for the betters out here, the post your picks thread

Bernie Madoff

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Day off for me. Tommorow I'm going to start going hard on nba, ncaab.

One last thing about hedging in my experience. I'm not betting parlays, and when I bet at the book I get casino comps for money bet. If I bet $100 at one casino before the start, and hedge the 2nd half at another with a $100 bet. I lose $10 but get credit for gambling $200. Do that 3 times a day, I've gambled $600 and lost $30 on a 3-3 today. I'm a beast with stocks and I'm about to be a beast on these books. Tommorow I'm going to start looking at this as a source of income and not just entertainment.
 

USSInsiders

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Day off for me. Tommorow I'm going to start going hard on nba, ncaab.

One last thing about hedging in my experience. I'm not betting parlays, and when I bet at the book I get casino comps for money bet. If I bet $100 at one casino before the start, and hedge the 2nd half at another with a $100 bet. I lose $10 but get credit for gambling $200. Do that 3 times a day, I've gambled $600 and lost $30 on a 3-3 today. I'm a beast with stocks and I'm about to be a beast on these books. Tommorow I'm going to start looking at this as a source of income and not just entertainment.

:wow: Buddy finna go pro

Sidenote: Tonight taking San fran -4.5 and Phoenix +12
 

nomoreneveragain

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I would play Straught bets but it's not like i'm in vegas ... where I could cash out right away.

If NJ can get straight bets, I will vote Chris Christie for President.

I'd even Canvass for him.
 

L&HH

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:lupe:Just seen the OSU v Michigan line and this is interesting :lupe:. I think Ohio State is the better team but, I can smell an upset looming in the air. Michigan m/l is at +435, those are some damn good looking odds. And the game is at Michigan. One of the most historic and bitter rivalries. Last year the game was at Ohio and OSU came in undefeated but only won by 5 at home.

looking at their common opponents this season:
OSU beat Iowa at home by 10, Mich lost to Iowa on the road by 3
OSU beat NW on the road by 10, Mich beat NW on the road by 6 in 3 OT
OSU blew out PSU at home by 49, Mich lost to PSU on the road in 3OT (I watched that game and the PSU WR had one of the most amazing catches I've seen this year to send it to OT IIRC)
OSU beat Indiana 42-14, Mich beat Indiana 63-47..both teams at home

I like Mich +14 here, Im hoping the public sees OSU's recent blowouts and BCS Title dreams accompanied with Michigan's recent mishaps and jack the line up some....This will be an interesting one. Im def going to play the Michigan m/l on a parlay or something. Massey has the line at 11.5. If this goes up to 17 or something that would be wonderful
 

nomoreneveragain

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:lupe:Just seen the OSU v Michigan line and this is interesting :lupe:. I think Ohio State is the better team but, I can smell an upset looming in the air. Michigan m/l is at +435, those are some damn good looking odds. And the game is at Michigan. One of the most historic and bitter rivalries. Last year the game was at Ohio and OSU came in undefeated but only won by 5 at home.

looking at their common opponents this season:
OSU beat Iowa at home by 10, Mich lost to Iowa on the road by 3
OSU beat NW on the road by 10, Mich beat NW on the road by 6 in 3 OT
OSU blew out PSU at home by 49, Mich lost to PSU on the road in 3OT (I watched that game and the PSU WR had one of the most amazing catches I've seen this year to send it to OT IIRC)
OSU beat Indiana 42-14, Mich beat Indiana 63-47..both teams at home

I like Mich +14 here, Im hoping the public sees OSU's recent blowouts and BCS Title dreams accompanied with Michigan's recent mishaps and jack the line up some....This will be an interesting one. Im def going to play the Michigan m/l on a parlay or something. Massey has the line at 11.5. If this goes up to 17 or something that would be wonderful

It'll come down to 10 rather than go up to 17
 

L&HH

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Another value pick I like is Rice vs Tulane...These teams are alot closer than vegas is giving them credit for. Massey has the line at 6.5 which is alot more reasonable than the 13.5 it's at now. Rice is the better team marginally and they're at home. Tulane m/l at +405 is way too high imo.
 

L&HH

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:ohmy: If anybody uses Bovada I'd go check to see if you can catch a potential fukk up in their system, this could be ESPN misreporting it but they have Bovada giving Baylor +13.5....

BOVADA
BAY: +13.5
TCU: -13.5-115
-105
 

L&HH

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Anybody do prop bets?

Looking at a prop for the MNF game tonight and they have the total sacks in the game at 4.5...that seems mighty low. My guess is with two mobile qbs they think they won't get sacked but I think RG3 can cover the over on that himself.

Also longest FG I like under 45.5. Washington's kicker is trash, so this would all come down to SF kicker.

Team to score longest FG, again this will come down to if SF even scores FG or not, but that will interfere with the under 45.5 fg prop bet.

Most first downs? SF...The skins play atrociously in the first half and have three and outs on damne near every possession
 
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954UAlreadyknow

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I've seen a decent amount of ppl who like the under as well. It's tricky though, Skin's D can be such garbage at times
an easy one though should be Houston Rockets @ Grizzlies only one point favorites and Marc Gosol is out
 
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