Exactlyyyyyy Ukraine shouldve been the last one but the express path to NATO put that on a collision course and here we are. So the plan now is
-De facto Anchluss with Belarus
-Economic dominion of Central Asian states through Eurasian Union/SCO and some military dominance like the peacekeeping mission in Kazakh a month ago, until they can also be absorbed.
-Partition or subjugation of Ukraine outright
-Fomenting a second Balkans war to prevent Moldova, Herzegovina, Kosovo and more from joining NATO
-A second invasion of Georgia
- Once again using Ethnic Russians to foment dissent in border countries with high Russian populations i.e. The Baltics and destabilize them internally without firing a shot
-Unlikely but maybe an incursion into Finland, dont see them going as far as Sweden theres no historical cassus belli for the Russians there.
He can get away with all these things without triggering Article 5 or gathering massive numbers like he had to for Ukraine.
Sweden and Russia have beef that goes back to the 12th century, breh...
List of wars between Russia and Sweden - Wikipedia
Swedish–Novgorodian Wars A series of conflicts between the 12th and 14th centuries.
Russo-Swedish War (1495–1497) Result of an alliance between
Ivan III of Russia and
Hans of Denmark.
Russo-Swedish War (1554–1557) Prelude to the Livonian War.
Livonian War (1558–1582) Fought for control of Old Livonia in the territory of present-day
Estonia and
Latvia.
Russo-Swedish War (1590–1595) Instigated by
Boris Godunov in the hope of gaining the territory of the
Duchy of Estonia.
De la Gardie campaign (1609-1610) A military campaign to put
Vasili IV on the Russian throne. Part of the
Polish–Muscovite War (1605–18). The campaign can be considered a prelude to the Ingrian War.
Ingrian War (1610-1617) Including an attempt to put a Swedish duke on the Russian throne.
Russo-Swedish War (1656–1658) Part of the
Second Northern War.
Great Northern War (1700–1721) Conflict in which a coalition led by the Tsardom of Russia successfully contested the supremacy of the Swedish Empire in northern Central Europe and Eastern Europe.
Russo-Swedish War (1741–1743) Also known as the Hats' Russian War.
Russo-Swedish War (1788–1790) Also known as
Gustav III's Russian War in Sweden, and
Catherine II's Swedish War in Russia.
Finnish War (1808–1809) Resulted in the eastern third of Sweden being established as the autonomous Grand Duchy of Finland within the Russian control.