Nate Duncan did an RJ breakdown and was not sold on him at all.
I thought it was pretty fair all in all, spoke to both my concerns and the aspects of his game that I really like. Around 30-35 mins in is where they finish up the Finals and move on to RJ.
2019 NBA Finals Outlook; RJ Barrett Scouting Report; HOU Trades Coming? - Nate Duncan NBA
Biggest promise they find:
- RJ's passing and vision. Great pick and roll player at 6'7 with surprising vision. Could be even better with more shooters available on kickouts because weakside kickouts weren't much of an option but made them well.
- Rebounding is a clear strength especially defensive boards.
- Leadership was on display with team Canada, they didn't overplay this but I think intangibles are really strong with this kid and that bit speaks to it.
Worries:
- Doesn't create space well. Scouts are beating the hell out of the term "wiggle" which is basically the ability to beat his man off the dribble and create space. He was more a bulldozer type, relying on his size and athleticism to get inside. That won't be as easy on the next level with better athletes.
- Average hops and inconsistent jump shooter. His finishing at the rim wasn't particularly strong relative to typical top three picks and he's confident in his jump shot but doesn't have it developed enough for that confidence.
- Questionable on court mentality. They go a little too harsh with OJ Mayo and Josh Jackson comparables (too reliant on physical tools that won't translate at the next level).
- Defense won't be a strength, could be average but they have concerns.
- Left hand dominant. Could struggle if teams force him right.
Things they didn't mention that I personally think warrant talking about:
- Being lefty, 6'7 AND having a great pick and roll game is a money combination. Defending lefties is always a bit trickier and one who can see over the defense, make all passes and also bulldoze to the rim has every tool to force help defenders over.
- Duke's spacing sucked and it would be interesting to take the gifts that he has but transplant them into a better spaced situation.
- What I think these guys are looking at is that RJ doesn't have that big standout trait for the next level. He's a good passer for his size, solid ball handler, could develop a jumper and has a good mindset...but there's not really a go-to trait for him if a team shuts down the pick and roll. I think he's guaranteed to be a solid piece that you can fit into a lot of line-up combinations, but being THE piece isn't guaranteed. I think Garland has more upside in that respect...yall know I love Garland.
If they're confident that he's the guy, then the Knicks should absolutely go for it. The work ethic SHOULD translate over time and his mentality is just great. But I could see a D'angelo Russell trajectory where he takes a while learning how to make his tools translate against better athletes and smarter defensive systems.
My nikkas in here warring.
