Brexit Is Teaching Britain A Lesson In Humility; Boris Johnson finalizes EU Exit Deal!

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As Rishi Sunak's new government warns of "tough decisions" and fear spreads of new austerity, John Harris and John Domokos report from Grimsby - the former fishing town that voted overwhelmingly for Brexit, and then returned its first Tory MP in 75 years. Businesses are failing and hopes that life outside the EU would revive the town have crumbled, but one brilliant woman is channelling Grimsby's deep community spirit
 

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As Rishi Sunak's new government warns of "tough decisions" and fear spreads of new austerity, John Harris and John Domokos report from Grimsby - the former fishing town that voted overwhelmingly for Brexit, and then returned its first Tory MP in 75 years. Businesses are failing and hopes that life outside the EU would revive the town have crumbled, but one brilliant woman is channelling Grimsby's deep community spirit


Labour is gonna win these seats back but they got a tough job
 

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Growing majority of Britons think Brexit was a mistake, new poll shows​



By Euronews with AFP • Updated: 02/11/2022 - 18:54
773x435_cmsv2_0bc2655f-b47b-5dc8-ae99-82e4b2c016ef-7170404.jpg

A new poll shows that a growing number of Britons regret the decision to exit the European Union. - Copyright Kirsty Wigglesworth/Copyright 2019 The AP.


The tide in Britain appears to have turned since the 2016 Brexit referendum.

According to a new poll, only 43% of the British population consider that the UK's departure from the European Union was a good decision, while 57% believe it was a mistake.

The numbers, revealed on Wednesday by John Curtice, president of the British Polling Council, represent a significant shift from the 2016 results, when almost 52% of the British electorate voted to leave the EU, sending shockwaves across the globe.


"Brexit is probably today at its lowest level of popularity since June 2016," Curtice said during a meeting with journalists on Wednesday.

The pollster noted that the pro-EU trend became more noticeable after Autumn 2021 when a shortage of around 100,000 lorry drivers left many British companies and consumers unable to purchase imported goods.

Back then, analysts had argued that many of these lorry drivers used to be from Eastern Europe but the withdrawal from the single market, which ensures freedom of movement for workers, pushed them to search for better opportunities on the continent.

The ongoing cost-of-living crisis, driven by spiralling inflation and energy prices, has further widened the gap between those who support Brexit and those who regret it, Curtice said, although it is too early to conclude that Britons would actually re-consider the referendum's result.

None of the UK's major political parties has any plans to promote or demand a fresh referendum as the country is still attempting to define its post-Brexit identity.

Curtice noted the left-wing Labour Party, led by Keir Starmer, does not seem ready to re-open the debate on EU membership or the common market, fearing the question would scare key voters off.

Labour has seen a surge in support in recent weeks after the resignation of two scandal-hit Conservative Prime Ministers, Boris Johnson and Liz Truss, in less than four months.

The appointment of Rishi Sunak, who upon arriving at 10 Downing Street promised to fix Truss's mistakes, has somewhat halted the bleeding, Curtice said.

But the Tories, in power since 2010, still remain 30 points behind Labour in the latest polls.

"No government in power during a financial crisis has survived an election," Curtice told reporters. "They have lost ground because public opinion feels it can no longer trust [the Conservatives] to lead the country."

The next UK general election is scheduled to be held no later than January 2025.
 

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the uk might try to start producing things which G20 countries actually need (at a lower cost than their competitors).

like the german mittlestand, but better.

software, biotech, manufacture of high quality goods.
 

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Brexit-backing Next boss says UK needs more overseas workers​

    • Published
      1 hour ago


Lord Wolfson said the UK needed a "different approach" to migration
By Simon Jack
Business editor

The boss of retailer Next is urging the government to let more foreign workers into the UK to ease labour shortages.

Lord Wolfson, who was a prominent advocate of Brexit, said the UK's current immigration policy was crippling economic growth.

He said firms should pay a tax to employ foreign workers, to encourage them to recruit from the UK first.

The government said it had delivered on its promise to "take back control of our immigration system".

"Unemployment is at record lows and it's vital we continue to bring in excellent key workers the UK needs, including thousands of NHS doctors and nurses through the Health and Care Visa and the Seasonal Workers scheme which brings in the workforce our farmers and growers need," a government spokesperson said.

Free trade?​

Lord Wolfson, a Conservative peer, told the BBC: "We have got people queuing up to come to this country to pick crops that are rotting in fields, to work in warehouses that otherwise wouldn't be operable, and we're not letting them in.

"And we have to take a different approach to economically productive migration."

He said that the government needed to decide whether the UK was an open free trading nation, or whether post-Brexit it wanted to be "fortress Britain", pulling up the drawbridge to foreign workers at significant cost to the economy.

