Predict how these demographics will vote

[GzUp]

In a Hillary vs Trump general election:

Men
Women
White
African-American
Hispanic
Asian


For reference, here is how these demographics voted in the last election:

Men (47% of the vote): Romney 52%, Obama 45%
Women (53%): Obama 55%, Romney 44%
White (72%): Romney 59%, Obama 39%
African-American (13%): Obama 93%, Romney 6%
Hispanic (10%): Obama 71%, Romney 27%
Asian (3%): Obama 73%, Romney 26%

Keep in mind that every race is expected to increase their share of the overall vote...with the exception of non-Hispanic Whites.

 

[CHL]

Women: Hillary 93%, Trump 7%

 

[SirReginald]

I think the Black vote could split if Trump really goes in on Clinton. Also, the Cubans may vote for Trump if he gets Rubio as VP (Hope he picks Carson though).

 

[Jello Biafra]

Men > Trump
Women > Clinton
White > Trump
African-American > Clinton
Hispanic > Clinton
Asian > Clinton

 

[Jello Biafra]

I think the Black vote could split if Trump really goes in on Clinton. Also, the Cubans may vote for Trump if he gets Rubio as VP (Hope he picks Carson though).

Black folks aint voting for Trump in any numbers that will matter. He'll get Omarosa and them bought and paid for preachers he invited to Trump towers but there is nothing Trump can do to get a big chunk of the black vote.
His going in on Obama like he did is more than enough to cost him the black vote.

 

[GzUp]

I was expecting numbers guys.

My prediction.

Men: Trump 49%, Clinton 48%
Women: Clinton 65%, Trump 33%
White: Trump 50%, Clinton 48%
AA: Clinton 87%, Trump 10%
Hispanic: Clinton 87%, Trump 10%
Asian: Clinton 75%, Trump 20%

 

[wire28]

Men > Trump
Women > Clinton
White > Trump
African-American > Clinton
Hispanic > Clinton
Asian > Clinton

LGBT community > Clinton
Muslims > Clinton
Basically anything other than White Males > Clinton

#ClintonGang we did it!

 

[kingofnyc]

I think the Black vote could split if Trump really goes in on Clinton. Also, the Cubans may vote for Trump if he gets Rubio as VP (Hope he picks Carson though).

i thought u was just a lil delusional
but now i think its more serious than that

 

[SirReginald]

i thought u was just a lil delusional
but now i think its more serious than that

Clinton stan not surprised

 

[GzUp]

Clinton stan not surprised

bernie stan not suprised

 

[SirReginald]

bernie stan not suprised

I'm not a stan I'm fair 99 percent of the time. I've stated that Clinton was better on guns than Bernie.

 

[kingofnyc]

Clinton stan not surprised

what this gotta do with clinton

fact is trump unfavorable rating including all demos .... highest is among blacks

stay off the pipe - breh

 

[acri1]

It'll be basically the same as last time, except -

-Turnout among African-Americans will probably be a little lower
-Turnout among Hispanic voters will probably be a little higher and Trump will probably do even worse than Romney in this demographic
-Hillary will get a higher percentage of the white vote than Obama


You can probably guess who I think will win.

 

[Anerdyblackguy]

In a Hillary vs Trump general election:

Men
Women
White
African-American
Hispanic
Asian

Men: Trump 55% > Hillary 45%
Women: Hillary 76%> Trump 24%
White: Trump 79% > Hillary 21%
African Americans: Hillary 86%> Trump 14%
Hispanics: Hillary 87%> Trump 13%
Asian Americans: Hillary 67% > Trump 23%

Swing states prediction

Ohio goes to Trump
Nevada swings to Hillary
Virginia swings to Hillary ( But she needs a strong get out the vote drive, and win the northern parts of VA heavy.
Florida will be the winning state ( I have no idea what will happen). Strong Latino base vs older conservative whites who are pissed off. Good luck FL.

 

[acri1]

Women: Hillary 76%> Trump 24%
White: Trump 79% > Hillary 21%

This is probably statistically impossible or pretty close to it.

I don't think the math even works for Trump to somehow get 80% of the white vote but less than a quarter of the female vote.