Kamala Harris Presidential Campaign (Official Thread)

TRY GOD

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:camby: Stick a fork in her she’s done

CNN Poll: Joe Biden regains double-digit lead over 2020 Democratic field


WASHINGTON(CNN)Joe Biden has expanded his edge over the Democratic field in a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS, with 29% of Democratic and Democratic-leaning registered voters saying they back the former vice president.

That's up 7 points compared with a late June CNN survey. No other candidate has made meaningful gains over that time.

The shift returns Biden to a double-digit lead over his nearest competitors, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders at 15% and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 14%. Their support is largely unchanged since earlier this summer.

Aside from Biden's increase, the only statistically meaningful change in the candidate standings is a 12-point decline in support for California Sen. Kamala Harris, who stood at 17% support in the June poll but now has the backing of 5% of potential Democratic voters. That's similar to the level of support she had in the spring before a surge following her initial debate performance.

The June CNN poll was conducted in the days immediately following the first round of Democratic National Committee-sanctioned debates among the presidential candidates. Biden's performance in that debate was widely panned, while Harris had a standout moment challenging him over his views on school busing integration. Biden's numbers have rebounded since then in other polling as well, and Harris's have returned to roughly where they were pre-debate.

Biden's advantage in the poll is boosted by stronger support from self-identified Democrats (31%) than from independents (23%), older voters (34% among those age 45 and older) than younger ones (23% among those under age 45) and from moderate and conservative voters (34%) than liberals (22%).

Among liberals, in fact, the race is a near three-way tie: 23% choose Warren and 22% each back Biden and Sanders. No other candidate even hits 5% among this group.

Biden is also bolstered by those voters who say their top priority is choosing a candidate with a strong chance of beating President Donald Trump, a group that makes up 54% of Democratic and Democratic-leaning registered voters (35% in that group support Biden). That group has shrunk slightly since June, when 61% said defeating Trump outweighed nominating a candidate who "shares your positions on major issues."

While Democrats do not appear sharply divided on this question by ideology (53% of liberals and 57% of moderate or conservative Democratic voters say beating Trump is more important), race (54% among whites and non-whites prioritize beating Trump) or partisanship (52% of self-identified Democrats prioritize beating Trump as do 59% of Democratic-leaning independents), there are notable divisions by age and by education among whites, which highlights the challenge facing candidates when they attempt to appeal to those on both sides of this line.

Among those under age 45, 56% say it's more important to nominate a candidate who shares your positions on issues, while 66% of those age 45 and older say it's more important to nominate someone who can defeat Trump. Among whites without college degrees, 49% say it's more important to nominate someone who shares their view on issues while 45% say beating Trump is more important, but among whites with a college degree, 65% say it's more important to beat Trump.

The poll -- which is among those used by the DNC in order to determine which candidates will qualify for the debate stage in September -- marks the fourth such qualifying poll in which former HUD Secretary Julián Castro has hit 2%, securing his spot on the stage in Houston next month.

Castro is the 10th candidate to qualify for a spot. Two other candidates say they have already met the fundraising threshold for appearing on stage in September, but have not yet hit the polling mark: Businessman Tom Steyer remains one poll shy of qualifying and Hawaii Rep. Tulsi Gabbard now has two after landing at 2% in this poll. She needs two more to make the debate stage.

New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand has hit 2% in one qualifying poll and is the only other active candidate to have hit that mark in any qualifying poll, but she has not met the fundraising criteria.

Asked which candidates they'd most like to hear more about, Democratic and Democratic-leaning registered voters are largely focused on the people who will appear on September's debate stage.

The 10 candidates named by 5% or more of respondents have all now qualified for inclusion in the debates. Warren now tops this list, named by 20%, despite a slight decline in interest in hearing more about her compared with June. She is followed by Harris at 18%, Sanders at 16%, Biden at 15%, Buttigieg at 13%, Booker and O'Rourke at 10% each, Yang at 6% and Castro and Klobuchar each at 5%.

The CNN Poll was conducted by SSRS August 15 through 18 among a random national sample of 1,001 adults reached on landlines or cellphones by a live interviewer. Results for the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points, for the subsample of 402 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents who are registered to vote, it is 6.1 points
Let them go with Jim crow Joe, and we'll all see him fail worse than Killary Clinton:unimpressed:
 

Piff Perkins

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It's over. All those people who were crying about DNC influence need to take the L. She is not a good candidate and has failed to secure the black vote.

She's been in freefall since the second debate, where Biden and others brought up her prosecutor and AG record. She has staked her career on attacking other people's records but the minute hers got exposed it was a wrap.
 
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Im so glad black votes saw through her bullshyt from the jump. The days of pandering for our votes but not giving us tangibles are over, hell she promising illegals free benefits and resources but want to say she not doing anything for black folks NOOOOOOO:camby:

Now its time to get these old black fossils out the paint who still riding the coat tail of what they did for the Civil Rights movement in the 60s and 70s but havent done shyt for black american in recent time. Once they got a seat at the table they threw the torch away and want to rely on older blacks for nostalgia votes
 

Anerdyblackguy

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(Kamala Harris to Anderson Cooper)
“This is going to sound immodest, but obviously I'm a top-tier candidate and so I did expect that I'd be on the stage and take some hits tonight," Harris said. "When people are at 0 or 1% or whatever she might be at, so I did expect to take some hits tonight."”




