KritNC
All Star
I took carolina plus 10 then took the under in this carolina game - Then I thought I saw carolina +6.5 for the first half so I grabbed that but it turns out it was carolina6.5 for the whole game 
for the betters out here, the post your picks thread
- Thread starter NoMoreWhiteWoman2020
- Start date
Bernie Madoff
Banned
It's early but nc looking good
+500 ml
+500 ml
USSInsiders
Banned
Here is the douchbag Chad millmans Article on NFL gambling up until this week and what teams the wiseguys have liked
Teams wiseguys love
1. Buffalo Bills
Remember when EJ Manuel started the year with a near miracle win over New England? Remember when he beat the Panthers in the final seconds of Week 2? At that moment, a lot more people were buying stock in Manuel than Cam Newton. How impressive do those two games look now? Forget for a minute that it would be two months before he completed more than 56 percent of his passes again, a run that included a month of missed games because of a knee injury. Even though he was showing his rookiehood, the Bills' offense moved more effectively with his playmaking ability. Without him, they became that team someone said Jon Bon Jovi wanted to buy. Jon Bon denied it.
Insider PickCenter
Wondering which side to take? Check out PickCenter and do your research before making that critical decision. PickCenter
The truth is, their 5.1 yards per play allowed is tied for 10th in the league and their 4.2 yards per rush is better than New England, Kansas City and New Orleans. The team started 5-2 ATS, has fallen to 6-6 and, in the final weeks of the year against Miami and at New England, when Manuel settles into a rhythm again, the Bills will have long been forgotten by the public.
2. Houston Texans
Every week the Texans have gotten wiseguy support and every week they have let bettors down. Based on stats, they are the right side. Their defense is among the best in the league in total yards allowed and just out of the top 10 in rushing yards per play and passing yards per play allowed. On offense they possess the ball for just less than 32 minutes a game, sixth best in the league. The problem is that they are minus-12 in turnovers, and more than a handful of those have been returned for touchdowns. Every wiseguy will tell you that turnovers are one of those stats in which there is eventually a regression to the mean.
Bettors are going to bank that some of that regression will happen in the final month of the season -- that trend may have started against New England in Week 13 -- especially when the square's perception of Houston is at its lowest and it faces public faves Denver and Indy.
3. St. Louis Rams
Over the final month of the season St. Louis will play Arizona (away), New Orleans (home), Tampa Bay (home) and Seattle (home). They will be underdogs in three of those four games, but that is reflective of a season's worth of public perception. The reality is that this team, while just 2-3 since Oct. 28, has been a lot better the second half of the season. Two of those losses were slugfests to Seattle and Tennessee and the third was a field goal fest until late in the second half. The Rams are the youngest team in the league and Jeff Fisher historically has been a wiseguy fave because of the way his teams consistently improve. This year, after an 0-4 ATS start, they have gone 5-3. But the public has ignored them because they've been so far out of the playoff race.
