Handicapping the NBA playoffs is a lot different from the NBA regular season. I wrote some words on different approaches I've taken through the postseason.
NBA Playoff Betting Trends: 6 Tips for the 2021 Postseason
NBA Playoff Trends: 6 Tips for Betting the Postseason
Appreciate how you are trying to get cats to make $$$. Some profitable analysis right here:
"This is an angle I’ve capitalized on for years, but my colleague
Bryan Mears cooked up this trend on
Bet Labs several years ago, so I’ll re-share here. Since 2005, teams down 0-2 and playing Game 3 at home are 80-38-2 ATS (67.8%).
If you blindly backed these teams, you’d have a 29.4% ROI and would be up +$3,501. Since the 2015-16 season, this trend is 29-6 ATS, hitting a whopping 82.9% of the time with a 59.9% ROI. If you blindly bet this, you would be up $2,097.
Unfortunately, oddsmakers have caught on to the impact of this trend in recent years. Over the past few seasons teams down 0-2 have been laying the same number for the first half and full game.
If a team is laying -5 for the game, they’ll also be laying -5 for the first half at this point so the edge is essentially priced out. This makes the 29-6 run we’ve seen the last four NBA seasons even more impressive.'