The OFFICIAL 2019 College football RANDOM THOUGHTS thread

invincible1914

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LSU, Saints, Alcorn, VCU
The one thing I will say about USC, If we play every game like we played that first half vs Notre Dame we should win 10 easily.

Brehs, I was so :mindblown: watching that shyt. We waited all fukking season to finally open that shyt up and start putting everybody to use :mindblown:
The game needs USC back in the mix, but y’all have a bigger issue now
USC 2020 Football Commits

Once Flowe commits to Clemson... how do you even save this class?

But for real I think Oregon is all hype.... PAC 12 is coming down to either the Huskies or Trojans with Utah as the dark horse.
 

FakeNews

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FakeNews

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Which college football teams are candidates for a breakout 2019 season?

Iowa State
Trend to break: Iowa State has not finished ranked in the AP poll since 2000 and has never finished better than 19th. It has not won a conference championship since going 2-0 in the Missouri Valley Intercollegiate Athletic Association in 1912.

Breakout chances: The Cyclones won a total of eight games from 2014-16 before back-to-back 8-5 seasons the past two years. They reached the top 20 each time, only to finish just outside the AP poll. Thus, despite their progress under Matt Campbell, the Cyclones are still trying to end the second-longest AP poll finish drought among Power 5 teams (only Indiana has gone longer). In fact, they have finished ranked only twice: 19th in 1976 and 25th in 2000.

There is a good chance the Cyclones, who are 24th in the preseason coaches poll, will be ranked in the preseason AP poll for only the second time, joining 1978. That means that despite ranking 50th in average recruiting class over the past four years, Iowa State has expectations that are as high as ever. It may still be a stretch to expect the school’s first conference championship in more than a century, but the best AP poll finish in school history is an attainable goal despite the losses of star running back David Montgomery and receiver Hakeem Butler — the Cyclones’ first NFL draft picks in five years.

power5-droughts-ap.png


Campbell has established a winning culture in Ames, and players have bought in. Coordinator Jon Heacock has gotten the most out of his defenses, including one that finished second in the Big 12 in yards per play allowed last year. Eight starters return to the defense, and the Cyclones have the makings of a dominant unit up front led by nose tackle Ray Lima and end JaQuan Bailey.

Iowa State loses its best two playmakers, but it might have the Big 12’s best defense. It also returns a rising star quarterback in Brock Purdy, who threw for 2,250 yards and 16 touchdowns and finished second on the team in rushing while making eight starts as a true freshman. Campbell and his staff have raised the bar, and Iowa State is poised to defy recruiting rankings, record its best poll finish and push for a spot in the Big 12 championship game.

LSU
Trend to break: LSU has lost eight consecutive games to Alabama, has not won the SEC West since 2011 and has not seriously challenged for a Playoff spot.

Breakout chances: LSU’s standards for a breakout are higher than most. By most measures, last year was a successful season, as the Tigers went 10-3 (including a seven-overtime loss), won the Fiesta Bowl and finished No. 6 in the AP poll, their best final ranking since 2011. However, there has been a ceiling since Alabama seemingly broke the Tigers in an ugly 21-0 BCS national title rematch in January 2012. That trend continued last year, when Alabama shut out LSU 29-0.

Maybe 2020 is the year to shoot for beating Bama: Tua Tagovailoa will probably be gone, and Alabama will have to visit Death Valley. But expectations deserve to be high for 2019 in Baton Rouge, too. Though the Tigers say goodbye to a pair of stars in linebacker Devin White and Greedy Williams, this is an unusually experienced LSU team with few glaring weaknesses. Dave Aranda’s defense is loaded from front to back, with a superstar safety in Grant Delpit — arguably the best defender in the country — and a handful of other impact players, including the return of pass rusher K’Lavon Chaisson after a season lost to injury. The Tigers ranked 21st in yards per play allowed, and despite losing White and Williams, they should climb the rankings with a more disruptive front that creates more negative plays.

LSU is counting on new passing game coordinator Joe Brady — hired from the New Orleans Saints — to open up the offense and finally answer the long-running criticism of the Tigers on that side of the ball. Quarterback Joe Burrow successfully managed games for much of the year and flashed upside down the stretch, and he has a veteran group of receivers to throw to and an experienced line in front of him.

According to the 247Sports Composite Rankings, only Alabama, Ohio State and Georgia have recruited better than LSU over the past four years. All have been to the Playoff; LSU still has not. Everything continues to ride on the annual early-November showdown with the Crimson Tide, but if LSU can split its road trips to Texas and Alabama, it has enough advantages — it hosts Auburn, Florida and Texas A&M — and enough talent to make a Playoff push, even if it doesn’t win the SEC West.

Michigan
Trend to break: Michigan has not won the Big Ten championship since 2004 — the longest conference title drought in school history — and has lost seven consecutive and 14 out of 15 games against Ohio State.

