Remote

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The probability of hitting a two-point conversion is around 45-50% - whereas the extra point is around 98-99.9%. Not only is it smarter to force the opposition to a 45-50% play (rather than one that's a near certainty), but you don't put yourself in the position of going for a play that only has a 45-50% strike rate when you could go for one that's near 100% - forcing the opposition then to go for a play that only has a 45-50% strike rate rather than one that's a near certainty.

It was the wrong call. Period.
Except this is a game with like 6 lead changes and Carroll has to make the decision to put his faith in a defense that hasn't been able to stop NE all night.

Why don't you post the winning percentages of having a 2 score lead with 4 minutes remaining?

:jbhmm:
 
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Stone

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The probability of hitting a two-point conversion is around 45-50% - whereas the extra point is around 98-99.9%. Not only is it smarter to force the opposition to a 45-50% play (rather than one that's a near certainty), but you don't put yourself in the position of going for a play that only has a 45-50% strike rate when you could go for one that's near 100% - forcing the opposition to then go for a play that only has a 45-50% strike rate rather than one that's a near certainty.

It was the wrong call. Period.
what are the odds the Patriots win if Seattle makes that 2 pointer though?
 
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