The 5 Riskiest Blockbuster Movies This Summer

[Jello Biafra]

Five movies with budgets ranging from $100 million to $175 million-plus are aiming for blockbuster status — but all are far from sure things.
This story first appeared in the May 16 issue of The Hollywood Reporter magazine.

Maleficent(MAY 30)

Budget: $175 million-plus

Why it's vulnerable: Disney's fairy tale might need to gross $500 million worldwide just to recoup.

Path to success: Frozen has revived interest in princesses.

Hot seat: $20 million star Angelina Jolie and first-time director Robert Stromberg.


Edge of Tomorrow (JUNE 6)

Budget: $175 million-plus

Why it's vulnerable: The Warner Bros. sci-fi epic feels just like Tom Cruise's last (soft) film,Oblivion.

Path to success: Overseas: Oblivion grossing nearly $200 million internationally, compared with $89.1 million domestically.

Hot seat: Cruise and director Doug Liman, who needs a hit.


Jupiter Ascending(JULY 18)

Budget: $150 million

Why it's vulnerable: The Wachowskis' last film, Cloud Atlas, failed ($130 million global).

Path to success: The Matrix filmmakers have appealing stars in Channing Tatum and Mila Kunis.

Hot seat: Tatum (in pointy ears).


Hercules(JULY 25)

Budget: $100 million

Why it's vulnerable: Sandal movies largely have failed of late.

Path to success: Bankable global star Dwayne Johnson.

Hot seat: MGM and Paramount, which co-financed.


Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (AUG. 8)

Budget: $120 million

Why it's vulnerable: TMNT have been out of movies for 20 years.

Path to success: Cross-generational appeal.

Hot seat: Producer Michael Bay.

From 'Maleficent' to 'Hercules': Summer's 5 Biggest Box-Office Risks - The Hollywood Reporter


I am thinking that Jupiter Ascending is going to be the riskiest movie of the summer and the one with the biggest shot at flopping. The Wachowski Siblings have had a bit of rough go at the box office after The Matrix Trilogy.

 

[Ashtrey]

@ TMNT being risky.

 

[Big Blue]

Guardians of the Galaxy is the riskiest IMO.

 

[itsyoung!!]

Edge of tomorrow

they going hard with that and Malenifcent advertising like I never seen before

I think Malenicent will do good just cause its a disney movie but Edge of Tomorrow $175 million budget

they better hope that international saves em like it did Oblivion (which I thought was a decent movie, not bad, not great). I just dont see it doing too well

I think Hercules and TMNT go way past those numbers though

 

[BonafideDefacto]

TMNT will kill them all in the box office
But honestly...
Jupiter Ascending will struggle out of the 5 the most
At least Edge of Tomorrow has Tom
and Tom never disappoints when it comes to action
But hoping Tatum and Kunis can rack in 100mil+ is reaching​

 

[Panther]

I think TMNT wins out of this group... I also expect the rock and angelina to do solid #s

 

[BasedPrime]

Another Hercules? Wasnt one released not too long ago

 

[Food Mane]

The Tatum Kunis one has flop written all over it

 

[Jello Biafra]

Guardians of the Galaxy is the riskiest IMO.

They are going by production budget and Marvel isn't sharing the budget for Guardians of the Galaxy.

 

[kingdarius]

TMNT gon make bread....jupiter ascending gonna flop so hard, like john mars type of flop

 

[Poetical Poltergeist]

Jolie and tmnt should do better numbers...hurcules and Jupiter gonna flop.




Edge of tomorrow looks like oblivion numbers.

 

[R=G]

I don't know about Cruise 's movie. Look shaky.....definitely checking out Rocky 's Hercules....didn't know Mila had a movie this year....Angelina 's movie will do well. Megan and Ninja Turtles will make money too.

 

[Spaceman Piff]

@ these budgets


a rookie director getting 175m and angelina jolie?

 

[MidniteJay]

Jupiter Ascending seems like a guaranteed fail.

 

[2 Up 2 Down]

TMNT looks like it'll be for actual fans of the comics or the original live-action movie