shyt 2/3 of my plays have turned against me. I knew the prpl one was risky but I thought it was really about to have the ass fall out. That spxu still has time. My flex is dropping in price but I’m still up so I might sell it. Been reading more about debit and credit spreads. It’s time to start limiting risk like it was alluded to early on in this thread.
I can’t lie I like the riskiness of uncovered positions but I like winning more
I’m teetering but I got family so i gotta chillbreh you sound like you about to go deep into the rabbit hole
Seeing those numbers pop green is an amazing feeling
I was reading up on LEAPs over the weekend. Apparently, because the interest rates & volatility are so low, the prices are historically low. My understanding is that you can be directionally wrong on some calls but still potentially profit if there is a change in interest rates or the markets getting more uncertain.I’m into LEAPS at this moment. Gives a lot of time for a stock to rebound if it starts sinking a bit.
Based on what I've read, selling premium is inherently good for these leveraged ETFs:
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I’m thinking of placing this Monday afternoon. I’m attracted to the high reward to risk factor. The only thing I’m concerned about is implied volatility is kinda high on each side.
What are y’all thoughts?
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4055732-selling-calls-on-triple-leveraged-etfs-easy-money[...]
In fact, leveraged ETFs, given enough time, all go in one direction-down. This is due to the nature of volatility. Consider the following example.
Janet Yellen gives a hawkish speech, thus worrying investors about interest rate hikes and causing gold stocks to crater, falling 10% in a day (for illustrative purposes, assume the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) falls from 100 to 90). The next day, Yellen "walks back" her comments, causing markets to reverse their moves, with GDX rallying 10% (from 90 to 99). So the gold stock investor is down, but not by much, while someone short gold stocks is up the same 1%.
Now consider the popular-and wonderfully named-leveraged gold stock ETFs from a firm called Direxion, which offer 3X daily exposure to GDX. The Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 3x Shares ETF (NYSEARCA:NUGT) went down a whopping 30% the first day (from 100 to 70), then rallied 30% the next day to…91. As you can see, despite the index having barely budged, the leverage factor has been ruinous to the long gold investor.
But wait, it gets worse. The owner of the Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 3x Shares ETF (NYSEARCA:DUST) (perhaps my favorite ETF name) was dancing in the streets after day 1, with his fund soaring from 100 to 130. But after day 2, the fund not only retraced that gain, but fell all the way to…91!
Thanks for your analysis. The lower legs def concern me in the event of a sell off. I’ve studied this stock for some time and it usually recovers its losses quickly. The dilemma is if it drops the day before expiration I’m screwed.Based on what I've read, selling premium is inherently good for these leveraged ETFs:
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4055732-selling-calls-on-triple-leveraged-etfs-easy-money
Looking @ the stats, Implied Volatility may have peaked for the month which means people long vol are slowly being bled out:
I like it as long as the bottom doesn't fall out. Not sure if you are going off of Technical Analysis or not, but it could definitely stay between your short legs based on short term support/resistance:
However, if the markets sell off, I am pretty sure the Nasdaq will fall fast and drag Semicondutors down with it, breaking $210 in a hurry.
Happy I didn’t follow through with this trade. Soxl closed over $245. Ultimately the fact that it wasn’t very liquid made me not place the trade.Thanks for your analysis. The lower legs def concern me in the event of a sell off. I’ve studied this stock for some time and it usually recovers its losses quickly. The dilemma is if it drops the day before expiration I’m screwed.