Breaking down the Knicks' potential 2021-22 rotation
New York projects as one of the deeper teams in the NBA
Although the Knicks largely brought back their roster from last season, two major upgrades have them primed to compete for home court in the playoffs once again.
Here’s a preview of what their rotation might look like...
Projected rotation and minutes
Point guard: Kemba Walker 32 |
Derrick Rose 16
Shooting guard: RJ Barrett 34 |
Immanuel Quickley 14
Small forward: Evan Fournier 34 |
Alec Burks 14
Power forward: Julius Randle 36 |
Obi Toppin 12
Center: Mitchell Robinson 30 |
Nerlens Noel 18
Spot minutes: Quentin Grimes,
Taj Gibson,
Kevin Knox,
Luca Vildoza/
Miles McBride
Though the Knicks improved their depth and shouldn’t have to claw for a postseason spot this season,
Tom Thibodeau will still run his best players in a tight rotation as much as possible. Walker’s 32 minutes is equivalent to his amount in Boston, but Fournier sees a bump from his career averages playing under Thibs for the first time.
Randle and Barrett see slight drops on a better team with more help. Obviously, bench guys will finish with much more playing time than their projected minutes suggest due to injuries, blowouts and other factors.
With the amount of players who can erupt on a given night, expect Thibs to lean on whoever’s hot that evening.
Lineups and substitutions
These positions also won’t be stagnant, as Thibodeau has an assortment of weapons to play around with creatively. Last season’s rotation was mostly clear-cut, outside of changes on the margins, calls for a new starting point guard, and a lineup featuring Toppin and Randle in the frontcourt.
This year, we could see a multitude of looks. A Knicks death lineup with Walker, Rose, Barrett, Fournier and Randle would be terrifying to guard. Just the idea of pairing Walker and Rose in lineups is enticing.
They could also go big with Burks at point guard and two of their over-6’6” wings along with Randle and Robinson. The aforementioned Toppin-Randle frontcourt should also get play given Toppin’s apparent improvement.
Expect Thibs to remain true to his patterns from last year, with his first sub usually coming at the point guard spot. He can rely on a two-headed attack with Walker and Rose, plus will want to reduce the former’s load somewhat.
The bench unit will likely be staggered so that Rose, Quickley, Burks and Toppin aren’t together too often. As strong a reserve squad as it is, it’s mashing a number of New York’s lesser defenders together. Barrett, Fournier or Randle will see some time alongside those backups.
Three big questions
How can Quickley and Toppin earn themselves more minutes? Even assuming they both take a strong step forward, they’re somewhat limited in their rotation slots.
Quickley is behind Walker, Rose and Barrett in the guard rotation barring a radical change. Toppin doesn’t look ready to play the small forward and won’t find it easy cracking it into a stacked center rotation, thus is left picking up whatever minutes Randle leaves for him.
Can and will Thibs rest his key guys? There were cases last season when Randle and Barrett were competing late in fourth quarters up well over 20 points to a diminutive opponent.
Aside from silly habits like that, the Knicks have to weigh fighting for postseason seeding in the regular season versus keeping their guys healthy and energized for when it arrives. There’s also the health factors surrounding players like Walker and Robinson.
Does anybody emerge from the end of the bench? New York’s top 10 is solidified, but injuries and disappointing play mean anybody can have the chance to step up, even on a team that keeps its rotation small.
Rookie McBride may be the answer to New York possessing little to no defensive threats at the one position.
Dwayne Bacon could be their go-to perimeter defender at some point, with maybe Knox or Grimes their backup four.
https://sny.tv/articles/knicks-potential-rotation-2021-22-breakdown