Like I said, Trump will lose the popular vote by more but still has an 80% chance of winning electorally.
Regardless of who wins the primary. Demographics are just in his favor at the moment.
Trump is more competitive in Wisconsin than he is in Michigan and Pennsylvania according to months and months of polling.
If Dems turn out like they did for Evers last year, then you can beat him by 30,000-40,000 votes. But its got to be all hands on deck. I'd look up what Ben Wikler is doing. It's really good work. GOP is also putting all hands on the ground right now.
It's why I think having the convention in Milwaukee is a GOOD THING despite the logistical issues.
Clinton campaign did absolutely very little aside from sending Bernie Sanders to Wisconsin and she lost by 23,000 votes. It's not just getting Madison, Milwaukee and other blue areas to vote ESP BLACK VOTERS but you gotta get vote in the rural areas... so instead of losing by 30%, you lose by 15-20%. They all count. That's what Obama's strategy was. Obama also basically camped out in the Midwest in 2008 and 2012.