"I think in respect of immigration, it's definitely not the Brexit that I wanted, or indeed, many of people who voted Brexit wanted," he said.

"And we have to remember, you know, we're all stuck in this Brexit argument, we have to remember that what post-Brexit Britain looks like, is not the preserve of those people that voted Brexit, it's for all of us to decide."

He added that the majority of people in Britain have a "very pragmatic view" of immigration.

"Yes, control it, where it's damaging to society, but let people in who can who can contribute," Lord Wolfson said.

He suggested a market-based solution to fix current labour shortages, which have affected sectors including healthcare, hospitality and logistics.

He suggests that businesses who need foreign workers should be able to pay a tax of 10% to the government on foreign workers' salaries to ensure that only the businesses that really couldn't find UK workers would recruit overseas.
"It would automatically mean that businesses never bought someone into the company from outside if they could find someone in the UK," he said. "But if they genuinely can't, they'll pay the premium."
According to figures from the Office for National Statistics, net migration to the UK was estimated to be about 239,000 in the year ending June 2021, a slight fall from the previous year's figure of 260,000. The figure was driven by immigration from non-European Union countries.
When the UK was a member of the EU, it came under the principle of free movement that allowed all EU nationals to live and work in any EU country.
But on 31 December 2020, this freedom ended for EU citizens coming to the UK, and for UK citizens going to the EU.

Last month, a survey by the CBI business lobby group found nearly three-quarters of UK companies had suffered from labour shortages in the past 12 months.
Nearly half of the companies surveyed wanted the government to grant temporary visas for roles that were in "obvious shortage", the CBI said.
In the summer, the aviation industry asked for special immigration visas for overseas workers but the request was rejected. Understaffing in the industry had been blamed for flight cancellations and delays at airports.
The government has introduced a skilled worker visa scheme for some occupations facing shortages. It also has a seasonal workers scheme to cover jobs such as fruit pickers, and a Health and Care Visa for medical staff.

'No need for breakdown'​

Lord Wolfson admitted that 2023 would be very tough for consumers and businesses but insisted that many businesses should not expect government support that should be targeted at the most needy.

He said "the last thing we want them to do" is to give money to businesses that don't really need it, because the government needed to focus "very limited resources on the people that most need help during the upcoming recession".

"That's the people who are going to be cold, and people who are going to be hungry, not businesses that want a break on their taxes," he said.

Lord Wolfson is widely considered to be one of the canniest brains in UK business, and while he conceded next year would be tough, there were reasons for optimism.

First, unlike the recessions of the early 1980s and 90s, when whole industries and regions saw work opportunities disappear, very few workers would be unable to find employment.

"While people will be squeezed, it's very unlikely that they won't be able to find work," he said.

Second, he said that there were already signs - in the prices being quoted for future raw materials at the end of next year - that 2024 could see a strong bounce back from recession.

"The interesting thing about a supply side recession is that the seeds of correction are automatically certain. So as demand drops, and factories begin to empty, then prices begin to come down," he said.

"Next year will be tough but there is no need for a national nervous breakdown," he added.
 

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Post-Brexit £1,000 farming payments ‘too little, too late’, says NFU​

Environmental cash incentives part of government scheme to replace EU common agricultural policy


Fiona Harvey and Helena Horton
Thu 5 Jan 2023 10.45 GMT

A green tractor pulls a plough in a field

A farm in Dunsden Green, Oxfordshire. The farming minister has announced increased payments under environmental land management schemes of up to £1,000. Photograph: Geoffrey Swaine/Rex/Shutterstock

Farmers are to receive additional payments of up to £1,000 a year for protecting nature and the environment, as the government changes post-Brexit subsidies to agriculture.

The increased payments will come under the environmental land management schemes (Elms), the cornerstone of the government’s system for replacing the EU’s much-criticised common agricultural policy (CAP).


But farming leaders said the sums were small relative to farmers’ needs, and left many details of the payments still uncertain. The National Farmers’ Union said the announcements “risked being too little, too late”.

The farming minister, Mark Spencer, announced the new payments at the Oxford Farming Conference on Thursday, a major event in the UK’s farming calendar. Ministers have been under pressure for months over Elms, as successive prime ministers last year gave conflicting signals over the future of the system.

Spencer urged farmers to take up the schemes, which reward farmers for undertaking measures to improve biodiversity and nature management on their land. “My challenge to our great industry is simple: this year, take another look at the environmental land management schemes and think about what options and grants will help support your farm,” he said.

In a stark contrast to the months of dithering over the future of Elms, which at one point werefacing the axe under Liz Truss, Spencer insisted Elms were still the flagship measure in the government’s agriculture policy.

“As custodians of more than 70% of our countryside, the nation is relying on its farmers to protect our landscapes as well as produce the high-quality food we are known for, and we are increasing payment rates to ensure farmers are not out of pocket for doing the right thing by the environment,” he said.

