Russia's Invasion of Ukraine (Official Thread)

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In NATO’s Newest Member, ‘Total Defense’ Includes Teens and Retirees
Sweden’s approach to national security offers a model for other European countries fearing Russian aggression

Daniel MichaelsUpdated Feb. 26, 2024 at 3:13 pm ET
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson on a Swedish fast-assault craft.
When Sweden joins NATO as soon as this week, the alliance will gain a solidly anti-Russian member with a robust military that provides critical defense of Europe’s northern flank.

“Everyone between the ages of 16 and 70 living in Sweden is part of Sweden’s total defense,” states the government emergency information website.

By conveying to ordinary people the need for security, Sweden also wins broad support for its military industry, which ranks among the world’s top in technology and exports.

“This is an area where I think Sweden punches above its weight,” said Defense Minister Pal Jonson.


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Hungary has approved Sweden’s bid to join NATO, clearing the last hurdle for the alliance to complete a historic expansion launched in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. WSJ’s Sune Engel Rasmussen explains what Sweden will bring to the Western bloc. Photo Illustration: Marina Costa
The decision in May 2022 by Sweden and neighbor Finland to abandon decades of nonalignment and join the alliance was prompted by chilling proposals from Russia in December 2021—two months before it attacked Kyiv—that the North Atlantic Treaty Organization roll back its post-Cold War expansion and pledge to accept no more members.

Both countries had long invested heavily in defense and devoted resources to preparing for a potential Russian attack, offering them security through the Cold War and after. But Finland, which fought wars against the Soviet Union and shares an 800-mile border with Russia, had long maintained for itself the option of joining NATO.

Russia’s threat to deny it that choice, followed by its invasion of Ukraine, prompted Helsinki’s quick shift to apply for membership. Sweden followed suit. Finland joined NATO last April.

“It’s a step-change for NATO deterrence and defense,” said Oana Lungescu, a distinguished fellow at British think tank the Royal United Services Institute and a former NATO spokeswoman, of the Nordic duo joining. “It’s a strategic surprise and totally against what Russia had in mind.”

Inside NATO, the new Nordic members bring a whole new mindset, say European officials. Sweden modeled much of its approach on Finland’s readiness plans, and after Russia seized Crimea from Ukraine in 2014, Stockholm dusted off its playbook, dubbed “Total Defense.”

A 20-page government brochure, titled “If Crisis Or War Comes,” admonishes citizens that, “If Sweden is attacked, resistance is required.”

Sweden’s all-of-society approach is notable because, like most of Europe, it shares no land border with Russia and long sought to engage with Moscow through business deals and diplomacy. Military leaders and top officials in Britain, Denmark and NATO’s headquarters have recently urged other members to act more like Finland and Sweden due to growing threats from Russia, China and other adversaries.


Swedish CV90 armored combat vehicles are prized on the battlefield in Ukraine. Photo: genya savilov/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images
“This whole-of-society approach is something we’re all talking about,” said Dutch Defense Minister Kajsa Ollongren, whose mother is Swedish. “In the Netherlands, people think security is something the military can take care of,” and now the government is trying to spark a wider debate, she said.

Finland, which Swedes consider the leader in total defense, “is very creative and does a good job educating the public about disinformation” and other threats, such as by reaching older people through public libraries, said Vera Jourova, the European Union’s commissioner for values and transparency. She heads to Helsinki this week to meet Finland’s defense minister and visit the European Center of Excellence for Countering Hybrid Threats, an autonomous international organization linked to NATO and the EU.

“It comes down to creating awareness in your society that the security environment has deteriorated dramatically in recent years,” said Jonson, Sweden’s defense minister. The country is beefing up civil defenses and urges private citizens to keep two weeks of supplies at home, including food, water and radios that don’t need batteries.


Sweden produces its own advanced jet fighter, the Saab Gripen. Photo: piroschka van de wouw/Reuters
Sweden’s Civil Contingencies Agency, which promotes preparation for natural disasters, terrorist or cyberattacks, and war, works closely with its military, Jonson said.

“The Swedish armed forces are very dependent on civil society” in areas ranging from transportation to healthcare, he said.

Swedish popular support for the armed forces reached 81% last year, according to a survey conducted for the Defense Materiel Administration. That marked the highest level since the survey began in 2012, when support stood at 56%.

Support for the military also translates to support for Ukraine in its fight against Russia. Sweden recently announced its 15th package of military support to Ukraine, valued at more than $690 million, its largest yet. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said on X that the equipment is “meeting some of our front-line warriors’ most pressing needs.”

Swedish Archer mobile artillery systems and CV90 armored combat vehicles are prized on the battlefield in Ukraine, and new guided rocket bombs produced in partnership with
Boeing
recently started to hit Russian targets there.


Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, left, and his Hungarian counterpart, Viktor Orban, after a joint press conference in Budapest last week. Photo: attila kisbenedek/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images
Sweden is set to become NATO’s 32nd member, after Hungary’s parliament approved its membership and ended a protracted process that had been delayed by objections from Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban.

Hungary’s approval must still be signed into law and then deposited in Washington, where the State Department administers NATO’s founding treaty. Once that is done, Sweden will officially be a member and its flag will be raised at NATO’s headquarters in Brussels, where a flagpole was installed late last year.

Since both Sweden and Finland have for years joined with NATO in exercises and other readiness measures, their membership will trigger only limited near-term change inside the alliance. Finland recently trained allied troops in one of their specialties, winter-survival skills, NATO said.

Over time, they will have a broader impact, say diplomats. Both spend more on defense than NATO’s targeted 2% of gross domestic product, expanding the alliance faction that invests in preparedness—joining Poland, the Baltic states, Britain and Germany, which is now working to reverse years of low military outlays.

NATO with Finland and Sweden will also now control nearly the entire Baltic Sea, except for a small corner fronting Russian territory near St. Petersburg. The Baltic’s NATO-ization means that any Russian sea vessel launching into the Atlantic must pass alliance shores, either through the Baltic gauntlet or to the north, past founding NATO member Norway.


NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg in Stockholm last year. Photo: jonathan nackstrand/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images
Broad support for the military, combined with Sweden’s booming civilian tech sector, has helped keep its arms industry at the cutting edge. The country of roughly 10.6 million people—or fewer than North Carolina—designed and produces its own advanced jet fighter, the Saab Gripen. Saab also makes sophisticated submarines and, with Boeing, is now producing the Ground-Launched Small Diameter Bomb for use in Ukraine and the T-7 Red Hawk jet trainer for the U.S. Air Force.

The strength of Sweden’s defense industry stems from its years as a nonaligned yet heavily armed country, similar to Switzerland. Leaders in Stockholm wanted not only a ready military, but self-sufficiency in weaponry. To fund weapons development, Sweden became one of the world’s top arms exporters.

Today, Sweden works to pull civilian technologies from its tech sector, which spawned successes including Spotify, financial platform Klarna and battery developer Northvolt. Innovations roll into military sensors, electronic-warfare systems and other digital equipment that is increasingly vital on the battlefield.


The government last year launched a Defense Innovation Initiative, which Jonson said aims to more aggressively integrate civil and military technologies, deepening ties between civilians and the armed forces.

Sweden has “a lot to offer when it comes to innovation, the defense industry and top-tiers of technology,” NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg told an alliance military-industry gathering near Stockholm in October.
 

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Western troops on the ground in Ukraine is not ‘ruled out’ in the future, French leader says​

French President Emmanuel Macron speaks during a press conference at the Elysee Palace in Paris, Monday, Feb. 26, 2024. More than 20 European heads of state and government and other Western officials are gathering in a show of unity for Ukraine, signaling to Russia that their support for Kyiv isn't wavering as the full-scale invasion grinds into a third year. (Gonzalo Fuentes/Pool via AP)

PARIS (AP) — French President Emmanuel Macron said Monday that sending Western troops on the ground in Ukraine is not “ruled out” in the future after the issue was debated at a gathering of European leaders in Paris, as Russia’s full-scale invasion grinds into a third year.

The French leader said that “we will do everything needed so Russia cannot win the war” after the meeting of over 20 European heads of state and government and other Western officials.

“There’s no consensus today to send in an official, endorsed manner troops on the ground. But in terms of dynamics, nothing can be ruled out,” Macron said in a news conference at the Elysee presidential palace.

Macron declined to provide details about which nations were considering sending troops, saying he prefers to maintain some “strategic ambiguity.”

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The meeting included German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and Poland’s President Andrzej Duda as well as leaders from the Baltic nations. The United States was represented by its top diplomat for Europe, James O’Brien, and the U.K. by Foreign Secretary David Cameron.

Duda said the most heated discussion was about whether to send troops to Ukraine and “there was no agreement on the matter. Opinions differ here, but there are no such decisions.”

Poland’s president said he hopes that “in the nearest future, we will jointly be able to prepare substantial shipments of ammunition to Ukraine. This is most important now. This is something that Ukraine really needs.”

Macron earlier called on European leaders to ensure the continent’s “collective security” by providing unwavering support to Ukraine in the face of tougher Russian offensives on the battlefield in recent months.

“In recent months particularly, we have seen Russia getting tougher,” Macron said.

Macron cited the need to solidify security to head off any Russian attacks on additional countries in the future. Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia as well as much larger Poland have been considered among possible targets of future Russian expansionism. All four countries are staunch supporters of Ukraine.

Estonia’s foreign minister said earlier this month that NATO has about three or four years to strengthen its defenses.

