Putin is holding back. He has not yet used:
1. Any strategic bombers like Tu-22M, Tu-95 or Tu-160
2. Any EW/AWAC/ground command planes like Tu-214, A-50, Il-80
3. Much artillery at all beside a few SMERCH rockets
Also US intelligence has stated Russia is using 1/3rd of their force. It’s weird the way Russia is waging this war. When it came to Syria they went all out using their firepower. Russia underestimated the collective will of the Ukrainian people. The fact they haven’t even used their cyber capabilities to shut off the internet or the electrical grid. It’s still early and Russia is advancing the south. But Putin is facing a lot of unnecessary cost. If he thinks holding his military back will win him some points with the Ukrainian people is delusional. The people hate Russia since 2014. If he installs a puppet govt in Kiev and withdraws Russian military forces that puppet govt will collapse faster than the Afghan govt.
Russia haven't fought a proper war on the ground since Afghanistan so that's what 40-45 years ago. Everything else since then is theyve bullied with firepower from afar because they knew they didn't have a threat to worry about. Bombing Ukraine more and more means even if they do capture Kyiv and put in a puppet government they going to have to rebuild the City and rest of the country. And with what money with the sanctions? That 650bil safety net probably doesn't have a rebuild Ukraine plan in it.
Considering how badly Ukraine is divided ethnically, how will Ukraine be able to function after this war ?
-If Russia wins, Lviv and Kiev don't and won't fukk with whoever will be president and there will most likely be West-backed protests the moment Russian forces leave (if they ever leave)
-If Ukraine wins, they'll still have Donbass, Louhansk and Crimea problems to solve.
-A draw would keep the current status quo in a devastasted country
I really don't see how the future will be positive for them
Very true. Infact with all those sanction are they even able to replenish their equipment with that safety net? They might have weakened themselves for decades to come.
Yeah this is weird because this doesnt fit his blitzkrieg strategy where you're supposed to go all out. He wants to take Kiev asap but without much damage to gain sympathy from Ukrainians maybe ?Putin is holding back. He has not yet used:
1. Any strategic bombers like Tu-22M, Tu-95 or Tu-160
2. Any EW/AWAC/ground command planes like Tu-214, A-50, Il-80
3. Much artillery at all beside a few SMERCH rockets
Also US intelligence has stated Russia is using 1/3rd of their force. It’s weird the way Russia is waging this war. When it came to Syria they went all out using their firepower. Russia underestimated the collective will of the Ukrainian people. The fact they haven’t even used their cyber capabilities to shut off the internet or the electrical grid. It’s still early and Russia is advancing the south. But Putin is facing a lot of unnecessary cost. If he thinks holding his military back will win him some points with the Ukrainian people is delusional. The people hate Russia since 2014. If he installs a puppet govt in Kiev and withdraws Russian military forces that puppet govt will collapse faster than the Afghan govt.
Considering how badly Ukraine is divided ethnically, how will Ukraine be able to function after this war ?
-If Russia wins, Lviv and Kiev don't and won't fukk with whoever will be president and there will most likely be West-backed protests the moment Russian forces leave (if they ever leave)
-If Ukraine wins, they'll still have Donbass, Louhansk and Crimea problems to solve.
-A draw would keep the current status quo in a devastasted country
I really don't see how the future will be positive for them
Zelensky got more street cred than your favorite rapper
From what it looks Russia will install a puppet govt and this govt will turn Ukraine into a confederation. Giving autonomy to the East and south. Then a violent armed revolt overthrows this puppet govt. In the midst of the chaos Russia uses that as pretext to maintain control of eastern Ukraine to “protect” Russian speakers. Thus turning it into a cold conflict.Considering how badly Ukraine is divided ethnically, how will Ukraine be able to function after this war ?
-If Russia wins, Lviv and Kiev don't and won't fukk with whoever will be president and there will most likely be West-backed protests the moment Russian forces leave (if they ever leave)
-If Ukraine wins, they'll still have Donbass, Louhansk and Crimea problems to solve.
-A draw would keep the current status quo in a devastasted country
I really don't see how the future will be positive for them