I don’t fully disagree with you, but I’m curious about your reasoning. I think caucus states will help Liz, but not more than Bernie. As annoying as I think Bernie supports are, they are also the most dedicated. Because the caucus process is pure fukkery, the candidates with the most dedicated supporter have the advantage. I know Liz is currently surging in Iowa, and I think she will end up winning it. However, I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see Bernie pull it off, even if he is behind in the polls. Along with dedicated supporters Bernie have a strong organization, and a proven ground game. He also have plenty of money (I know Liz and Biden have money to).
Liz Warren has the best operators in Iowa. Bernie has the best organizers.