Grading System:
Top 5 grade = All Pro caliber player
Top 10 grade = Perennial Pro Bowl caliber player
1st round grade = High level starter with Pro Bowl potential
2nd round grade = Solid Starter
3rd round grade = Backup with spot starter potential
4th round or later = Perennial backup
Quarterbacks: Positional Grade = D
1. Tua Tagovailoa (Alabama) - 2nd round grade....NFL comp: poor man's Russell Wilson
2. Joe Burrow (LSU) - 2nd round grade....NFL comp: Alex Smith/David Klingler
3. Jalen Hurts (Oklahoma) - 2nd round grade.....NFL comp: Dak Prescott/Tyrod Taylor
4. Jordan Love (Utah St.) - 3rd round grade.....NFL comp: less athletic Marcus Mariota
5. Jake Fromm (Georgia) - 4th round grade......NFL comp: Matt Barkley
Running Backs: Positional Grade = C-
1. J.K. Dobbins (Ohio St.) - 1st round grade....NFL comp: more athletic Ray Rice
2. A.J. Dillon (Boston College) - 2nd round grade.....NFL comp: bigger Michael Turner
3. Clyde Edwards-Helaire (LSU) - 2nd round grade.....NFL comp: Mark Ingram
4. Zack Moss (Utah) - 2nd round grade
5. Cam Akers (Florida St.) - 2nd round grade
6. D'Andre Swift (Georgia) - 2nd round grade
7. Jonathan Taylor (Wisconsin) - 2nd round grade......NFL comp: bigger Michael Bennett (Vikings RB)
Wide Receivers: Positional Grade = B+
1. Tee Higgins (Clemson) - Top 10 grade.....NFL comp: AJ Green
2. Marquez Callaway (Tennessee) - 1st round grade.....NFL comp: DeAndre Hopkins
3. Bryan Edwards (South Carolina) - 1st round grade.....NFL comp: Allen Robinson
4. Jauan Jennings (Tennessee) - 1st round grade......NFL comp: Carl Pickens
5. KJ Hamler (Penn St.) - 1st round grade.....NFL comp: Desean Jackson/Tyreek Hill
6. Laviska Shenault (Colorado) - 1st round grade......NFL comp: Percy Harvin
7. Brandon Aiyuk (Arizona St.) - 1st round grade.....NFL comp: Chris Godwin
8. Denzel Mims (Baylor) - 2nd round grade.......NFL comp: Torrey Smith
9. Quez Watkins (Southern Miss) - 2nd round grade
10. Justin Jefferson (LSU) - 2nd round grade
11. CeeDee Lamb (Oklahoma) - 2nd round grade
12. Jerry Jeudy (Alabama) - 2nd round grade
13. Jeff Thomas (Miami) - 2nd round grade
14. Henry Ruggs III (Alabama) - 3rd round grade
Top 5 grade = All Pro caliber player
Top 10 grade = Perennial Pro Bowl caliber player
1st round grade = High level starter with Pro Bowl potential
2nd round grade = Solid Starter
3rd round grade = Backup with spot starter potential
4th round or later = Perennial backup
Quarterbacks: Positional Grade = D
1. Tua Tagovailoa (Alabama) - 2nd round grade....NFL comp: poor man's Russell Wilson
2. Joe Burrow (LSU) - 2nd round grade....NFL comp: Alex Smith/David Klingler
3. Jalen Hurts (Oklahoma) - 2nd round grade.....NFL comp: Dak Prescott/Tyrod Taylor
4. Jordan Love (Utah St.) - 3rd round grade.....NFL comp: less athletic Marcus Mariota
5. Jake Fromm (Georgia) - 4th round grade......NFL comp: Matt Barkley
- As you can tell by the grades, I don't think much of this QB class. In terms of pure talent, Tua is the best QB in this draft. However, he has significant durability concerns as well as not having ideal arm strength. And while he's a good athlete, he's nowhere near the athlete Russell Wilson is. That's why I say he's a poor man's Russell Wilson. With that said, I can't deny that Tua has some "magic" to him. I could see him coming into the league and having a few great seasons before eventually being done in by his lack of durability. This year's QB class is weak and I wouldn't draft any of these guys high in the 1st round given their flaws.
- The Joe Burrow hype never made any sense to me. I know he had a great season but at the end of the day the draft is about your physical traits and how you project at the next level. Its not about how good you were for one college season. I had a hard time finding a comp for Burrow but what I do like about him is his athleticism. He's not a great athlete but I like his movement skills in the pocket, his ability to escape and make plays, as well as his toughness. What I don't like is his lack of elite arm talent. Almost all of the throws he made in college were pretty routine. He also had the benefit of a lot of elite talent around him especially at the WR position making things easy for him. If he was being projected in the 2nd-3rd round I would have no problem because he does have the ability to be a mediocre starter in the NFL. But as the 1st overall pick he's a laughable selection. This is the equivalent of taking a player like Andy Dalton #1 overall. It makes no sense. Andy Dalton caliber QBs are solid options for teams with a good supporting cast. However, you cannot build a franchise around someone like Joe Burrow. He's not got talent like that.
- Finally, I like Jalen Hurts as a good developmental QB who has a chance to be a solid starter down the road. Give him an elite roster like Dak has had in Dallas and he'll win a lot of games. Don't put any talent around him like Tyrod Taylor has had more most of his career and you're looking at a journeyman QB. Like all mid-round QBs, where he goes and who he plays with will be critical for Hurts success.
