A Blown Knee & Flat Tires-Another NY Pothole Year: 17-18 Knicks Season Thread

storyteller

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https://nypost.com/2018/02/28/frank-ntilikina-displaying-unexpected-versatility-at-guard/

“I’m learning every day,” Frank Ntilikina said after practice Wednesday in Tarrytown. “I want to bring everything to the team. Either on the point-guard position or the 2 position. If coach wanted me to play the 5, I would have to eat, obviously.

:salute:

Ntilikina is a film and homework guy. He studied point guards earlier. Now he is studying shooting guards. He watches a lot of the Raptors’ DeMar DeRozan, not a bad model to pick.

:lawd:
 

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ISO

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Stephen A. is a moron :snoop:

The things Mark Jackson did in Golden State makes him a huge red flag. The man was turning players against each other and bumping heads in the front office, he is more of a motivator than a true X's and O's coach. If its about bringing back somebody on some "once a Knick always a Knick" shyt I rather bring back Jeff Van Gundy or get Doc Rivers.

My list for coaches...

David Fizdale
Jerry Stackhouse, 905 Raptors
Ime Udoka or Ettore Messina, Spurs assistants
Jay Wright from Villanova
Shaka Smart from Texas, he used to have a Brad Stevens aura around him
Jeff Van Gundy
 

ISO

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T'Wolves just waived Shabazz Muhammad. I always liked Bazz but he can't shoot the three well or defend, and doesn't have court vision. Good athletic slasher, has a midrange game, he's good around the offensive boards.
 
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storyteller

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More Frank talk...this time selling his upside at PG over becoming an offball player. I like him playing with a second PG because it gets him more minutes and relieves some stress but I've been disappointed by how much Hornacek lets the other PG run the whole offense. I'm hoping the offball play teaches Frank the value of making aggressive cuts and motion in general. It'll take a longer time to turn him into a pure point but the value is gonna be too high not to push this. Look at those PnR defensive numbers..

Examining Frank Ntilikina’s role with the Knicks

When Ntilikina defends the pick-and-roll ball-handler, opposing offenses score only .6 points per possession, putting him in the 91st percentile across the NBA and ranking him 5th among point guards. Considering that statistic, the Knicks would see much of his impact as a defender go to waste as nearly every pick-and-roll in the current NBA involves the point guard on offense. Frank defends like a veteran at times and seems well-versed on the strengths and weaknesses of opposing point guards, sinking below on screens for guys like Rondo or Ulis and staying attached to more competent shooters like Kemba Walker or Kyle Lowry.

NBA offenses in this era are so heavily relient on the PnR for offense that having a legitimate defender who can shut these down consistently can be gamechanging. Imagine if we lucked into landing Bamba. Frank up top and KP/Bamba cleaning up inside would immediately set us up to be a top ten defense for the next ten years (with some more development of course).

Ntilikina has more tools in his arsenal than just a rangy body with some athleticism. If anything, his athleticism is his most pedestrian trait. Ntilikina does play with physicality, but he also routinely reads screens and opposing players to beat them to their spot. A lost art in defending in the modern NBA, Ntilikina habitually bumps cutters who come through the lane and into his proximity. This simple trick is not only one that you wouldn’t expect from a 19-year-old, but it’s a great tool to disrupt the rhythm of a cutting offensive player or a rolling big man.

That anticipation, recognition and IQ on defense ought to carry over to the offensive end more and more as the game slows down for him too imo. His physicality on defense also bodes well for his aggression picking up with comfort. He's not shy about contact, so as he starts to recognize when he has the step instead of habitually looking for the dump off I expect him to go at defenders more. I've said it from jump, learning to draw fouls and FT's will take his game to another level and it won't require a lightning quick first step because he can go over most PG's. His length and jumper will allow him to be a problem (but be aware that even great offensive players who lack an explosive first step take time to figure out how to create space...D'angelo Russell being a nice example).

Though he’s not the fastest point guard in the league, he still has very distinct advantages against opposing centers, power forwards, and even small forwards when coming off a screen with fervor. Something else that’s noteworthy: Ntilikina’s box plus/minus is -2.4 when shooting five shots or less. When shooting six or more shots, there’s nearly a three point positive swing to +0.3.

I realize advanced stats are a tough sell for some fans but this is interesting for anyone keeping tabs. When he's aggressive, the difference in impact big. I think most would agree that he's increased his aggression gradually.

Although Ntilikina did see a bit of a slump before the All-Star break — a Mauvais quart d’heure, if you will — Jeremy Cohen pointed out a few uplifting stats on Twitter to combat the indictment of the Frenchman’s “rookie wall.” Among those statistics, Cohen points out that since December 3rd, Ntilikina is shooting about 40% from deep; a number that, coupled with video and analysis, seems closer to reality than the early season struggles from beyond the arc for a 19-year-old rookie in the NBA.

Why else might the Knicks want to keep Ntilikina at point guard offensively? Ntilikina is shooting 46% on pull-up 2’s and 50% on pull-up 3’s, per NBA.com. By contrast, Ntilikina is shooting 31% on catch-and-shoot 2’s and 40% on catch-and-shoot 3’s. Having the ball in Ntilikina’s hands, for the time being, generally results in more efficient shots.

This is pretty much the definition of showing flashes. The raw data doesn't capture the facets of the game where he is excelling and showing us real upside. I hope the catch and shoot improves and expect the numbers to uptick playing more with a second playmaker as well; but what's important here is that his jumper isn't broken and we should be confident that it can be a strength.

The advanced stats are kind to Ntilikina. When he’s on the floor, Knicks opponents slow down dramatically in transition and shoot a lower percentage from 3 (and less frequently). Additionally, the Knicks shoot almost 3% better from deep when Ntilikina is on the floor and shoot them more frequently, per Cleaning the Glass.

Of course Ntilikina committed ill-advised fouls and has turned the ball over a lot, he’s a first-year teenager in the NBA playing against guys like Chris Paul and Russell Westbrook.
The advanced stats are kind to Ntilikina. When he’s on the floor, Knicks opponents slow down dramatically in transition and shoot a lower percentage from 3 (and less frequently). Additionally, the Knicks shoot almost 3% better from deep when Ntilikina is on the floor and shoot them more frequently, per Cleaning the Glass.

My stance from jump has been we're better with him out there regardless of how aesthetically pleasing his game looks. His defense makes up for his shortcomings, I think this article shows the numbers that support that view.

Ntilikina is already a more advanced defender than the bulk of the league, and any area of concern for his game has either a justifiable explanation or shows trends toward improving. One thing that should remain consistent through the end of the season is his role. Ntilikina’s minutes have fluctuated considerably at times, and while it looks like that inconsistency could be coming to an end, more positional inconsistencies could be close behind. Going forward, Ntilikina’s future success in leading the Knicks could be largely affected by the positions he’s put in on the floor, both figuratively and literally.

I don't trust our coach to help him here. Hornacek hasn't really helped him with rotations or play calls yet. But at least the two PG sets give Horny a way to keep Frank out there learning for the rest of this season and hopefully the offseason sees some changes that help Frank's development...if you get what I'm sayin'.
 
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