Let's Talk Afro-Geopolitics II: The Future of the Nigerian State

[#1 pick]

It could be Indian-Pakistan partition bloody though, you're almost guaranteed warfare if there if there is a split.

You do realize there is a massive gap right. I think Black Americans shouldn't speak on this if you do not understand Nigeria period. This is not America, it's not white or Black.

 

[The Odum of Ala Igbo]

You do realize there is a massive gap right. I think Black Americans shouldn't speak on this if you do not understand Nigeria period. This is not America, it's not white or Black.

In the event that the 5 Igbo States (and maybe Delta or Rivers) secedes from Nigeria without a referendum/with a referendum that isn't honoured by Nigeria, what do you think will happen?

 

[EndDomination]

You do realize there is a massive gap right. I think Black Americans shouldn't speak on this if you do not understand Nigeria period. This is not America, it's not white or Black.

I'm not saying its White or Black, I'm fairly sure it would be a two-state split, even though both states would be multi-national.
And it would be bloody, states don't seceded or break apart without violence, especially if the split is due to inherent inequalities within the original state.
Do you think the West and Niger Delta, who have been clamoring for self-determination for decades, would be able to do so without violence?

 

[Anwulika]

Nigeria is veering towards state failure. Buhari's failed Presidency has pushed it closer to the edge.

Boko Haram - undefeated
Niger Delta - renewed revolt
Shi'ites - Increasingly anti-gov't
Igbos - Approaching militancy for Biafra
Fulani herdsmen - Still murdering with impunity

If Nigeria were to end up in a civil war, how do you think that these groups would be aligned? I fear that it could end up in a situation similar to Syria- after all, the Americans predicted a break-up in 2015.

 

[Bawon Samedi]

In the event that the 5 Igbo States (and maybe Delta or Rivers) secedes from Nigeria without a referendum/with a referendum that isn't honoured by Nigeria, what do you think will happen?

Agreed. Don't get what he meant by that post of his. When there ALREADY was a civil war in Nigeria.

 

[Bawon Samedi]

Not really, it can be peaceful.


Like this.

Please just stop...

 

[Bawon Samedi]

Nigeria is veering towards state failure. Buhari's failed Presidency has pushed it closer to the edge.

Boko Haram - undefeated
Niger Delta - renewed revolt
Shi'ites - Increasingly anti-gov't
Igbos - Approaching militancy for Biafra
Fulani herdsmen - Still murdering with impunity

Did not know about the bolded. Thought Boko Haram were weakened? WTH?

 

[The Odum of Ala Igbo]

If Nigeria were to end up in a civil war, how do you think that these groups would be aligned? I fear that it could end up in a situation similar to Syria- after all, the Americans predicted a break-up in 2015.

No clue. It's all up in the air. I don't know if the Middle Belt (Plateau, Taraba etc.) would join Arewa or if the Niger Delta would ally with Igbos

 

[The Odum of Ala Igbo]

Did not know about the bolded. Thought Boko Haram were weakened? WTH?

Boko Haram no longer holds territory but they've adopted the guerrilla tactics they had before 2014/15. They could seize lands again if the Nigerian military becomes strategically complacent.

 

[BigMan]

I changed my vote to no

 

[The Odum of Ala Igbo]

I changed my vote to no

How come?

 

[BigMan]

How come?

The more I learn about Nigeria the more likely it seems in the next 40 years at least Biafra will secede

 

[The Odum of Ala Igbo]

The more I learn about Nigeria the more likely it seems in the next 40 years at least Biafra will secede

I feel that the "powers that be" want to keep Nigeria together, even though its unjust unity will create more poverty, violence and extremism.

 

[BigMan]

I feel that the "powers that be" want to keep Nigeria together, even though its unjust unity will create more poverty, violence and extremism.

I met some Nigerians in school and follow some on twitter (and read posts about Nigeria here) and y'all got issues

 

[Cynic]

This country needs to stay in tact.... Africa does not need another Angola