Is positional value cacalytics stat geeks underminin of RB impact the biggest L in years given what Henry, Saquon, Jacobs doin?

DraymondT

Superstar
Joined
Feb 3, 2015
Messages
3,604
Reputation
1,282
Daps
23,187
GdhZFFWWoAA4JYY


fukking stat geeks bruh :mjlol: this why most athletes don't respect or give a fukk what they talkin bout



 

Dorian Breh

Veteran
Joined
Jan 14, 2016
Messages
21,919
Reputation
13,330
Daps
110,576
i dont think analytics are inherently bad

i just think that the majority of the practitioners in the sports world lack the wisdom and perspective to apply the techniques

with PFF being the best example of how you can layer bullshyt on top of itself to obfuscate any information
 

Trav

Marathon Mentality 🏁
Supporter
Joined
May 26, 2012
Messages
30,289
Reputation
5,609
Daps
84,107
Reppin
TMC 8-24
i dont think analytics are inherently bad

i just think that the majority of the practitioners in the sports world lack the wisdom and perspective to apply the techniques

with PFF being the best example of how you can layer bullshyt on top of itself to obfuscate any information

Expound on the last part of you can.
 
Joined
May 1, 2012
Messages
68,530
Reputation
11,218
Daps
239,013
Reppin
206 & 734
The lions were also criticized for drafting Jahmyr Gibbs at 12 last year:

PFF: “Below Average”

Gibbs is the second-ranked running back on the PFF big board, but he is also just the 34th-ranked prospect. Viewed as a potential late first-round pick, this is a big reach with the 12th overall pick. He can make an impact in the passing game, though, as he hauled in 103 passes for 1,215 receiving yards over the past three seasons.
CBS (Pete Prisco): D

Yes, he’s an air back. Yes, he can do a lot of things. But, again, why take him here when there is a guy like corner Christian Gonzalez on the board? He’s good but he’s a back. At least it wasn’t a top-10 pick.
The Athletic (Scott Dochterman): F

For three years, Detroit general manager Brad Holmes could do no wrong. In this case, he reached on the draft’s second running back. The No. 22 player on Dane Brugler’s big board, Gibbs was likely to be there at No. 18 when the Lions picked again. Considering Detroit ranked last in total defense and yards per play, it was an odd move. Even if the Lions stood pat at No. 6, they could have had Bijan Robinson.
The Ringer (Danny Kelly): C+

Well, this is certainly a surprise! Despite signing David Montgomery in free agency to pair with incumbent playmaker D’Andre Swift, the Lions add another running back. Gibbs brings rare juice as a runner and should help create explosive plays for Detroit, but I don’t love the value here—especially for an undersized runner who doesn’t project as a volume-heavy back. Gibbs will need to be a true difference-maker in the passing game to live up to this cost.
DraftKings Nation (Chet Gresham): C

I like this pick a little more than the Falcons taking Robinson with the No. 8 pick, but not by much. These teams need to look at how other teams win championships and it’s not by drafting running backs in the Top 12! But, Gibbs has tremendous talent and will be a walking fantasy pick.
SB Nation (JP Acosta): C-

Man...I like Gibbs as a back. His change of direction and speed is a very valuable addition to any offense. However, the Lions currently have De’Andre Swift and David Montgomery on the roster, and still have considerable holes on their defense, especially up front. This feels like a major reach.
Related

Jahmyr Gibbs - 973 yards, 10 TDs, lions best team in football, 11-1, Gibbs cookin
 

Dorian Breh

Veteran
Joined
Jan 14, 2016
Messages
21,919
Reputation
13,330
Daps
110,576
Expound on the last part of you can.

PFF is just a bunch of arbitrary qualitative judgment calls that they then aggregate into a number to make seem more official.

And despite this they do stuff like lower grades for defenders in coverage for not being targeted.

I don't know if its PFF or what, but all that "Success Rate", "Expected Points Added", "Actual vs. Expected Catch Rate". What the fukk is "expected".

In baseball a hitters performance is just a 1v1 against the pitcher, the strike zone creates a discreet limited space for the competition, and there are thousands of at bats per season. You may be able to derive averages.

But the context of everything in football is so much more fluid, and the sample size is so much smaller, that there is no real way to develop an average based expectation that means anything.
 
Top