Help me understand the correlation here. I think the problem now is a lack of enforcement and accountability; I don't think it's a forgone conclusion if cities expand it's a net negative for the existing population. I see it bring some more parity to the already overt advantages the suburbs have been getting for decades. I think if the appropriate tax structure is in place, it will tax the rich more but those funds will be allocated appropriately if the right system and people are in place. (A lot of "if's" I know)
So when a suburb is built, it's not just the houses being built.
- New Roads
- New Water Pipes
- New Water towers
- New Sewage lines
And it's almost always single family house. A typical block in the Houston might have 15-20 SFH's. So let's call that 80-100 people on a suburban block. That same block in the "inner city" might be 400-100-5,000. Just depends on the density.
The developer might pay that cost, or it might split it with the city. But typically once the developer is finished building out the neighborhood - they take their money and leave. The infrastructure is "donated" to the city.
The city then collects taxes from the houses and businesses in the area.
The property tax and local sales tax pay for infrastructure, city government, teachers, cops, firefighters - and their equipment and their retirement - etc.
So at first there's a good bump in city finances with these new developments - but then the real bills start coming due.
30-40-50 years down the line (which might be all of an adults life, but means nothing for a city)
- Roads need to be maintained
- Pipes need to be replaced
- Towers need to be built
It turns out that houses in these new subdivisions don't generate enough tax revenue to pay for the things that allow them to exist.
Big Box stores don't pay that money either.
So the cities end up having to go to Wall Street and take out a loan (municipal bond). To cope with rising costs of aging infrastructure (and increased demand for city services) the cities will raise property taxes and sales taxes...
In theory a city could actually do the math of the lifecycle of the infrastructure and make that a part of zoning/when the approve annexation etc -
but they have not in the past 70 years. They could start doing this for new places, but the city is made of mostly old places. And even then, you'd have new homeowners complaining about high taxes.
Strong Towns - the guy behind it - was a city engineer - and he figured that out this Ponzi scheme. The run down and dense parts of the city paid more taxes in than the rich suburban parts of the city. The taxes on current home owners to pay for infrastructure (and the employees) from now and until 30 years (along with inflation) would make most additions to the tax base untenable.
No argument from me here. Zoning is a necessary evil so you don't place a tire factory or a recycling center across the street from a school. But the moment housing turned from a necessity to an investment we fukked ourselves. People deserve a right to home ownership. I'm not advocating emminent domain, but the NIMBY's wield way too much power.
Agreed on changing a necessity to investment.
I am advocating eminent domain and many other things that would get me tossed out of The Coli Capitalist club. At the root of a lot of this conversation is politics, but a lot of it is racism.
Bullet trains won't work in the US outside of 2 maybe 3 megaopolis's in the US. I can down a rabbit hole with this as I commute from Chicago to Milwaukee multiple times a month for work.
The federal highway system doesn't work inside the US without MASSIVE subsidy. And that doesn't include the defense industry which is at the base of our "cheap" energy in the first place.
The conversation about Urban planning quickly spirals out past local taxation, and into domestic and foreign policy.
But since money is made up, the society can decide what is valuable. There is no invisible hand, institutional actors force a lot of decisions.