The 5 Riskiest Blockbuster Movies This Summer

Which Movie Will Be The Biggest Hit?

  • Maleficent

    Votes: 20 28.2%
  • Edge of Tomorrow

    Votes: 4 5.6%
  • Jupiter Ascending

    Votes: 7 9.9%
  • Hercules

    Votes: 8 11.3%
  • Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

    Votes: 32 45.1%

  • Total voters
    71

Rayzah

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Five movies with budgets ranging from $100 million to $175 million-plus are aiming for blockbuster status — but all are far from sure things.
This story first appeared in the May 16 issue of The Hollywood Reporter magazine.

Maleficent(MAY 30)
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Budget: $175 million-plus

Why it's vulnerable: Disney's fairy tale might need to gross $500 million worldwide just to recoup.

Path to success: Frozen has revived interest in princesses.

Hot seat: $20 million star Angelina Jolie and first-time director Robert Stromberg.


Edge of Tomorrow (JUNE 6)
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Budget: $175 million-plus

Why it's vulnerable: The Warner Bros. sci-fi epic feels just like Tom Cruise's last (soft) film,Oblivion.

Path to success: Overseas: Oblivion grossing nearly $200 million internationally, compared with $89.1 million domestically.

Hot seat: Cruise and director Doug Liman, who needs a hit.


Jupiter Ascending(JULY 18)
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Budget: $150 million

Why it's vulnerable: The Wachowskis' last film, Cloud Atlas, failed ($130 million global).

Path to success: The Matrix filmmakers have appealing stars in Channing Tatum and Mila Kunis.

Hot seat: Tatum (in pointy ears).


Hercules(JULY 25)
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Budget: $100 million

Why it's vulnerable: Sandal movies largely have failed of late.

Path to success: Bankable global star Dwayne Johnson.

Hot seat: MGM and Paramount, which co-financed.


Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (AUG. 8)
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Budget: $120 million

Why it's vulnerable: TMNT have been out of movies for 20 years.

Path to success: Cross-generational appeal.

Hot seat: Producer Michael Bay.

From 'Maleficent' to 'Hercules': Summer's 5 Biggest Box-Office Risks - The Hollywood Reporter


I am thinking that Jupiter Ascending is going to be the riskiest movie of the summer and the one with the biggest shot at flopping. The Wachowski Siblings have had a bit of rough go at the box office after The Matrix Trilogy.
can I redo my vote, I aint read it correct?

anyway why would micheal bay be on the hot seat? That nikkas movies ALways make money just cause the fake ass internet critics dont like him, that doesnt mean he isnt successful..... As for the risks, Jupiter Ascending isnt going to do well, it may make its money back but thats it, The disney movie has flop written all over it, because they are telling a story that was never that popular. and I am glad somebody finally else thinks this Tom cruise movie looks just like his last one, I dont think that is going to do too well either.. But TMNT, Hercules are going to be huge sucess's , TMNT has a huge fan base and they will all see it, and Hecules has the Rock, you know the guy that was in like 6 movies last year that all did well
 

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I think Hercules & TMNT are going to do fine. I know I'll be checking them out.
 

Brofato

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Maleficent will definitely make its money back from what I've seen around.

Hercules has The Rock in it which is just like printing money.

I have never even heard of Jupiter Ascending.

TMNT will most likely do well. Transformers type action with more adult turtles. That sentence seemed weird as shyt to type.

And the Tom Cruise one might be a sleeper. I still don't know what it's about from the trailer but it looks decent enough.
 

FlyRy

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maleficient is gonna do #s.. 200 mil domestic

every girl wants to see that movie. and its getting tons of promo

tmnt looks like ass but bay always does #s

edge of tomorrow will probably do 75 mil domestic, but KILL internationally.

Hercules will put rocks star power to a true test, but i think it clears 100 mil

and jupiter rising is gonna flop but i think it'll be dope. 50 mil..maybe more since people like tatum..we'll see
 
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TheGodling

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Jupiter Ascending is definitely the most likely to become flop of the summer (or Guardians Of The Galaxy, but that one might get lucky through the Marvel boost). The trailers haven't really explained the story well, nor does it seem to offer anything unique other than live action visuals of anime concepts, which only appeals to a very niche audience. Plus I think Tatum's fanbase cares too little for this type of movie and Kunis is too weak a leading lady to have their presence make any difference.
 
