb79

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It would be close once the votes come in. Biden beat Trump by 8 million votes, how many of those will Trump pill off and how many of that 71 million he got will flip for Harris?
You are forgetting one particular detail that is different. In 2020, it was 2 White men running against each other. In 2024 it is a White man vs a Non-White woman.

So we have no clue how this will fully play out among the White voting population until it is all done.
2022 is an indication of what will happen after Roe was overturned, Republicans lost the mid-term election because of this. Trump will be on the ballot since that decision. He has also lost every election since becoming president. 2018 midterms, 2020 election, 2022 midterms.
 
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Black Panther

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You gotta take Biden out of the equation in your analysis :francis:

Biden is an important factor.

I don't know for sure if she has kept the 2020-2022 Biden coalition together--signs indicate that she mostly has--but it's clear that her becoming the candidate galvanized younger voters, Black voters, and several more groups who were falling away.
 
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