So, is this going to be a catastrophe within a month or two, or is this really the "end of the pandemic" like a lot of people say?
I've read some stuff that 40-50% of infections are still Delta and the rest Omicron. Considering Delta is very nasty, doesn't that mean a ton of deaths and overcrowding at hospitals still? And Omicron is crazily infectious with some ridiculous R value, so everyone is getting sick at once too - even if it's not as bad as Delta - meaning too many hospital beds being taken up, right? Even if it has some less hospitalization rate. I'm just confused at the USA's response to this. People either don't want to talk about this I've noticed on my social media or people are saying that we're all going to get it so whatever.
Considering the effects this will have on the rest of our systems I just see insane chaos ensuing from the explosion in cases and a crazy increase in apathy. I'm confused that other people don't see it that way too. You don't want to have a stroke or get into a car accident during this time because resources are generally horrible. Everyone is sick at the same time and we noticed that restaurants and businesses that said they were going to be open the past week are closed or their service is complete shyt by their own admission BECAUSE of covid. Doesn't that also mean that services in all other industries are likely to be shyt too?
Brehs, what's going on here? Do we have any more predictive power here? Seems leadership is out on permanent vacation now. Are we in head-in-the-sand mode or is something else going on?
IMO, it boils down to a
bug feature of being human. I'm sure that Michael Burry felt the same way leading up to the housing crisis and Valery Legasov felt the same way digging into Chernobyl. In retrospect, I'd venture most things are easy to anticipate if you follow the right metrics.
With regards to the pandemic, I think that Republican talking points have changed the narrative drastically... initially we compared a preventative policy to the worst-case scenario, but now preventative policy is being compared to a fully-firing economy. Democrats are in a lose-lose situation where taking no preventative measures is a death knell, while successful preventative policy (again) avoids a worst-case scenario, (but reaffirms governmental overreach since we never experience the worst outcome... which also indirectly burns through future capital). Dems definitely deserve some of the blame because they should do what's right and not what's popular but it is a tricky situation imo.
To me, Covid reminds me the most of the stock market. During every bull market period, complacency seeps in because the recency/status quo bias reinforces the seeming permanence of the current outcome (ie yesterday's price = today's price). It's human nature to draw incorrect conclusions from a small sample size of occurrences, and also unfortunately to need to get severely burned every now and then as a reminder that the stove is hot.