“By increasing the investment in these schemes, I want farmers to see this stacks up for business – whatever the size of your holding.”

Spencer’s intervention was meant to shore up confidence in the government’s handling of UK agriculture amid unprecedented turmoil in the sector, driven by the cost of living crisis, soaring energy and fertiliser prices, the impact of Covid-19 and Brexit.

But countryside experts said the government’s plans were nowhere near enough to provide a secure future for the battered sector. Payments under the previous farm support scheme, known as basic payments and based on the EU’s CAP, which rewards farmers based on the amount of land they farm, have already been cut by 20%, leaving many farmers facing hardship despite high food prices.

David Exwood, vice-president of the NFU, said: “I regret that farmers and growers are making crucial long-term decisions that are essential to running viable and profitable food-producing businesses without the vital clarity needed on Elms and options that will be available. While some of these latest changes are welcome … it risks being too little too late, especially given the current economic challenges we are experiencing, and the rapid erosion of direct payments [under the previous farm support regime].”

He added: “It’s a sad reflection of the scheme’s progress and development that NFU members know more about what they will lose in direct payments than what they will gain from taking part in these new schemes.”

Mark Tufnell, president of the Country Land and Business Association, representing nearly 30,000 landowners and rural businesses, said more urgency and more details were needed. “Today’s announcement shows government is listening and adapting to the concerns of farmers. It reduces uncertainty, supports proper valuations and creates stronger incentives for a wider range of farms to enter into the schemes. All this is to be welcomed, but everything is moving just too slowly. We have had many promises of improvements in the future, but what we desperately need are details of payment rates and standards for 2023,” he said.

“We believe government’s policy on Elms to be potentially world-leading, but we need a world-leading government operation to underpin it. Defra [Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs] is doing good work, they just need to do it more quickly.”

Under the increase in payments, farmers will receive a new “management payment” for the first 50 hectares (123 acres) – a rate of £20 a hectare – that they enrol in the “sustainable farming incentive” (SFI) scheme, which centres on requirements to nurture soils. This should cover the administrative costs of enrolment and attract smaller businesses, according to Defra, including tenant farmers, who are currently underrepresented.

Payment rates for farmers enrolled in countryside stewardship agreements, which also require them to undertake environmental improvements, will be lifted by 10%. Rates for capital projects, such as planting new hedgerows, will be increased by about half. There are currently about 30,000 farmers involved in the countryside stewardship scheme.

Payments for woodland creation and tree health will also be updated. In total, the range of increases should amount to about £1,000 for farmers.

Daniel Zeichner, the shadow agriculture minister, said that was insufficient. “I can’t imagine people jumping and punching the ceiling saying ‘that’ll do it for me’. I don’t think that tiny, tiny amount will make a difference at all,” he said. “Unfortunately it’s hard to imagine the money that’s been lost [in direct payments] will now be replaced through environmental schemes. Farmers are losing thousands and thousands, Labour is committed to making these schemes work and unfortunately it appears there is no such commitment from this government.”

The Guardian has also revealed that uptake of the new schemes has been slow so far. Only 224 payments have been made to date under the sustainable farm incentive scheme, the first step in the Elms changes.

Elms were first announced by Michael Gove as environment secretary in 2018, as part of the biggest shake-up of British farming in 40 years, to replace the EU system of payments based on the amount of land farmed – which favours the biggest landowners with least need of support – with payments for protecting the countryside, a system of “public money for public goods”.

But the changes have been mired in difficulty, and farmers have been increasingly concerned as the £3bn a year of subsidies received under the EU are being gradually withdrawn.
 

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Collapse in support for leaving EU in member states since Brexit, new data shows​



Survey confirms trend in politics that has seen eurosceptic political forces moderate positions​



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Eurosceptic parties in countries including France, Italy and the Netherlands have dropped calls for referendums on EU membership or to leave the euro currency area, instead advocating for the union to reform. Photograph: Frederick Florin/Getty Images

Naomi O'Leary in Brussels
Tue Jan 10 2023 - 18:12

There has been a stark drop in support for leaving the European Union in member states across the continent in the aftermath of the Brexit vote in the United Kingdom, new data shows.

In a European Social Survey, respondents were asked how they would vote in a hypothetical referendum on whether their country should remain in the EU, first in 2016-2017 and again in 2020-2022.

Support for leaving the EU fell in every member state for which results are available across that time period, led by a drop of 11.8 percentage points in Finland, 10 percentage points in Slovenia, 8.8 in Austria, and 8.6 in Portugal. In the Netherlands the proportion of those saying they would vote to leave the EU fell by 8.4 percentage points in the period, while in Italy it dropped by 8.3 and in France 7.6, according to the data provided to The Irish Times by the European Social Survey, which has not been previously reported.

