Turns Out White Millennials Are Just As Conservative As Their Parents

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NkrumahWasRight Is Wrong

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Bet biden wins that demo this time around

18-29 years were won by obama twice and trump. Hillary was widely hated. I'm willing to wager the trump demo win was an anomaly

Majority of millennials weren't old enough to vote for Bush/Gore/Kerry..I dont know the data on those that were.

Obama won it 2:1 against McCain

Let's see how this plays out
 
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Chef Mello said:
Bet biden wins that demo this time around

18-29 years were won by obama twice and trump. Hillary was widely hated. I'm willing to wager the trump demo win was an anomaly

Majority of millennials weren't old enough to vote for Bush/Gore/Kerry..I dont know the data on those that were.

Obama won it 2:1 against McCain

Let's see how this plays out
Click to expand...

No Mr. armchair. The majority of white voters when given the choice between a liberal and conservative candidate I want to choose a candidate eight times out of 10. It’s just a simple. They rather have a leader takes a firm stance on their supremacy to someone that’s soft shoe with it.
 
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NkrumahWasRight Is Wrong

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THE HEAVEST said:
No Mr. armchair. The majority of white voters when given the choice between a liberal and conservative candidate I want to choose a candidate eight times out of 10. It’s just a simple. They rather have a leader takes a firm stance on their supremacy to someone that’s soft shoe with it.
Click to expand...

We'll see in november
 
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vote_choice_race_2016.jpg


This indicates Romney won that demo by a larger margin than trump did.

It will go bidens way this time or be +/-1%

Edit: not only that but that shows that the demo in question was the only one that hillary improved upon over obama (in margins)

Now there are a few unanswered questions here"

1. How will the 9% of "others" vote this time around?

2. How will the people who were 26-29 in 2016 now vote while leaving the 18-29 demo and how many of them voted R D or other in 2016?

3. How will the new wave of voters vote?

Based on trumps performance in office I would say there is very little chance trump improves or maintains in november what he did in 2016..which goes across all demos.
 
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Macallik86

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The main numbers being referenced are from 4-8 years ago. Here is a Pew article from earlier this month.

PP_2020.06.02_party-id_1-12.png



The #s could be better, but at the same time, the data still clearly refutes the premise of this thread.

I would personally err on the side of optimism for the future instead of citing old data to pessimistically explain away (potentially) changing sentiments towards progressiveness

EDIT: Source: 1. Democratic edge in party identification narrows slightly
 
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Professor Emeritus

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The claim was that Trump has destroyed Repubilcan's chances with the younger generations. Why would you use data from BEFORE Trump became president to try to counter that argument? It's 2020 and we're seriously using numbers from 5 years ago?

Here are 2018 exit polls. Remember, in 2018 the economy was still good and the COVID disaster hadn't hit. Trump and the Republicans look WORSE now than they did then and have turned off younger voters even more.


Stacey Abrams in Georgia: Won 60% of the 18-44 vote

Andrew Gillum in Florida: Won 61% of the 18-44 vote

John Tester in Montana: Won 56% of the 18-44 vote

Beto O'Rourke in Texas: Won 59% of the 18-44 vote

Kyrsten Sinema in Arizona: Won 59% of the 18-49 vote

Tammy Baldwin in Wisconsin: Won 61% of the 18-44 vote


Those are all Trump states and Republicans are getting KILLED among younger voters. It will only get worse. His numbers are propped up a little because he's holding on to White voters in deep red states like Mississippi, Arkansas, Wyoming....but who gives a fukk if the Republicans lose all the voters in the 35 states that matter?
 
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Macallik86 said:
The main numbers being referenced are from 4-8 years ago. Here is a Pew article from earlier this month.

PP_2020.06.02_party-id_1-12.png



The #s could be better, but at the same time, the data still clearly refutes the premise of this thread.

I would personally err on the side of optimism for the future instead of citing old data to pessimistically explain away (potentially) changing sentiments towards progressiveness
Click to expand...

Please elaborate
 
AnonymityX1000

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Chef Mello said:
vote_choice_race_2016.jpg


This indicates Romney won that demo by a larger margin than trump did.

It will go bidens way this time or be +/-1%

Edit: not only that but that shows that the demo in question was the only one that hillary improved upon over obama (in margins)

Now there are a few unanswered questions here"

1. How will the 9% of "others" vote this time around?

2. How will the people who were 26-29 in 2016 now vote while leaving the 18-29 demo and how many of them voted R D or other in 2016?

3. How will the new wave of voters vote?

Based on trumps performance in office I would say there is very little chance trump improves or maintains in november what he did in 2016..which goes across all demos.
Click to expand...
Wish there was a more viable independent in the presidential race this year. The trend seems to be them going independent, likely will stay home this year.
 
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