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Some of yal nikka's underestimate the power of The Rocks brand. This nikka comes in and movies we thought had no hope become revived. Journey 2, G.I Joe. Fast 6 pulled ill numbers just because people wanted to see the man. He single handedly revived that series. Yal flaky as fukk acting like Dwayne don't pull numbers. Pshhhhhhhhhh
 

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:whoo:


:ehh:


:manny:


:ehh:

:ld:

:mjlol:


Ninja Turtles is gonna do pretty well. Doestically, the nostalgia will bring in those in my age bracket who were kids when the OG film came out, and current kids/teenagers are still aware of the mytho/franchise due to mainstream media never truly throwin the turtles to the bushes. Plus it looks somewhat refreshing in comparison to the types of summer 'blockbusters' that have been coming out the last couple years. And foreign audiences are gonna eat it up regardless.

I do feel Hercules is the Rock's final exam of sorts. Other movies of his have either been on a smaller budget where he was the main attraction or a big budget but with an ensemble cast.. or like with 'journey to the center of the earth'/'gi joe' in which the prequels w/o him had already made 200-300+ million each. This though is strictly him, in his element, pretty much his calling card, no prequels/predecessors that did well, and with the full machine behind him. I don't know how its gonna do lol but i'm a fan of dwayne and i was a big fan of the kevin sorbo hercules show as a kid, so barring nothin but shytty reviews across the land scape, I do plan on checkin it out in theaters.

the rest of these movies i dont really care about. but jupiter ascending did nothing for me while I at least could see myself takin a girl out to cruises's or jolie's joints without much reservation. I think the space rac00n movie will do ok because its a marvel movie, otherwise ehh.
 

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:gladbron: @ these budgets


a rookie director getting 175m and angelina jolie? :whoo:

no way that shyt recoups. If marketing is part of the budget, then you really just need to double your budget to break even. And that's before dvd, bluray, cable/satellite, and streaming.
 

Jazzy B.

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:AustinWhat:@Maleficent being on the list, female demo and little girls will eat that up.

:JerichoOh:@ Edge of Tomorrow costing that much. :nikkaDafuq: what they thinking, it will no doubt under-perform.

:Flairlol: @The Wachowski's, they're box office poison and haven't made a watchable film since 2003, that movie wont just under perform it will bomb!, it will bomb hard!

:Hmmmn:@ The Hercules movie, I can easily see it flopping, but on the hand I can see it doing relatively well

Turtles will do well.
 

duckbutta

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GOTG will do numbers...if for no other reason people will be interested to see how marvel handles an obscure comic like it is...

Jupiter Ascending is going to be 47 Ronin bad...I literally saw Sean Bean in the preview and said "Nah I seen this dude die in enough movies already" and have not checked for it since...

Maleficent is interesting...because Disney is trying to have an "adult" take on the theme...while rating it PG...so it's numbers will be determined by if people see it as a Disney movie or as a summer blockbuster movie...and it will depend on what DOFP does this week...

I think Godzilla really threw a wrench in all these other summer blockbusters...i always expected it to do numbers but for some reason people did not...it definitely cost spider man some money...and it has sort of set the tone for the summer, where spiderman was supposed to...i am very interested to see how Godzilla continues to hold up from here on out
 

gho3st

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I voted for Hercules :manny:

Edge of Tomorrow looks like it'll be good. Kill-la-kill manga/novel is dope and Tom Cruise is the goat action/drama movie star

TMNT - will not fail because it got too many fans. Even if the plot sucks, expect extravagant action scenes typical of Michael Bay projects

Maleficient - Disney

Jupiter ascending - looks dope even with Tatum being a lead :beli:
 

Lannister

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The days of box office draws/star power are pretty much over. People are not going to come out in droves to see Hercules just because The Rock is lead, same with Maleficent and Jolie. Out of this group though I will say Jupiter and Maleficent have a good chance of bombing. The latter has to contend with Days of Future Past which is getting rave reviews from audiences so it will no doubt have strong legs.

As for TMNT, I don't see it bombing but possibly disappointing. Guardians is out the week before and if that film blows people away then no doubt it's legs will hurt the Turtles considering they're targeting the same audience.
 
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