First Bill Gates planning to jump ship now this...
Analyst Predicts Microsoft Will Unbundle Xbox One From Kinect - Forbes
Analyst Predicts Microsoft Will Unbundle Xbox One From Kinect
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Games Industry
International has an early look at International Data Corporation’s latest console forecast, and it contains some interesting predictions for anyone following the current console war between
Microsoft MSFT -0.47%,
Sony and
Nintendo . It predicts that Sony and the PS4 will handily maintain their lead in this current generation, with 51 million sold globally by 2016. It isn’t anticipating the complete domination that current sales trends predict, however — IDC thinks that Microsoft will stage a comeback by unbundling the Xbox One from the Kinect 2.0, bringing the Xbox One closer to the price of the PS4.
“The presumed unbundling of Kinect and Xbox One, which should facilitate rough price parity between it and the PS4, should lead to a spike in Xbox One sales; assuming the console and sensor are unbundled in 2015, IDC expects Xbox One to recover and emerge with the largest installed base of any console in North America by the end of 2016,” the firm said, according to Games Industry International.
IDC echoes Wedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter,
who predicted something similar in December. Microsoft did not immediately respond to a request for comment, but Xbox leadership has talked about this issue in the past. UK Marketing Chief Harvey Eagle told Eurogamer that the company has “no plans” to sell a Kinect-less Xbox One, calling it an integral part of the Xbox One experience.
Xbox head Phil Spencer told Edge that he thinks first-party content is a more important deciding factor for console choice.
“We’re always trying to match what consumers are asking for,” he said. “I always want to make sure that we’re in tune with what current or potential customers are asking for from us. Right now, [dropping Kinect is] not the number one request from people. Usually it’s, ‘Where are the great games?’”
Of course, Spencer’s imagined consumer decision elides the real reason why unbundling the Kinect would matter: price. There are plenty of great first and third party games to play on both the Xbox One and PS4, and one of those consoles being $100 cheaper matters a great deal. Dropping the Kinect would allow the company to lose its greatest disadvantage, and I can’t imagine that it won’t do so eventually. The PS4′s massive sales are going to force a decision of some kind.
The report also predicts that retail and physical-disc video game sales will continue to decline, with 45 percent fewer discs shipped to retailers as compared to the previous generation. The overall picture can look a little gloomy if one doesn’t factor in digital game sales, DLC, subscriptions and all that stuff, but with those things considered this console generation looks quite strong.
The last hope.