I like Usman and picked him to win the title when many were considering him inferior and outclassed by Woodley in every way... but people are sleeping if they think Mas is helpless and just going to phone it in for a payday. Kamaru has definitely improved but is still robotic in terms of standup and is a straight up statue when it comes to head movement... if someone with the complete lack of striking background that KKKolby has can land clean literally hundreds of times at will on him there's no reason Masvidal can't put him to sleep with a combination like the one he dropped the now middleweight Till with like a sack of potatoes. Jorge isn't some scrub if it goes to the ground either; Demien Maia said personally he was one of the surprisingly best and defensively sound grapplers he'd ever fought in the UFC and Usman isn't a submission threat himself. So unless he's developed Khabib level guard passing that he's never once displayed in the UFC, Jorge should be more than capable of defending and minimizing the damage he takes if he does get taken down; he's an ATT guy and was training with Bo Nickal and Cody Law specifically for this fight originally so it's not like he hasn't ever worked with notable wrestlers.
If Jorge had a full camp I'd say this is a pretty even fight; coming in on short notice might honestly be a positive if this was a 3 rounder, but in a 5 round title fight against someone like Usman the lack of full camp conditioning will hurt if he can't get him out of there fast. Wish Mas wasn't a MAGA troll/dumbass because I'd root for him otherwise. Still kind of want to just to spite all the idiot Sherdog cacs who were shytting on him for not giving in to Dana's obvious bullshyt in negotiations and waiting it out until he finally got what he was worth.