Breakout chances: Jim Harbaugh has a 38-14 record in four seasons. He has won 10 games three times and finished in the top 14 of the AP poll three times. He has guided Michigan to two major bowls and its only AP top-10 finish since 2006. Among Power 5 teams, Michigan ranks eighth in winning percentage since Harbaugh arrived. He has re-established the Wolverines as a nationally competitive program.

And yet … for Michigan, there is no such thing as a breakthrough until it beats Ohio State and wins the Big Ten. Michigan has had good teams under Harbaugh, and it has come painfully close to getting over the hump. It still hasn’t happened.

As skepticism builds and backlash to Michigan hype grows, yet again there is a chance this year could be different — even after last season ended with a 62-39 loss to the Buckeyes and a 41-15 loss to Florida in the Peach Bowl. Harbaugh hired Josh Gattis from Alabama to install a modernized spread offense, one that will be influenced by what Gattis learned under Joe Moorhead at Penn State. The offense should better suit quarterback Shea Patterson, who has a promising receiving corps and a veteran offensive line that has finally ceased being a liability and can be a strength. Defensively, Michigan loses several key pieces, but coordinator Don Brown has a handful of players to build around, including Khaleke Hudson and Lavert Hill.

Michigan has to go to Wisconsin and Penn State, but it gets Iowa, Michigan State and Ohio State at home. For the first time, Harbaugh won’t be meeting a Buckeyes team coached by Urban Meyer. For all the criticism of Harbaugh’s inability to push Michigan over the hump so far, the Wolverines were mere inches away from beating the Buckeyes and making the Playoff in 2016. Could redemption finally come this fall?

They have knocked on the door, and 2019 is a key season to answer the skepticism.
 

FakeNews

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Minnesota
Trend to break: Minnesota has not finished ranked in the AP poll since 2003, which is tied for the third-longest active drought among Power 5 teams. It has not won a Big Ten title since 1967 and has yet to appear in the conference championship game.

Breakout chances: After a 5-7 debut, P.J. Fleck pushed the Golden Gophers back to a bowl game in 2018. That team’s young roster ended the school’s 14-year losing streak against rival Wisconsin amid a wildly inconsistent season in which they got blown out by Maryland, Nebraska and Illinois.

The Gophers return nearly everyone on offense. Sophomore quarterbacks Tanner Morgan and Zack Annexstad both showed flashes in splitting starts in 2018, though Morgan is now in the driver’s seat after Annexstad injured his foot at the start of preseason practice. Regardless of what happens at quarterback, the Gophers have solid returning supporting talent, including an All-Big Ten receiver in Tyler Johnson and nearly all of the team’s receiving production, plus two players who have rushed for 1,000 yards in a season in Rodney Smith and Mohamed Ibrahim.

Throw in a stellar pass rush led by Carter Coughlin and talent in the secondary, and Minnesota could make a surprise push to get to Indianapolis if it finds stability at quarterback. The Big Ten West is increasingly competitive with Jeff Brohm at Purdue and Scott Frost at Nebraska, and the Huskers are the trendy breakout pick, but don’t sleep on the Gophers. They have a manageable schedule — Penn State visits Minneapolis, and Rutgers and Maryland are the other two East games — and a handful of strong pieces in place to make them a legitimate threat to win the West.

Nebraska
Trend to break: Nebraska has not finished in the AP Top 25 since 2012 or the top 10 since 2001. It has had three losing records in four years after posting only two losing records from 1962-2014. It has not won a conference championship since the Big 12 in 1999.

Breakout chances: Nebraska was the best program of the 1990s, but it hasn’t had fewer than four losses in a season since Frank Solich’s final year in 2003. It has been mired in a decade-and-a-half identity crisis, one that the Huskers hope is finally solved after the hiring of 1997 national championship quarterback Scott Frost as head coach. Frost went 4-8 in his debut, but he inherited a mess and showed signs of improvement down the stretch. The Huskers won four of their last six games, and their last three losses were by five points or fewer.

The preseason hype exists for a few reasons. Frost has engineered an impressive turnaround before, inheriting a winless team at UCF and going undefeated in his second season. And at Nebraska, he has already found a match at quarterback in promising sophomore Adrian Martinez. Martinez is a foundational player for Frost to build around, and in Year 2 of Frost’s system, the Huskers will make significant strides.

The question is if true breakthrough optimism should wait until 2020. The offense is on the right track, but building a championship-caliber defense is another matter. After all, the Huskers’ defense ranked 88th in points allowed and lose five of their top six tacklers. They also lose a thousand-yard runner (Devine Ozigbo) and a thousand-yard receiver (Stanley Morgan).

The good news: Games against Ohio State, Northwestern, Wisconsin and Iowa are all at home, and the Huskers draw Indiana and Maryland as two of their crossover games. The top 10 is an unreasonable reach after a 4-8 season; winning an increasingly competitive but still wide-open Big Ten West is not.

