Official Biden vs. Trump 2020 General Election Thread (Biden WINS 306 Electoral College Votes)

[MVike28]

Jabbarr has a sad. Will Trump demand and cry if he don't come out to be yelled at in person?

"A nightmare scenario": Barr tells Republicans Durham report won't be ready by election

And in case y'all missed it: THERE AIN'T NOTHING THERE. This is just another pacifier for

all that dikkriding and performing for Trump and he discarded of him so quickly.

Go the way of Jeff bytchass Sessions brehs..this motherfukker better be banished to Siberia once this presidency ends. I hope he starves professionally and just retires in disgrace, god knows he would never literally starve the fat fukk.

 

[OfTheCross]

Biden is peaking

National polls mean nothing.

 

[DrDealgood]

National polls mean nothing.

They don't when it's within 3 or so. You get into high single digits and beyond, almost nothing in the electoral college can save your ass

But it's no excuse to relax and not run up the score.

 

[MushroomX]

National polls mean nothing.

National Polls are reliable in understanding the vote. When Hillary lost, she had a 2-3% NP Lead, but when it comes to Electoral College, it meant she wouldn't win.

6-7% Means it would be a win.
8-9% Decisive Win
10%+

Your not just talking President, but downballots as well, because most vote the party line.

 

[GzUp]

 

[GzUp]

National polls mean nothing.

U may not know how they work.

 

[FAH1223]

I have a suspicion that a lot of these polls, not this one but others, are doing what is herding of polls


This typically occurs the further you're away from the election and then they start to adjust to be more realistic the close you get to the election. Its a legit problem and this is why I never buy into polls that aren't just at most a few weeks out from election day. I still don't trust them now. When we get to the last week or two before the election that is when I'll start putting a lot of stock in them. You'll see them close to be tighter and tighter and they are more likely to reflect the true nature of the race.

I'm getting more skeptical that Biden will pull an upset like some of these polls are predicting now. I think he will win PA and may win one of MI or WI which will be enough for him to get 270. But all this shyt about him winning Georgia and possibly even AZ (Though I think Dems will win the senate) are far-fetched.

I have feeling that these polls are more accurate than those that show Biden leading by 5 or 6 in AZ.

I'm inclined to agree with you. Biden doesn't even need these states to begin with. But the fact that all year he's led in AZ, he's been within the margin of error in Texas, and basically tied in Georgia is bad for down ballot Republicans in the Sunbelt. Also, that poll in AZ was from Trafaglar which inputs a "shy Trump voter" effect and gives him 4-5% in their polls. It's an outlier from all the other surveys showing Biden up. Only one that showed Biden down in AZ in the last few months was ABC/Washington Post.

The share of undecideds is different this time around. Even if Trump got half of the undecideds left, it still isn't enough in places like PA, WI, MI when Biden is routinely at or near 50% in the average of all polling. It's looking more likely to me that Biden may just win OH and IA too.

 

[GzUp]

National Polls are reliable in understanding the vote. When Hillary lost, she had a 2-3% NP Lead, but when it comes to Electoral College, it meant she wouldn't win.

6-7% Means it would be a win.
8-9% Decisive Win
10%+

Your not just talking President, but downballots as well, because most vote the party line.

Her lead was low but also trump every week was making gains, this time around he’s on a downward spiral and the lead is crazy high.

 

[DJ Paul's Arm]

I'm telling you right now, Biden is getting around 60 percent in nevada....this is a WRAP

Thousands of Californians bum rushed that state because of the cheaper COL in the past few years. It's bound to happen. A bunch of Republicans in Las Vegas were annoyed by it tew. Talmbout "all these newcomers are going to turn our state liberal." According to my buddy in vegas.

 

[MoneyTron]

I get what you're saying and you won't get disagreement from me. But, these overly optimistic polls this far out from election days from past experiences have shown me not to put too much stock in them. I am much more likely as a result to believe polls that show it to be a close race.

Now if Biden is still leading the way he is now on the last week before election day, then I'll feel more confident. But time and time again, pollsters have either shown a habit of doing the herding I mentioned or its simply that people gravitate closer and close to their usual political camps as the election day gets closer and the race always tightens as you get closer as a result. We'll see.

You're right about the polls tightening. But..if we have any mean reversion, Biden is still winning by 6-7 nationally. Crazy things have happened before though.

 

[GzUp]

Also the election is 23 days away, unless Biden dies or if trump cheats there is just no way trump has time to make things up.

 

[3rdLetter]

You know this guy just found out what the 25th amendment is for

 

[Piff Perkins]

Also the election is 23 days away, unless Biden dies or if trump cheats there is just no way trump has time to make things up.

The “grab her p*ssy” and email leak happened the first week of October in 2016. The Comey letter came out on October 28th.

I think Trump is fukked but there is time for him to pull something off. This isn’t over. I fully expect that Trump is pressuring Barr to do something about Biden or Hunter. Maybe a letter that claims they are investigating crimes. Maybe a reprimand. Something. Will it work? I doubt it. He needs something major to alter the way people perceive Biden.

 

[GzUp]

The “grab her p*ssy” and email leak happened the first week of October in 2016. The Comey letter came out on October 28th.

I think Trump is fukked but there is time for him to pull something off. This isn’t over. I fully expect that Trump is pressuring Barr to do something about Biden or Hunter. Maybe a letter that claims they are investigating crimes. Maybe a reprimand. Something. Will it work? I doubt it. He needs something major to alter the way people perceive Biden.

Breh if they had anything trump would have most definitely released it after he was released from hospital, he’s desperate as fukk right now.

 

[jj23]

The “grab her p*ssy” and email leak happened the first week of October in 2016. The Comey letter came out on October 28th.

I think Trump is fukked but there is time for him to pull something off. This isn’t over. I fully expect that Trump is pressuring Barr to do something about Biden or Hunter. Maybe a letter that claims they are investigating crimes. Maybe a reprimand. Something. Will it work? I doubt it. He needs something major to alter the way people perceive Biden.

Would have to be biden specifically. No one cares about hunter.