Lies, damned lies and statistics
@bnew
“Any level of violence in New York City – or anywhere – is unacceptable,” said Chief of Department Kenneth Corey. “We know that New York City is safer today
www.amny.com
OG tweet might have referenced shootings solely, but the fine print of the response tweet has a wider definition and is therefore using a different dataset.
Relative to the last 20 years, 2021 and 2022 are the most violent years across most cities in the nation. Blaming Adams for the media talking about crime seems similarly as misguided as when Republicans frame progressive policies like bail reform as the cause for an increase in violence. I say this as someone who is on record in this thread multiple times calling Adams a terrible, clout chasing Mayor with a remedial intelligence level.
I think he is a moderate that overtalks crime and (sub?)consciously villainizes progressive approaches to crime, but crime across the country is actually happening at a greater clip now than it has for decades. Not to say that it isn't still over-represented, but the conversation is no longer, "well actually crime has trended lower for the last 5-10 years" but has instead become "well we still are not exceeding crime in the 90s..."
FiveThirtyEight podcast had a deep dive into the intricacies of the spike in crime across the nation last year that reframed my perspective and made me more aware that yes, the media over-represents crime historically, but also yes, crime is on the rise relative to the overall trend