everything they listed is MAGA babble too
im glad a lot of allegheny county has already voted
Official Biden vs. Trump 2020 General Election Thread (Biden WINS 306 Electoral College Votes)
- Thread starter FAH1223
- Start date
everything they listed is MAGA babble too
im glad a lot of allegheny county has already voted
Poetical Poltergeist
Precise and cold hearted
Thats such a big indicator as well as the youth vote. Trump gonna have to steal it to win it. I don't have that gut feeling of dread, I am just anxious.
Piff Perkins
Veteran
This conversation ignores the fact that Trump is doing significantly worse with seniors, women, and white voters. A slight decline in black support isn't going to have any negative impact on Biden. And frankly I don't buy that it's gonna decrease BTW. I think Biden reaches or nearly gets to 08 or 2012 black vote totals (in term of total black votes).
Black people are less likely than whites to vote by mail. We're seeing record black early voting in the south, where there is more early voting availability. The early voting opportunities are limited in much of the rest of the country. I expect black people to show up hard on Tuesday in states like Michigan, Wisconsin, etc.
Black people are less likely than whites to vote by mail. We're seeing record black early voting in the south, where there is more early voting availability. The early voting opportunities are limited in much of the rest of the country. I expect black people to show up hard on Tuesday in states like Michigan, Wisconsin, etc.
Cattle Mutilation
Superstar
Yes of all the states where Biden is favored by five or fewer points, Pennsylvania is the one where he’s the heaviest favorite at 4.9%
Nah this isn’t like 2016. At this point the only way Trump wins is through stealing the election. He’d have to get a considerable amount of valid votes tossed and change several states. 2016 was a nail biter. Hillary was up nationally by 3 per the polls and she won by 2. A democrat up by 2-3 can still reasonably lose in the electoral college. Biden is up 8 nationally. That’s blow out territory.
I honestly think the polls might actually undercount a mini Biden surge that could allow him to win even more comfortably, people are shook as fukk because they were arrogant over Hillary in 2016 and 2020 being such a goofy year rather than seeing that Trump is historically unpopular and nothing suggests his numbers have improved much at all in this last two month sprint.
They got a new publisher and editor in 2018/19 and they are both Trump supporters.
Allegheny County is safe blue, regardless.
the cac mamba
Veteran
ive been thinking the same
theres a segment of voters who are gonna waver that pen over "donald j trump", go
, and switch to bidenjust a question of how many
the cac mamba
Veteran
biden in cleveland tomorrow 
If Biden wins NC, then Florida doesn't matter.
Saysumthinfunnymike
VOTE!!!
I think it's around 4 points nationally where it would become difficult for Trump to capture the electoral college. I don't have the numbers in front of me. Obviously if Biden were to actually win by 8 points then it's impossible.
Cattle Mutilation
Superstar
Don’t know about the polls, but the state by state 538 projections generally give Biden a lower average victory margin than what the polls are saying, so Silver basically already has a small polling error in favor of Trump baked in to the model.