In video speech, Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy called on the leaders gathered in Paris to “ensure that Putin cannot destroy our achievements and cannot expand his aggression to other nations.”

Several European countries, including France, expressed their support for an initiative launched by the Czech Republic to buy ammunition and shells outside the EU, participants to the meeting said.

Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte said his country decided to provide over 100 million euros for that purpose.

In addition, a new coalition is to be launched to further “mobilize” nations with capabilities to deliver medium and long-range missiles, Macron said, as France announced last month the delivery of 40 additional long-range Scalp cruise missiles.

European nations are worried that the U.S. will dial back support as aid for Kyiv is teetering in Congress. They also have concerns that former U.S. President Donald Trump might return to the White House and change the course of U.S. policy on the continent.

The Paris conference comes after France, Germany and the U.K. recently signed 10-year bilateral agreements with Ukraine to send a strong signal of long-term backing as Kyiv works to shore up Western support.

___​

Associated Press journalists John Leicester and Jeffrey Schaeffer in Paris Monika Scislowska in Warsaw contributed to this report.

___​

Follow the AP’s coverage of the war at Russia-Ukraine | Breaking News & Live Updates
 

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Putin’s Allies Accused of Plotting Another Russian Land-Grab
‘GROWING APPETITE’
A Transnistrian official has warned of an imminent plan to annex part of Moldova to Russia.
Shannon Vavra

National Security Reporter
Published Feb. 26, 2024 6:20PM EST
Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Reuters/ Sergei Savostyanov/ Sputnik

An opposition official in Transnistria, the Kremlin-backed breakaway region in Moldova, has warned that the pro-separatist government will be holding an extraordinary session of congress to formally request Russian annexation this week.

“A request should be voiced, on behalf of citizens living on the Left Bank, to Russia, to accept Transnistria into the Russian Federation, and on February 29, Putin will announce this in his address,” Chorba said in a post on social media.


Moldova has long been warning of a Russian destabilization plot that has threatened to upend its existing pro-western government and influence elections. Last year, U.S. and Moldovan officials told The Daily Beast that a “very intense” Russian influence operation intended to undermine the government was underway.

Russia’s Covert Scheme for ‘Next Ukraine’ Has Already Begun
‘VERY INTENSE’
Shannon Vavra

Moldovan president Maia Sandu, who is running for reelection this fall, has also warned of a Russian plot to stage a coup against her administration.

Concerns about Russia and Transnistria potentially unifying coincide with a concerted effort by the Moldovan government to join the European Union. Last year, the European Council announced it was opening negotiations for Moldovan accession.

Moldova declared independence from the Soviet Union in 1991, but officials believe that Russia has desires to envelope it back into its fold.

Just last week, the European Union imposed sanctions on a paramilitary group and six individuals for allegedly destabilizing Moldova.

“Serious and increasingly intense attempts to destabilize the country are being made again and again,” Josep Borrell, the European Union’s High Representative for Foreign and Security Policy, said in a statement announcing the sanctions this week.

Chorba warned Sandu that Putin and his allies are unlikely to be deterred.

“Mrs. President Sandu, your surroundings frightened you in any way that Russia would strike the territory of Moldova,” he said. “You didn't take into account one thing that the psychology of the current Russian leadership, particularly Putin, is very similar to the psychology of Hitler, in the late 1930s. Attempts to pacify people like Putin lead to only one thing—a growing appetite of the aggressor.”

Russia Drops Ominous Warning About Attack on Second Country
WAR THEATER
Barbie Latza Nadeau

Officials in neighboring Ukraine have voiced doubt about whether Transnistria will follow through with an annexation request.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said Sunday he is not convinced they will move forward. “I am not sure that the Transnistrians—or whoever is present at the congress—will take this step next week. I am not sure based on the information I have,” he said, adding that Ukraine has not received any requests from Moldova to supply military aid.

At any rate, Ukraine has made its position on Transnistria clear. Senior Ukrainian diplomat Paun Rohovei met with Moldovan officials to discuss the threat last week, after which the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry issued a statement vowing to “resolutely” respond to such provocation.

“Ukraine stands solely for the peaceful settlement of the Transnistrian issue with the preservation of the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Republic of Moldova within its internationally recognized borders,” the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry said. “At the same time, Kyiv will resolutely respond to any provocations aimed both at dragging the Transnistrian region into Russia's war against Ukraine and at destabilizing the situation in Moldova as a whole.”
 

DonB90

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US needs to get the aid package done and asap and and they’re going to need some mercenaries and SAD guys in there. Moldova won’t have to lift a finger.

It’s a landlocked territory and Russia doesn’t have an Air Force
Yeah Putin is at his fukk around and find out inflection point its time for him to find out cause I actually think America been moderate on his literal Hitler-esque expedition he's implementing
 
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