Porn and girl scout cookies....this goofy is a cartoon villain.
Looking/sounding like Uncle Phil playing cartoon Shredder playing Dan Schneider
Porn and girl scout cookies....this goofy is a cartoon villain.
Youngkin is finished
Porn and girl scout cookies....this goofy is a cartoon villain.
Nate Silver on his rationale behind his current election forecast. A good read (imo):
There’s no “normal” in this election
Why Harris is leading in our polling averages — but not in our forecast. And why it’s hard to know where we’re headed next.www.natesilver.net
TL;DR:
Personally, I'm more optimistic after hearing the huge difference in campaign budgets. IMO Trump is successful because he just repeats ideas until ppl believe them and that's basically what political commercials do, so the dems have a chance to drill the message home.
- The model tries to smooth over a temporary convention bounce, but since hers was smaller than expected, it might be penalizing or it might portend to a temporary wane in momentum
- She needs better numbers in PA due to it's electoral college pull
- Kennedy dropping out of the race wasn't expected to have a meaningful impact, but the immediate, wholehearted endorsement is having a bigger impact than the model predicted.
Also, to a lesser degree, if the ANC story has legs it could remind independents/undecideds why Trump is irritating AF.
Youngkin is finished
He's not up for re-election. Virginia has a 4-year, single-term governorship (though the same person can be governor non-consecutively).That n-gga is done for once he's up for re-election.
He can't pull the CRT scare tatic this time around and he already pissed most of NoVA off by trying to get the new Wizards and Capitols arena at Potomac Yard.
He's definitely losing, but he helps Trump because it makes Trump more palatable for split ticket voters.
Like the GOP would give a fukk.It’s not like they’ll be able to influence policy on abortion rights, start a war or cut social security, however it would add to her political capital especially when there is a good chance the Republicans will take the senate.
GOP wouldn’t but swing voters who vote for both parties likes the promiseLike the GOP would give a fukk.