Uncle Phil 36
All Star
Andrew Gillum (before all the gay stuff) couldnt flip Florida, so I think that is overblown.
Joe Biden selects Senator Kamala Harris as his VP Pick
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Andrew Gillum (before all the gay stuff) couldnt flip Florida, so I think that is overblown.
it’s a presidential election. Turnout will increase
I'm not from Florida but from what I've seen, she's pretty much unheard of outside of the Orlando area.if she doesnt help him in floridai'd have to agree
what's her popularity like? i've barely heard of her before this thread
i just heard that 4 million obama voters didnt vote for hillary 
how many of them does biden get back, like 3 million at least?
how many of them does biden get back, like 3 million at least?
Even if he get's back just 1 million, that's an easy W for Uncle Joe.i just heard that 4 million obama voters didnt vote for hillary
how many of them does biden get back, like 3 million at least?
Ya Sinning Mane
Superstar
You lookin at this
Uncle Phil 36
All Star
It increases on both sides
correct. So you take the black increase percentage that gillum got.
allocate that increase percentage to the 2016 election turnout for blacks.
I’d also probably add 1-5% as well, bc black female candidates consistently beat black candidates on black turnout currently.
that gets Biden slightly over 50% for Florida. That’s just using numbers from 2016 and not even accounting for the ppl who May switch from trump to Biden.
It’s damn good starting from 50% instead of behind in Florida without accounting for any ppl u can flip.
The math shows Demings is a very legit candidate that can actually help him win.
idk if she’ll beat Amy’s numbers for electorate votes that may flip but she’s damn close if not even. Florida’s #4 on the electoral votes rankings. They got a lot
Tony D'Amato
It's all about the inches
Dem Latinos in Florida, Texas and Az are some Uncle Juans. Even supporting a man that wants to deport all of em.
The only way Florida goes Blue is if the felons are allowed to vote, otherwise this is Trump country, im telling yall.
Latino Democrats in Florida, Texas, Arizona aren't different from Latino Democrats in any other part of the country. It's the NON-Democratic Latinos in those states that are the problem.
In Florida, it's the Cubans and Venezuelans are that mostly Republican and conservative. The Puerto Ricans and Mexicans in Florida are largely Democrats. Cubans are the biggest Latino demographic in Florida, so they have a big influence on elections down there. Many Cubans in Florida are White and they vote as such.
In Texas and Arizona, it's mostly the older generations, anti-abortion, Catholic Mexicans that are Republican and conservative. The younger generations (under 40) and Latinos in South Texas are mostly Democratic. In 2018 in Arizona, Democrats got 75% of the Latino vote (a big reason why Kyrsten Sinema won). In Texas, Democrats got ~65% of the Latino vote in 2018 at the federal level. On the state level, they got around 52%.
Tony D'Amato
It's all about the inches
That POS only won by 100k or so votes in that state. But fukk Florida. Im so tired of that sh1thole. Im more concerned about Ohio,Wisconsin, and PA. Hillary didnt stand a chance in Ohio
I think gillum got cheated but that’s just me. DeKlantis wasn’t even Republicans favorite candidate out here. He just got the nod because trump put his thumb on the scale. I think Demings would make a great vp choice. You cats acts as if you didn’t see her give Heat during the impeachment hearings.