:mjlol: Call somebody a lower tier candidate and be polling at the same level

 

Anerdyblackguy

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:camby: Let’s bury her now.


Kamala Harris' poll numbers tumble in her home state of California
By Maeve Reston, CNN
Updated 12:04 AM EDT, Thu October 03, 2019
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Los Angeles(CNN)In yet another sign of trouble for Sen. Kamala Harris in the 2020 presidential race, the California Democrat has slid from an enviable front-runner position in her home state into the single digits in a new poll of likely voters in the Golden State.

As the state's March 5 primary draws closer, Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts (23%), former Vice President Joe Biden (22%) and Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont (21%) are now tied as the leaders in the field among likely voters who are either registered as Democrats or identify as Democratic-leaning independents in the new Public Policy Institute of California poll, which was conducted in mid- to late September after Harris' uneven performance in the last debate.

Harris tumbled from 19% in July to 8% in the new poll by the institute, failing to sustain the momentum she sparked with her first debate performance in June. She lost significant ground over the summer, while her chief rivals all solidified their standing among California voters.

In the July poll, Warren was at 15%, Sanders was at 12% and Biden was at 11% -- all trailing Harris, who got both a fundraising and a polling bounce after she delivered a fiery performance in the first debate in Miami by questioning the former vice president's past opposition to busing for the purpose of desegregating schools.

While it is often said that California tends to reflect the national state of play of the presidential race -- because it is so expensive to wage an intensive campaign in this vast and diverse state -- the new Public Policy Institute of California poll underscores that Harris does not seem to be drawing any advantage from the fact that she served as the state's attorney general and continues to serve constituents as the state's junior US senator.

"These numbers reflect what's going on in the national scene, but they also reflect that there is not a home state advantage (for Harris). There's not an advantage from the fact that she's run in statewide races here in 2010, 2014 and 2016," said Mark Baldassare, who directs the survey and is the institute's president and CEO.

Harris' supporters and advisers had hoped she would be able to rack up a considerable number of delegates in California when the state holds its Super Tuesday contest, building momentum that would carry her into the spring primaries.

"Sen. Harris has to prove to (California) voters just like any other Democratic presidential candidate -- 'What are you going to do for me?' and 'Where do you stand on the issues?' and 'Are you the person who is most likely to defeat Donald Trump?'" Baldassare said. "The name identification associated with being the state's senator and somebody who's been on the ballot -- it's not an advantage right now."

The new California poll numbers come as Harris' campaign is restructuring its leadership and attempting to streamline its decision-making. After stumbling through a fog of confusion about her position on the single-payer "Medicare for All" proposal and amid falling poll numbers over the past three months -- including in South Carolina, where a recent survey showed her at 3% -- Harris is moving her Senate chief of staff, Rohini Kosoglu, and senior adviser Laphonza Butler into top leadership positions within the campaign.

Harris -- who has notched a series of firsts in her career, including becoming California's first female attorney general of color -- has acknowledged at campaign events that she faces some unique hurdles; namely, as she likes to point out, that Americans have never elected a president who looks her.

But she has vowed to soldier on. During a recent fundraiser in Los Angeles, she laughed when retelling the story of how a reporter recently overheard her telling fellow Sen. Mazie Hirono of Hawaii, "I'm f*****g moving to Iowa," which will hold its first-in-the-nation caucuses on February 3. That comment was heard far and wide, and Harris noted to laughter that the famed Des Moines T-shirt company RAYGUN is printing her remark on one of its shirts.

As they strategize for the Golden State primary, Harris and all of the other Democratic candidates will have to contend with a darkening mood among California voters they see signs of weakness in the US economy and grapple with a homelessness crisis statewide.

Homelessness ranked as the most important issue facing the state for the first time in the Public Policy Institute of California survey's 20-year history, according to Baldassare. That was followed by voters' concerns about jobs and the economy, as well as rising housing costs -- which have contributed to increasing numbers of Californians living on the streets.

Baldassare noted that homelessness moving to the top of the list of concerns was an astonishing finding.

"It's just incredible," Baldassare said. "It's visible, and it's a growing issue. ... It's a very tough issue. It's disturbing for people to see the suffering that's occurring -- it's something that doesn't fit with their image of what should be going on in their community. And they're frustrated that the government seems incapable of getting its hands around it. It's not just a San Francisco or an LA issue anymore. It's everywhere."

Signs of economic uncertainty are also weighing on California voters. A year ago, 53% of Californians said they expected to see good economic times over the following 12 months. Now only 41% of the state's residents said they expected good times over the next year, while 50% said they expect bad times financially.

"More people are getting nervous about the direction of the economy," Baldassare said. "That's a big change. That speaks to some combination of political and economic uncertainty really surfacing -- and that has impacts on what choices people make when they go to the ballot. They tend to feel more negative about incumbents and officeholders, because they feel like, 'Why aren't they doing something about this?' They're going to be looking for some message of hope or a plan for what they're going to do if things get worse."

The Public Policy Institute of California survey was conducted via telephone from September 16 to 25 with 1,705 California adult residents. The results have a +/- 3.2 percentage point sampling margin of error for all adults, a +/-3.7 percentage point sampling margin of error for 1,344 registered voters and a +/- 4.2 percentage point sampling margin of error for 1,031 likely voters

 
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