Fillerguy
Veteran
She mad cuz he did his job
breaking: republicans in disarray. MTG files motion to vacate the speaker in the house
- Thread starter Hannibal alexander
- Start date
She mad cuz he did his job
What's Going to Happen to Speaker Johnson?
April 30th, 2024
A MIDWESTERN RURAL RADICALAPR 30, 2024
A few weeks ago, Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene filed a motion to vacate, which would immediately force a vote to oust the Speaker if she pulled the metaphorical trigger. Under House rules, the motion to vacate must take place within two legislative days.
Since MTG filed it, the Speaker has passed four foreign aid bills with major bipartisan support (albeit with more Democratic votes than Republican) and met with Donald Trump. At the end of their meeting, Trump praised Johnson and said that a motion to vacate was not in the House’s best interest.
Trump and Johnson. Photo credit: CNN
Given his near-death grip on the Republican Party, this should be the end of it, right? Not necessarily. The congressional Republicans have shown a very limited willingness to buck the Trump line in certain instances. For those who need the Cliffs Notes on constitutional procedure, the House cannot bring any legislation to the floor without a Speaker. This is why the House was paralyzed for weeks when former Speaker McCarthy was forced out.
I see three potential outcomes.
Outcome One: House Republicans Do As They’re Told
I believe that this is the most likely outcome. Republicans have shown time and time again that they are no longer the Party of Reagan, the Party of Bush, or have a tent large enough to have non-Trump opinions. There is only Trump. In the interest of accuracy, perhaps they should rename themselves to the Trumpian Party.
There also be an upside for House Republicans: it would not be the third major Speaker debacle for the House GOP this legislative session. To find a more chaotic, obstructive, and ill-functioning Congress, we may have to return to the Articles of Confederation during Shays’ Rebellion. The GOP already has a tough sell that they are a responsible governing party-this might lock in the idea within voters’ minds.
Jim Jordan after failing a Speaker vote. Photo credit: LA Times
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Outcome Two: MTV Triggered, Dems to the Rescue
This is the second most-likely version of events. MTG really has nothing to fear: her district is entirely safe, she is held in high esteem among the MAGA faithful, and she seems to be more interested in disrupting things for the sake of disruption than to get anything accomplished. After taking down Speaker McCarthy, maybe she wants another notch in her belt.
Should this happen, I am fairly confident enough Democrats would vote with the non-MTG Republicans to avoid ousting Johnson. Earlier today, the Democratic House leadership issued a statement stating that they would ensure that the motion to vacate would fail. If they bailed out Johnson, especially if they provided more votes than the GOP did, Johnson would be stuck even further between a rock and hard place: work with Democrats to retain his Speakership and pass legislation, or cave to the right flank and achieve nothing while also alienating the only reliable voting bloc who has advanced legislation.
Minority Leader Hakeen Jeffries. Photo credit: U.S. House
The Sword of Damocles dances above Johnson’s head and the Democrats have the scissors.
richaveli83
Veteran
How does she keep winning the Georgia seat?
richaveli83
Veteran
She's probably in a bloody red district. Basically a district that a Democrat could never win.
RennisDeynolds
I am untethered and my rage knows no bounds!
I she wasn't in Congress grifting she'd be on onlyfans claiming QoS
