Right, goes along with what I've always said - http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Whatever that page has as the winner on election day, will probably be right, unless you think 99% isn't accurate.
Right now it's:
Hillary - 58.7%
Trump - 41.3%
He closed the gap some, which usually happens around a convention. But we have Dem Convention coming and 3 debates where Hillary will strip away his manhood in front of the world. Unless you think Trump can debate policy? Be real. He'll be up on stage, with the usual lack of details, probably will get angry and lose control, etc.