Super Bowl stock market
Super Bowl XLVIII odds (courtesy of LVH)
TeamOpen (Jan 14)Shortest odds (date)Longest odds (date)Current odds
"OFF" odds means that books are no longer taking future bets on that team
New England Patriots6-16-1 (Dec 3)10-1 (Oct 7)6-1
San Francisco 49ers8-19-2 (May 20)10-1 (Dec 3)10-1
Denver Broncos8-12-1 (Oct 7)8-1 (Jan 14)2-1
Green Bay Packers10-18-1 (July 15)75-1 (Dec 3)75-1
Seattle Seahawks10-12-1 (Dec 3)12-1 (Jan 21)2-1
Houston Texans12-110-1 (Jan 21)OFF (Dec 3)OFF
Atlanta Falcons15-112-1 (Jul 8)OFF (Dec 3)OFF
Pittsburgh Steelers15-114-1 (Jan 21)200-1 (Oct 7)100-1
New Orleans Saints15-19-2 (Oct 7)20-1 (May 6)8-1
Baltimore Ravens20-114-1 (Jan 21)100-1 (Oct 21)50-1
New York Giants20-116-1 (Mar 18)1,000-1 (Oct 7)300-1
Washington Redskins30-120-1 (Jul 15)OFF (Dec 3)OFF
Chicago Bears30-120-1 (Sept 9)100-1 (Dec 3)100-1
Cincinnati Bengals30-112-1 (Oct 21)40-1 (Feb 18)20-1
Dallas Cowboys30-118-1 (Sept 9)50-1 (Nov 11)30-1
San Diego Chargers30-130-1 (Jan 14)500-1 (Dec 3)500-1
Detroit Lions40-120-1 (Nov 11)60-1 (May 13)30-1
Minnesota Vikings40-140-1 (Jan 14)OFF (Dec 3)OFF
Indianapolis Colts40-114-1 (Oct 21)60-1 (Sept 16)30-1
Carolina Panthers40-110-1 (Dec 3)100-1 (Oct 7)10-1
New York Jets50-140-1 (Mar 11)500-1 (Dec 3)500-1
Philadelphia Eagles50-130-1 (Nov 18)100-1 (Sept 23)40-1
Miami Dolphins50-120-1 (Sept 16)100-1 (Dec 3)100-1
St. Louis Rams50-140-1 (Aug 12)1,000 (Dec 3)1,000-1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers50-140-1 (Apr 22)OFF (Dec 3)OFF
Cleveland Browns50-150-1 (Jan 14)500-1 (Oct 21)2,000-1
Kansas City Chiefs50-110-1 (Oct 21)60-1 (Mar 18)40-1
Tennessee Titans100-150-1 (Sept 23)500-1 (Dec 3)500-1
Buffalo Bills100-1100-1 (Jan 14)2,000-1 (Dec 3)2,000-1
Arizona Cardinals100-150-1 (Nov 25)300-1 (May 20)60-1
Oakland Raiders150-1150-1 (Jan 14)2,000-1 (Dec 3)2,000-1
Jacksonville Jaguars150-1150-1 (Jan 14)OFF (Dec 3)OFF
Green is the color of ...
It's not what you are thinking. I'm talking about the color of your face when you've had bad shellfish or just seen a picture of the MRSA virus in action or happened to turn off the TV thinking your Week 12 Broncos bet was safe only to wake up and find out you'd been Brady'd. It's also what the Gambling Opus has named the final 15 minutes of an NFL game, when your hard-earned money is won or lost.
All season long Jeff Gold, crack ESPN The Mag researcher and regular contributor to Insider, has been tracking how many games are within a score of the point spread heading into the fourth quarter. Last year, the number was 125 of the 256 games, or about 49 percent. So far this season, through 192 games, 96 of them (exactly half) were just a botched snap, Hail Mary, missed tackle, phantom call or rookie mistake from covering. Or not.
But wait, to really bring out that bright shade of green you wear so well, Jeff dug a little further and tracked how many games were still too close for comfort in the final five minutes. The tally: 86 of 192 games. This past weekend alone, nine games could have gone either way as the final gun neared.
So yes, my degenerate friends, there is no right side, only good luck and bad luck.
Rams and Texans have fukked me over ALL season.
USSInsiders
Banned
Ay dare, dhis is Vegas runn-err, remember to #Sprinkle the moneyline and #DoDamage
Bernie Madoff
Banned
It was +6 for the halfI took carolina plus 10 then took the under in this carolina game - Then I thought I saw carolina +6.5 for the first half so I grabbed that but it turns out it was carolina6.5 for the whole game
+9 for the game..
USSInsiders
Banned
fukk the Clippers
UNC +9 would have been a good bet. Whenever a good team like that loses and nobody expects it they always undervalue them trying to trap the public. UNC gonna come to play when they play MSU, to gain some respect back
USSInsiders
Banned
It's early but I'm predicting the Knicks-Nets game opens at 3.5 tomorrow with Knicks as road dogs. I know this is a shytfest of a game, but Knicks are really good in this spot
@Bernie Madoff remember what I was talking about yesterday. Pacers m/l now -230. Im not gonna play it but thats far better than the -500 they were getting before the game and they're only down 6.
damn
right now pacers -4.5
KritNC
All Star
betting on these unders is going to take years off my life