Running Backs: Positional Grade = C-
1. J.K. Dobbins (Ohio St.) - 1st round grade....NFL comp: more athletic Ray Rice
2. A.J. Dillon (Boston College) - 2nd round grade.....NFL comp: bigger Michael Turner
3. Clyde Edwards-Helaire (LSU) - 2nd round grade.....NFL comp: Mark Ingram
4. Zack Moss (Utah) - 2nd round grade
5. Cam Akers (Florida St.) - 2nd round grade
6. D'Andre Swift (Georgia) - 2nd round grade
7. Jonathan Taylor (Wisconsin) - 2nd round grade......NFL comp: bigger Michael Bennett (Vikings RB)
- Overall this RB class is below average. I see one great running back in the class (J.K. Dobbins) and a few good starters but overall its lacking the top-end talent and depth we saw in 2017 and 2018.
- IMO J.K. Dobbins is the clear-cut best RB in this class. He's got great speed, power, make you miss ability, and vision. As long as he can stay healthy he'll be a Pro-Bowl caliber RB in the NFL. After Dobbins I like Dillon, Edwards-Helaire, and Moss. All 3 are power backs with great ability to break tackles. I have Dillon rated ahead of Edwards-Helaire/Moss because of his superior breakaway ability in the open field.
- I know everybody is wondering why I'm not that high on Jonathan Taylor and D'Andre Swift the two consensus top RBs in this class. Well both have flaws I'm concerned about. With Taylor its mainly his ability to make people miss. In a straight line he's awesome (like Michael Bennett from back in the early 2000s). However, he won't be running behind an elite o-line in the NFL at all times that will open up alleys for him to take it 80 yards. He's gonna have holes that close quickly where you need burst and the ability to make guys miss. I haven't seen that skill set from Jonathan Taylor, hence why he's ranked lower on my board than others.
- When it comes to D'Andre Swift, I like him but he always looks just average to me. I don't see any elite qualities in his game. He's neither incredibly explosive, nor does he make people misss, nor does he truck dudes. He's just average. And I'm not that eager on taking average players that high in the draft.
Wide Receivers: Positional Grade = B+
1. Tee Higgins (Clemson) - Top 10 grade.....NFL comp: AJ Green
2. Marquez Callaway (Tennessee) - 1st round grade.....NFL comp: DeAndre Hopkins
3. Bryan Edwards (South Carolina) - 1st round grade.....NFL comp: Allen Robinson
4. Jauan Jennings (Tennessee) - 1st round grade......NFL comp: Carl Pickens
5. KJ Hamler (Penn St.) - 1st round grade.....NFL comp: Desean Jackson/Tyreek Hill
6. Laviska Shenault (Colorado) - 1st round grade......NFL comp: Percy Harvin
7. Brandon Aiyuk (Arizona St.) - 1st round grade.....NFL comp: Chris Godwin
8. Denzel Mims (Baylor) - 2nd round grade.......NFL comp: Torrey Smith
9. Quez Watkins (Southern Miss) - 2nd round grade
10. Justin Jefferson (LSU) - 2nd round grade
11. CeeDee Lamb (Oklahoma) - 2nd round grade
12. Jerry Jeudy (Alabama) - 2nd round grade
13. Jeff Thomas (Miami) - 2nd round grade
14. Henry Ruggs III (Alabama) - 3rd round grade
- First of all, people are overrating this WR class. Its definitely good but not as great as the media hype. Its not one of the greatest WR class ever or anywhere close to it. However, its very deep with guys who will be quality starters.
- The best WR in this class without a doubt is Tee Higgins. He's the one with the most star ability. He reminds me a lot of AJ Green in terms of size, build, and ball skills. AJ Green was a little stronger and faster. After Tee Higgins I absolutely love Marquez Callaway, Bryan Edwards, and Jauan Jennings. I got to watch all three closely in the SEC and they have the size and ball skills to be elite jump ball WRs. They're not the most athletic guys in the world which is why they are lower on draft boards than they should be but they have the sorts of skills that translate to the next level for a receiver.
- KJ Hamler is a guy who shocked me when I turned on his film. I'd never watched him before so I went into his tape without any preconceptions. After a few seconds my jaw was on the floor and I was wondering if he was the best WR in this class. This guy is incredibly explosive with elite make you miss ability. His only flaw is his lack of size. But in today's NFL with the physicality being taken out, there's a good chance he turns into a star in the NFL. He's not quite Tyreek Hill because he lacks Hill's mass. But he has the same speed and make you miss ability.
- I also really like Brandon Aiyuk and Laviska Shenault. Both can be great #2 WRs. They might never be elite Pro Bowl caliber WRs but they will be extremely valuable to whatever teams they go to. Next are Mims and Jefferson. Both are good receivers. I can see them developing into solid #2 WRs for the teams that pick them. I would rate them slightly lower than Aiyuk and Shenault who might have more "star" moments.
- And finally, where are Jerry Jeudy, CeeDee Lamb, and Henry Ruggs III? The three receivers the media has been touting as the best in this class. Well to put it simply I found very little in their tape to get excited about. All three looked pretty average to me. Jeudy and Lamb lack elite physical traits. And Ruggs while fast gives you little else. All three look like locks to be taken in the 1st round and I wouldn't be surprised if all 3 are not resigned by their original teams after their rookie contracts expire. They might not be outright busts that are outta the league in 4 years. But they will definitely not be guys who will be in line for big second contracts after their rookie deals expire.
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