Gonna bet against some people who have made it with easy draws.
Really like Youzhny but something is telling me not to play him. Lopez has made the Semis here twice before and has never lost as a favorite here in his career. He beat Nadal and Isner.. Youzhny has beaten a tired Gulbis, #92 Dodig and #82 Monaco, and was taken to 3 sets by both of them. Lopez has no more than 5 break points in a match (Nadal/Kokkinakis), while Youzhny has had to save 6 against Monaco and was 7/7 in saving against Dodig. Lopez is an obviously better player and on a roll, this is strangely looking like the other 2 times he got to the semis. If this loses it's on me, my gut instinct was to follow Youz but shouldn't I know better than to blindly follow?
Lopez -160 480/300
Benneteau +435 and +4.5 games -130 - fading Federer again??? Well, Benny has the h2h over Fed 2-1 on hard courts and can bring the heat.
Benny +435 100/435 and Benny +4.5 -130 260/200
Berdych -3.5 -140 - another fading a guy who has had an easy draw. Berdych has been great, not dropping a set the whole way. Simon is injured, beat 2 cupcakes and Stan who is horribly horribly off-form. Birdman has beat 2 guys who he's lost the h2h to already, this is gonna be the 3rd.
Berdych -3.5 -140 280/200
Ferrer +5 +100 - can't justify the +5.5 -160, 1 game not worth that much. Either Ferrer gets blown out, or he's competitive all the way through and easily covers. Beating Murray could be a great boost for confidence, and Ferrer can fight fight fight knowing the match is only gonna be 3 sets at most.
Ferrer +5 100/100
Really like Youzhny but something is telling me not to play him. Lopez has made the Semis here twice before and has never lost as a favorite here in his career. He beat Nadal and Isner.. Youzhny has beaten a tired Gulbis, #92 Dodig and #82 Monaco, and was taken to 3 sets by both of them. Lopez has no more than 5 break points in a match (Nadal/Kokkinakis), while Youzhny has had to save 6 against Monaco and was 7/7 in saving against Dodig. Lopez is an obviously better player and on a roll, this is strangely looking like the other 2 times he got to the semis. If this loses it's on me, my gut instinct was to follow Youz but shouldn't I know better than to blindly follow?
Lopez -160 480/300
Benneteau +435 and +4.5 games -130 - fading Federer again??? Well, Benny has the h2h over Fed 2-1 on hard courts and can bring the heat.
Benny +435 100/435 and Benny +4.5 -130 260/200
Berdych -3.5 -140 - another fading a guy who has had an easy draw. Berdych has been great, not dropping a set the whole way. Simon is injured, beat 2 cupcakes and Stan who is horribly horribly off-form. Birdman has beat 2 guys who he's lost the h2h to already, this is gonna be the 3rd.
Berdych -3.5 -140 280/200
Ferrer +5 +100 - can't justify the +5.5 -160, 1 game not worth that much. Either Ferrer gets blown out, or he's competitive all the way through and easily covers. Beating Murray could be a great boost for confidence, and Ferrer can fight fight fight knowing the match is only gonna be 3 sets at most.
Ferrer +5 100/100