Virginia
Trend to break: Virginia has not beaten Virginia Tech since 2003, has not finished ranked in the AP poll since 2004 and has not appeared in the ACC championship game.

Breakout chances: The bandwagon is quickly filling up, including reporters projecting Virginia to win the Coastal division at ACC media days. The attention might start to be too much, but there are plenty of good reasons for it. Bronco Mendenhall took BYU to 11 bowl games in 11 years, winning at least 10 games five times. After a rough debut in Charlottesville, Mendenhall got the Cavs back to their first bowl in six years, then led them to a 7-5 regular-season record and a 28-0 pummeling of South Carolina in the Belk Bowl last year.

The Cavs ran out of gas in November, losing their last three ACC games — including heartbreakers to Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech in overtime — while struggling with a lack of depth. But they had a 1-3 record in close games and were in the middle of the pack nationally in turnovers, meaning there is room for growth. That should continue with the return of underrated quarterback Bryce Perkins, who threw for 2,680 yards, rushed for 923 yards and accounted for 34 total touchdowns.

Perkins needs more weapons to emerge around him, but he will be supported by a stellar defense that gave up nearly 14 fewer points per game than Mendenhall’s debut team two years earlier. Eight of the top 10 tacklers are back, led by cornerback Bryce Hall, after the Cavs ranked 12th nationally in pass efficiency defense.

Their schedule includes Florida State from the Atlantic and a trip to Notre Dame, but the Seminoles visit Charlottesville and the Coastal remains eminently winnable — potentially coming down to an Oct. 11 trip to Miami. The ACC, and the race for a potential Orange Bowl bid, is wide-open behind Clemson. Virginia has the second-best quarterback in the conference and at least a top-half defense.

This is the year to finally beat the Hokies. If the Cavs can do that, they have a good chance of becoming the seventh different Coastal program to win the division in a seven-year span.

Florida International
Trend to break: FIU has not won 10 games in a season since its 2002 program debut, and it has not won a conference title since sharing the 2010 Sun Belt title.

Breakout chances: After the decision to part ways with Mario Cristobal and hire Ron Turner backfired, FIU has staged a swift turnaround under Butch Davis. Davis has been overshadowed by Lane Kiffin over the past two years, but he has one more win in his two seasons than his crosstown rival, leading the Panthers to an 8-5 mark in 2017 and a 9-4 record last year. The next step: Getting to the Conference USA championship game and winning it.

The Panthers have yet to represent the C-USA East division in the conference title game, as they finished a game behind Middle Tennessee last year despite beating the Blue Raiders. The division will be competitive again at the top with Florida Atlantic and Marshall appearing to be top contenders, but FIU stands a good chance of building on Davis’ first two seasons and jumping to the forefront.

Sixteen starters return to a team that went 6-2 in Conference USA and beat Toledo in the Bahamas Bowl. Bowling Green transfer quarterback James Morgan threw 26 touchdowns with seven interceptions last year, and he has an experienced supporting cast. The Panthers’ defense made strides last year and returns six of its top seven tacklers, led by linebacker Sage Lewis. This is an experienced roster with a proven quarterback and, even though it plays FAU and Marshall on the road, FIU has one of the easiest schedules in the country: Miami is the only Power 5 opponent, and the Panthers draw UTEP as one of two crossover opponents.
 

PortCityProphet

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The one thing I will say about USC, If we play every game like we played that first half vs Notre Dame we should win 10 easily.

Brehs, I was so :mindblown: watching that shyt. We waited all fukking season to finally open that shyt up and start putting everybody to use :mindblown:
You trying to come on the podcast today at 2 and speak your piece? We talking USC :shaq:
 

jwonder

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The game needs USC back in the mix, but y’all have a bigger issue now
USC 2020 Football Commits

Once Flowe commits to Clemson... how do you even save this class?

But for real I think Oregon is all hype.... PAC 12 is coming down to either the Huskies or Trojans with Utah as the dark horse.

shyt is crazy. I really don't get why people hyping them up. Just to see the Huskies win that division again. :francis: A cuban HC. Mexican OC and DC. Oh yeah National championship contenders all day. :mjlol:

I don't see USC going. Maybe Utah again. But I think ASU has a shot at taking it. The way they lost last year had to hurt. Most of their losses were by one TD. :picard:
 
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RammerJammer

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I dont think he'll get that many carries. Sanders was 3rd/4th string anyway and Brian Robinson is a good back. He's always done very well in garbage time. He gonna surprise people when he gets his carries

Yeah, they were going to work Sanders into the rotation like they did Jacobs and Bo in ‘16 but it was still gonna be a Najee and Robinson tandem, Robinson is really underrated.
 

smitty22

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The one thing I will say about USC, If we play every game like we played that first half vs Notre Dame we should win 10 easily.

Brehs, I was so :mindblown: watching that shyt. We waited all fukking season to finally open that shyt up and start putting everybody to use :mindblown:
Wait South Carolina played Notre Dame last year? :ohhh: @No Sleep
 
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