The 2012 MLB Random Thoughts Thread

HHR

Do what you love
Joined
Apr 30, 2012
Messages
19,021
Reputation
1,622
Daps
39,393
Team success isn't accounted as it is in The NBA.

It's much more problematic in basketball it's infinitely more difficult to determine individual value. In baseball however, the sport's setup affords the ability to separate a player's performance from that of his teammates.
 

jfkennedy

Best After Bobby
Joined
May 26, 2012
Messages
11,414
Reputation
1,086
Daps
18,596
Not even a little bit. Why would it? The MVP isn't a team award.

Hypothetically, if the Sox choke and then Tigers win the division, and the Angles finish behind the A's and O's.....but the Angels have a better record than the Tigers....would that affect your vote?

I'm just asking because I know it affects a lot of voters thinking.

Mike Trout AL MVP Award bid could come down to Angels' record | MLB.com: News

I've even heard them talk on MLB Tonight about Braun gaining ground because of the Brewers recent resurgence.
 

nomoreneveragain

Superstar
Joined
May 9, 2012
Messages
17,448
Reputation
1,450
Daps
29,405
I don't think you can put a number on Defense, Defense is ore about field placement and scouting.

is Trout Defense worth 2.5 wins better than Miggy's bat?

I'll give you the basestealing but I'd like to think Miggy's 20 odd more XBH evens that out.

Cano has a higher WAR than Miggy, by no means Cano is having the type of season WAR is making it out to be. WAR doesn't even take into account Cano's Stupid baserunning.
 

HHR

Do what you love
Joined
Apr 30, 2012
Messages
19,021
Reputation
1,622
Daps
39,393
I don't think you can put a number on Defense, Defense is ore about field placement and scouting.

I agree that it's difficult to put an exact value on, but to say it's more about positioning and scouting is ridiculous. That's part of it, but it's a gross oversimplification. But, whether or not we can gauge the exact value in "wins" is irrelevant in this case, because Trout is by all accounts (eye-test, scouting and advanced metrics) an ELITE CF while Cabrera is a well below-average 3B.

is Trout Defense worth 2.5 wins better than Miggy's bat?

I don't know why we're comparing Trout's glove to Miggy's bat. I'll say that the gap between them on defense is much bigger than the gap between them on offense.


I'll give you the basestealing but I'd like to think Miggy's 20 odd more XBH evens that out.

Cabrera has 64 more Total Bases. But Trout's 42 more steals cut away a lot of that gap...and his taking of extra bases combined with Cabrera's inability to do the same certainly makes up the other 22 bases.

Looking at the Baseball Prospectus baserunning metrics, Trout has been worth 10.1 runs while Cabrera has been worth -5.2

Tens runs is generally equal to a win...so there's 1.5 wins in Trout's favor.

Cano has a higher WAR than Miggy, by no means Cano is having the type of season WAR is making it out to be. WAR doesn't even take into account Cano's Stupid baserunning.

Cano is having a fukking great season...but he has a higher WAR because of DEFENSE. Cabrera leads in oWAR (offensive WAR) 7.0-5.2...but again, defense matters. And yes, Baseball-Reference factors in baserunning when calculating WAR, and yes Cano's is negative.
 

Regular_P

Just end the season.
Joined
May 1, 2012
Messages
80,672
Reputation
10,217
Daps
216,122
Cano's having a good, not great season. He's a terrific player, but let's not get carried away now.

It's insane to discount team success when evaluating MVPs. There's a big difference in the pressure of playing in a pennant race vs. playing with no expectations and nothing to lose. It's no different than how some guys can't play in NY or Boston, but are fine anywhere else or a pitcher throwing stressful innings.
 

jfkennedy

Best After Bobby
Joined
May 26, 2012
Messages
11,414
Reputation
1,086
Daps
18,596
Miguel just CRUSHED a pitch, wow. Gotdamn.

I was getting mad that they were basically walking him every time he was up.
 

HHR

Do what you love
Joined
Apr 30, 2012
Messages
19,021
Reputation
1,622
Daps
39,393
Cano's having a good, not great season. He's a terrific player, but let's not get carried away now.

It's insane to discount team success when evaluating MVPs. There's a big difference in the pressure of playing in a pennant race vs. playing with no expectations and nothing to lose.

I don't have a problem using being in a pennant race as a factor when it's close....but every player in any MVP "discussion" this year is IN A PENNANT RACE. Trout, Cabrera, McCutchen, Braun, Molina, etc....all in the race. So miss with that shyt.

And anytime you can get .300/.371/.540 from a 2B with above-average defense...that's pretty fukking great.
 

Regular_P

Just end the season.
Joined
May 1, 2012
Messages
80,672
Reputation
10,217
Daps
216,122
I don't have a problem using being in a pennant race as a factor when it's close....but every player in any MVP "discussion" this year is IN A PENNANT RACE. Trout, Cabrera, McCutchen, Braun, Molina, etc....all in the race. So miss with that shyt.

And anytime you can get .300/.371/.540 from a 2B with above-average defense...that's pretty fukking great.

And you've said over and over again that team record shouldn't have any effect on MVP voting because it's an individual award. So miss me with that shyt.

In comparison to the actual great seasons going on around him, he's been pretty good, not "pretty fukking great."
 

HHR

Do what you love
Joined
Apr 30, 2012
Messages
19,021
Reputation
1,622
Daps
39,393
The times where team success should have impacted an MVP vote are few and far between.

The idea that Trout is more worthy of the award based on whether his teammates play well enough to make the playoffs is absurd.
 

The War Report

NewNewYork
Joined
Apr 30, 2012
Messages
51,605
Reputation
5,150
Daps
109,684
Reppin
The Empire State
I don't have a problem using being in a pennant race as a factor when it's close....but every player in any MVP "discussion" this year is IN A PENNANT RACE. Trout, Cabrera, McCutchen, Braun, Molina, etc....all in the race. So miss with that shyt.

And anytime you can get .300/.371/.540 from a 2B with above-average defense...that's pretty fukking great.

The production that he provides at his position is unparalleled.
 
Top