The results appear to confirm a trend in politics across the continent that has seen eurosceptic political forces moderate their positions to move away from demands to leave the EU since Britain held its 2016 referendum on the issue.

Eurosceptic parties in countries including France, Italy and the Netherlands have dropped calls for referendums on EU membership or to leave the euro currency area, instead advocating for the union to reform.

This happened during years in which Britain was mired in difficult negotiations regarding its exit from the union that underlined the complexity of leaving, while the country faced political turbulence and economic headwinds blamed partly on the disruption of its relationship with its biggest trading partner.


Results for Ireland were not yet available. However in the 2018-2019 survey, support for remaining in the EU in Ireland stood at 89.1 per cent, while support for leaving was at 5.6 per cent.



The proportion of respondents who said they would vote to remain in the EU rose by 14.8 percentage points in Finland, 11.2 in the Netherlands, 10.5 in Slovenia, 9.7 in Czechia, 8.2 in Hungary, 8.1 in Portugal, 7.5 in Italy, and 6.7 in France.

There was not a rise in remain support in every country however. There was a drop of 5.1 percentage points for remain in Germany, 3.4 in Poland, 1.7 in Spain and 0.4 in Sweden. Rather than backing leave, respondents in these countries switched to giving alternative answers, such as that they didn’t know or would not vote.

The results emerged in the latest edition of the European Social Survey, an academic research project headquartered at City, University of London, which has polled tens of thousands of people on attitudes and behaviours in national surveys in 30 countries across Europe since 2001.

Respondents were asked the question: “Imagine there were a referendum in [your country] tomorrow about membership of the European Union. Would you vote for [your country] to remain a member of the European Union or to leave the European Union?”

Results were somewhat delayed due to the Covid-19 pandemic, and surveys in Austria, Germany, Poland, Sweden and Spain switched to self-completion rather than face-to-face interviews in the 2020-2022 period.
 

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Brexit: UK construction costs ‘have risen much more steeply than EU’
Cost of labour in Britain up by 30% since referendum, double rise in some EU countries, research finds

5485.jpg

A construction worker forming concrete reinforcing bars. The research found that between 2015 and 2022 the cost of materials had risen 60% in the UK. Photograph: Peter D Noyce/Alamy

Lisa O'Carroll Brexit correspondent
@lisaocarroll


Tue 24 Jan 2023 13.31 GMT

The cost of materials and labour for construction have increased more steeply in the UK than the EU since the Brexit referendum, new research has found.
Analysis of data from EU member states, the central EU database, Eurostat, and the UK Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy show that between 2015 and 2022 the cost of construction materials including cement, timber and steel increased by 60%.

At the same time, the cost of labour in the UK went up by 30%.


In the EU, where similar pressures including supply chain and Covid problems applied, the cost of materials went up 35% while labour in countries such as Denmark and the Netherlands went up by just over 14%.

The UK Trade and Business Commission (UKTBC), an independent body of experts set up to track the impact of Brexit, said the research would deepen growing concerns over labour shortages in the UK.

D’Maris Coffman, the director of the Bartlett school of sustainable construction at University College London said Covid and the energy crisis had also driven up costs. “On balance, I would agree that Covid is the least of the three, probably a fifth all told, and that Brexit and the energy crisis are probably about two-fifths each, about 40% each,” she said.

Hilary Benn, a Labour MP and former chair of the House of Commons Brexit committee, said it was “clear that Brexit and its subsequent trade deals have created many more problems for UK businesses than opportunities”.

Last week a thinktank estimated Brexit had led to a shortfall of 330,000 in the UK labour force, mostly in the low-skilled sectors.

The UKTBC has now launched a nationwide consultation to gather evidence on the biggest challenges faced by Brexit.

Small businesses exporting to the EU have been particularly hit.

On Monday a British entrepreneur at the firm Cycloc which makes indoor bicycle storage systems told how it has lost 25% of sales revenue because of Brexit.

The Construction Products Association said Cycloc’s experience mirrored that of small businesses in the building sector. “Major companies that are exporting construction products to the EU have large teams and can deal with the admin, the bureaucracy, the additional costs. The key issue is for the smaller firms that would be exporters,” Noble Francis, the economics director of the Construction Products Association, said.

“They have struggled with the additional resource cost, admin, bureaucracy-wise and so that’s why you end up at a point where exports of construction products to the EU are still more than one-third lower than before.”

A government spokesperson said: “Increases in the cost of construction products and materials, as well as in wages are challenges that are being faced by other countries around the world, as a result of the impact of the COVID-19pandemic and strong demand during the period of economic recovery.
They added that it “continues to work closely with the construction industry to improve its productivity”.
 
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