Take_Note

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If NE can get the touchdown, I'm thinking they go for a field goal and take their chances in over time rather than trying to win it with a 2-point conversion
 
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But if you get it, they leave NE with 4 minutes to get a TD and a FG instead of a TD and a 2 pointer.

The game is essentially over if they get it there.
The probability of hitting a two-point conversion is around 45-50% - whereas the extra point is around 98-99.9%. Not only is it smarter to force the opposition to a 45-50% play (rather than one that's a near certainty), but you don't put yourself in the position of going for a play that only has a 45-50% strike rate when you could go for one that's near 100% - forcing the opposition to then go for a play that only has a 45-50% strike rate rather than one that's a near certainty.

Basically what I'm saying is - force the opposition into the going for the riskier play. It was the wrong call. Period.
 
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