for the betters out here, the post your picks thread

L&HH

Veteran
Joined
May 18, 2012
Messages
53,073
Reputation
5,780
Daps
161,297
Reppin
PG x MD
[501] BROOKLYN v ATLANTAo194-120 (B+½)
NBA[503] NEW YORK+10-120 (B+½)
CBB[512] FLA ATLANTIC-140
CBB[585] WESTERN ILLINOIS+9-120 (B+½)
CBB[603] IPFW+10-110

Scared of that IPFW line, could be a trap. IPFW by all accounts is the better team. They've been getting undervalued for a long time now. Western Illinois pick im taking blind faith on that one. A guy on reddit thinks they're the better team and should be -1.5 favorites with his numbers. But looking at the teams SDSU might be better imo.

Between ipfw, western illinois, and the knicks I think one of these teams will pull out an upset and they're all getting +400 or so odds.
 

YaBishh

All Star
Joined
Jan 4, 2013
Messages
3,499
Reputation
310
Daps
3,130
Reppin
Texas
IPFW +8.5. IPFW has been a covering machine. I don't get this line at all. IPFW is 14-5 and 2-0 in the summit. Denver is 7-9 and 0-1 in the summit. Denver's at home but still that's alot of points to lay for a team that's seemingly the better team.

What do you guys think of alternative lines? I was thinking about taking the Denver alt line yesterday and that would have covered (they won the game). Im liking the knicks +5.5 alt line for +185
im thinking knicks win this one. I like the raptors today too
 

USSInsiders

Banned
Joined
May 29, 2012
Messages
21,302
Reputation
2,405
Daps
31,294
Reppin
NULL
Knicks all day +10, alt lines are iffy because 5.5 is pretty sharp, not sure what the average loss is to the pacers by the knicks but their games usually end right around the 5-7 numbers.

10 is just too many points me thinks
 

L&HH

Veteran
Joined
May 18, 2012
Messages
53,073
Reputation
5,780
Daps
161,297
Reppin
PG x MD
shyt I didn't know this Atlanta game was on so early. Im glad I made some of my plays early. I took the over on alot of my parlays and so far its looking like good money. 58 point first quarter, and 26 points in the 2nd and we're not even half way through.

Good call @Bernie Madoff
 

L&HH

Veteran
Joined
May 18, 2012
Messages
53,073
Reputation
5,780
Daps
161,297
Reppin
PG x MD
[503] NEW YORK v INDIANAo183-110
NBA[1503] 1H NEW YORK+5½-105
CBB[520] MISSOURI v VANDERBILTu133-120 (B+½)
CBB[526] CHARLOTTE U-135
CBB[537] UCLA+3-150 (B+2)
CBB[543] OHIO STATE-160
 

<<TheStandard>>

I Am A God
Joined
May 1, 2012
Messages
11,430
Reputation
2,417
Daps
33,974
I've been on a brief hiatus after getting torched in the NBA last week but I don't' believe in the Knicks tonight…..they seem tired and I think Indiana puts it on them.

I also like OKC tonight…..but I dunno….I was very hot at the beginning of the year but now not so much. Still up a good $900 for the season.
 

L&HH

Veteran
Joined
May 18, 2012
Messages
53,073
Reputation
5,780
Daps
161,297
Reppin
PG x MD
I've been on a brief hiatus after getting torched in the NBA last week but I don't' believe in the Knicks tonight…..they seem tired and I think Indiana puts it on them.

I also like OKC tonight…..but I dunno….I was very hot at the beginning of the year but now not so much. Still up a good $900 for the season.

Knicks were tired as hell on Wednesday (I had charlotte that night) your right but they had a days rest. Tomorrow against the clippers should be a worry. But they have a 3-4 day rest after tomorrows game, so hopefully they go all out. The one thing about these TNT games, its like the favorite almost never covers. I got burned taking the heat against the bulls once, made something on the knicks last week against the heat....if it aint broke don't fix it. :manny:
 

<<TheStandard>>

I Am A God
Joined
May 1, 2012
Messages
11,430
Reputation
2,417
Daps
33,974
Knicks were tired as hell on Wednesday (I had charlotte that night) your right but they had a days rest. Tomorrow against the clippers should be a worry. But they have a 3-4 day rest after tomorrows game, so hopefully they go all out. The one thing about these TNT games, its like the favorite almost never covers. I got burned taking the heat against the bulls once, made something on the knicks last week against the heat....if it aint broke don't fix it. :manny:


Yeah these TNT games are definitely traps…..but the way the Knicks have been playing and with the Public on the Knicks and an inflated number for the Pacers….What side is the trap on?
 

L&HH

Veteran
Joined
May 18, 2012
Messages
53,073
Reputation
5,780
Daps
161,297
Reppin
PG x MD
Yeah these TNT games are definitely traps…..but the way the Knicks have been playing and with the Public on the Knicks and an inflated number for the Pacers….What side is the trap on?

Knicks 1h +5.5 may be a good play a guy on reddit runs some pretty good numbers on first half plays that have done pretty well from what ive seen. Here are some stats they dug up for both teams 1h:

Knicks on the road H1:

  • Season: score 50.8% of total and allow 49.4%

  • Dec-forward: score 50.6% and allow 48.0%

  • Jan-forward: score 50.1% and allow 46.6%
Pacers at home H1:

  • Season: score 48.6% and allow 53.4%

  • Dec-forward: score 49.6% and allow 54.8%

  • Jan-forward: score 48.7% and allow 52.4%

Basically knicks tend to do well in the first half and the Pacers don't.
 

L&HH

Veteran
Joined
May 18, 2012
Messages
53,073
Reputation
5,780
Daps
161,297
Reppin
PG x MD
Yall know whats crazy. One of the reasons why I even played the knicks today was because I was bragging to a friend of mine that they'd win, eventhough I didn't really believe it. They just think I should stop sports betting and I should "quit while Im ahead". So I took a flier on a pick I knew they'd think Im crazy for taking (their logic was Pacers are such a great team, they've only lost 7 games, etc, basically shyt that only squares would rely on). Anyways in that argument I was saying how Melo would go for 50 and that I was going to take an over on his points total in a prop bet (which I forgot to do). Fast forward to now and Melo has 15 points with two minuted left in the first :wow:. I shoulda took that prop.
 
Top