So I scoured all through Jay's financials statements and here are my final thoughts on the TREF. The setup of this fund is legitimate. This isn't a ponzi scheme in any way. Investors buy into the fund, where the underlying investments are real estate properties and mortgages. The idea is for the real estate properties to
appreciate after a certain period of time and the mortgages to accrue interest, so that gains could be realized, and disseminated back to the investors.
A thing to note: According to the audited 1Ks, Jay suggests that he can deliver an 8% return to investors. In addition to the stated 8% return, Jay states that collectively investors can partake in 50% of all gains made above his 8% target.
This stands out to me for a number of reason. The second and most crucial I will address later. But the first is because most funds try to aim to deliver an average annual return of 7%. So the return he is suggesting he can provide is not unattainable.
Looking at the financials and reading the notes, I noticed a few things.
1) Jay was hoping to bring in $50 million from investors into this fund. He has only been able to raise $7,493,660.
This is a SUPER small fund. His ability to offset his operating losses is dependent on two things. 1) capital subscriptions and 2) capital gains. Capital gains will not be realized, barring some uncontrollable event like a recession, until he sells off his real estate holdings. Capital subscriptions, are then, his only mode to offset those losses month-to-month until he's ready to cash in on his portfolio. If Jay cannot regularly attract more funding into his portfolio, those losses are going to eat away at any gain that investors should see.
Remember this NAV calculation?
Beg Nav Subscriptions PnL Withdrawals End Nav
$0 + $10,000,000 + $100,000 + $0 = $10,100,000 January
$10,100,000 + $1,000,000 + ($100,000) + $0 = $11,000,000 February
$11,000,000 + $1,000,000 + ($100,000) + $0 = $11,900,000 March
$11,900,000 + $1,000,000 + ($100,000) + $0 = $12,800,000 April
What happens starting in February when there is not a subscription of $1 million into the fund each month while also sustaining an operating loss? By April, the fund will only be worth $9.8 million instead of $12.8 million. If sold with an assumption of a $3 million appreciation, the portfolio will be worth $12.8 million instead of $15.8 in the prior example.
So the quality of return the investor sees and the ability to offset operating losses is dependent on the ability of the fund manager to 1) attract more funding and 2) realize capital gains.
$7.5 million is a long way away from $50 million. This is daunting considering one of the risk factors mentioned in the 1K regarding the fund was it's ability to attract new funders to it's platform.
2) Of the $7.5 million invested money to the fund, only roughly $2.9 million is actually invested in real estate assets. The balance sheet (BS) breaks down the following:
- Projects under development - $2.23 million
- Properties held for resale (going to flip) - $364,363
- Escrow deposit - $341,200
The other $3.7 million is sitting in cash or government bonds waiting to be invested in other projects.
This is interesting to me because once properties are developed and then probably rented, how will they treat rental income? In traditional REITS, rental income is disseminated to investors as dividends. In RE Funds, rental income shows up as "income" on the Income Statements.
So I think, once these properties are developed and rents collectible, the fund MAY be able to realize operating profit because of where rents may hit on the financials, on the income statement as "rental income" or "gain on dividends" which hits on the balance sheet.
Because this is an uncertainty, the financial statements have to legally understate an assertion of operating profits, a legal CYA, hence....
"There is no guarantee we will ever generate a profit"
For those who don't understand, this is just legal jargon to cover your butt in the instance that you claim you can generate a profit and don't actually deliver.
Speaking of operating lossess.....
3) On the income statement, the biggest factor in the large operating losses is the management fee.
Operating expenses for the year totaled $198,942. Of that amount, $182,935 are management fees.
Remember, management fees is the fee that the fund manager charges the investor to manage the portfolio.
Okay folks. Here is where Jay is FINESSING THE fukk out of investors of his fund.
I mentioned that I was an auditor for a public accounting firm. I also worked as a controller for a number of hedge funds before I jumped into equity research.
Having worked in the industry and also as a serious investor, I know that there is a financial industry-wide standard on management fees and how they should be charged.
The standard is "2/20" or "2 and 20".
This means, the fund manager will charge a fee that is 2% of the fund principal amount and 20% of all gains incurred.
This is a standard almost EVERYWHERE, with a few exceptions, for instance the size of a fund.
If it's a small fund, the management fee would be reduced, so that it's not heavily eating into investors earnings.
For instance, I was controller of a fund that had $25-30 million AUM (assets under management) which is a SUPER small fund. The management fee that we charged to investors was 1.5% of aum. It was below industry standard because it was a small fund. If we charged anything higher, investors would have bytched and took their money out the fund.
I was also one of the controllers over a fund that had $6-7 billion AUM. The management fee for that fund was the full 2%. Rarely did you ever see management fees charged over the 2%.
JAY FUKKING MORRISON HAS A 5.5/50 MANAGEMENT FEE FUKKING RATIO. THIS shyt IS BEYOND UNBELIEVABLE.
THIS nikka IS CHARGING INVESTORS 5.5% OF THEIR INVESTMENTS AND THEN TAKING 50 FUKKING PERCENT OF THE GAINS ON THIS SMALL ASS FUKKING FUND AND THE INVESTORS HAVE TO SPLIT THE OTHER 50% PRO-RATA.
Based off of the size of this fund, he should be charging less than 1% management and should be accorded 10% of gains.
WHAT HE'S CHARGING INVESTORS I WOULD EXPECT FOR A FUND THAT HAS $100 BILLION IN ASSETS UNDER MANAGMENT. THIS nikka HAS $7.5 MILLION AND HE'S ONLY ACTIVELY MANAGING $2.9 OF THAT.
ANY OTHER FUND, INVESTORS WOULD GO OFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF.
BUT BECAUSE JAY'S INVESTORS ARE BLACK AND INEXPERIENCED, HE SAW AN OPENING TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THEM.
if any nikkas in this thread are investing in TREF. I WOULD TAKE YOUR MONEY OUT ASAP OR BRING THIS TO JAY'S ATTENTION.
WHATS EVEN MORE SCANDALOUS IS THE FACT THAT HE IS GUARANTEEING HIS INVESTORS 8% RETURN BUT THEN TURN AROUND AND IS CHARGING 5.5% IN FEES SO THE INVESTOR WILL ONLY SEE AN ADJUSTED RETURN OF 2.5% AFTER FEES ARE DEDUCTED.
IN 2019, INFLATION IS 2%, SO YOU'RE JUST BEATING INFLATION.
There is other shyt, such as his cash flows and working capital and some other rations that are super dismal but I'm tired now and this is a long ass post as it is.
Ya'll nikkas that are investing in him need to go AWFF because white investors wouldn't stand for this. AT ALL. It's legal for funds to set their own management fee but there is an industry-wide standard that is typically followed by most managed funds, whether hedge, PE, mutual, or real estate.
And Jay is not adhering to that of which is causing and will continue to cause that BIG ASS operating loss.
Two and Twenty Definition
And for the record, if any one calls themselves an investor, and can't at least do what I just did (which was very surface level at that) and more, you really shouldn't be investing, because you should be able to dissect and parse through financial statements and other documents like SEC reports to not only understand what's going on with a company but to also be able to leverage them to make your investing decisions.