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Macallik86

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Looking to jump back into things after a year or two away from the markets. Good to see some Option Traders in here as well.

Still gotta check out some charts but right I am thinking about some long-term LEAP puts on the SPY when the bottom falls out eventually. I am not a gloom and doom kinda guy but the market has been in an uptrend since 09 and is due for a correction and I think that the policies (or lack thereof) that Trump brings to the table exacerbate things.
 

Macallik86

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I can only see Russia getting better in the long term (lifted sanctions, broader acception in the global world, etc) with a friend like Trump in office. Provided a war doesn't break out between the US and Russia, I see the Russian economy as a whole getting better. I put in an after-hours order for 3 long term (Jan 2019) calls on RSX, the Russian ETF. I wanted to set up a higher bull call spread but the strikes don't go that high yet so I am settling for the $28 calls
 

keepemup

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Nobody talking about Nvidia stock going from $50 to $109 in like 3 months...
Breh I had been preaching to everybody to buy this stock when it was still at $25 a share, the same when AMD was at $1.80 a share.

It now looks like Nvidia has saturated, I dropped all my shares yesterday, perhaps when they release new products or new deals the stock will assume its upward trajectory.

AMD has slowed a little too, my guess is that since the new Macbooks were panned by the industry AMD's rise took a hit as well. I think AMD will go back up as soon as they release more of their ZEN products.

I made about 50K off these two stocks this year alone.
 

keepemup

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Looks like Nvidia just took a little bounce. I expect that to mean that the rate they were increasing at will slow and the trajectory it assumes will be dependent on what products are shown off at CES in early January.
 

sayyestothis

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Looking to jump back into things after a year or two away from the markets. Good to see some Option Traders in here as well.

Still gotta check out some charts but right I am thinking about some long-term LEAP puts on the SPY when the bottom falls out eventually. I am not a gloom and doom kinda guy but the market has been in an uptrend since 09 and is due for a correction and I think that the policies (or lack thereof) that Trump brings to the table exacerbate things.

Breh no offense but since 08 we've had 10 corrections if you count a 5% drop and 4 if you are counting a 10% drop with two happening over the past two years.

Also deregulation will lead to positive US markets and more future rate hikes over the next couple yrs. If anything I would short the bond market not the S&P.
 

keepemup

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So the RAD merger is going to happen at 9, right? Seems like free money to me. And if you are questioning this trade, look through this thread and see how well Ive traded this thing.
Hmm. It's at about $8.4 right now. What do you expect it to go to in the short term?
 

Macallik86

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Ended up not pulling the trigger on the RSX options just yet. Have a order set to trigger once RSX gets above $22 though.

Breh no offense but since 08 we've had 10 corrections if you count a 5% drop and 4 if you are counting a 10% drop with two happening over the past two years.

Also deregulation will lead to positive US markets and more future rate hikes over the next couple yrs. If anything I would short the bond market not the S&P.
No offense taken. I definitely am not rigid in my beliefs about the market. With that said, I think that corrections are the key to a sustainable uptrend but at the same time, I think that the markets are cyclical and so eventually there will be a downtrend because of human nature.

There is nothing in the charts to suggest that will happen at the moment, but in terms of an uptrend (including corrections) the longest previous timeframe of a straight up bull-market was 1995 to the end of 2000, approximately six years. Currently we have had a straight up bull market from 2009 to 2017 present for all intents and purposes imo, which is about 9 years. I agree that Trump has a pro-business policy and that this should lead to higher profits for the stock market, but the idea that we have reached a new normal where it is blue skies and market gains for all for the foreseeable future (or even the next four years) is imo an unlikely scenario so I am interested in keeping an eye out for the long term reversal.

zzDGWIFg
 

mson

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GOOGLE MULLING SOUNDCLOUD BUYOUT, SAY WHISPERS – AS SONY AND UNIVERSAL’S STAKES ARE REVEALED
409 SHARES

JANUARY 3, 2017
BY TIM INGHAM



After Spotify spurned the chance to acquire SoundCloud, some assumed the end was nigh for the loss-making streaming platform.

High-level rumors are now beginning to bubble, however, that Google is very interested in snapping up the Berlin-based company – which boasts more than 175m users around the world.

SoundCloud was reportedly hoping to sell for $1bn to Spotify in the second half of 2016.

It’s the same price tag that put off Twitter (now a SC investor) from buying the firm in 2014 – and, lo, it ended up pushing away Daniel Ek’s company too.

(Ek reportedly plumped to spend Spotify’s $1bn convertible debt raise on international expansion and shoring up his business for an IPO attempt later this year.)

More realistically, music biz insiders tell MBW, SoundCloud could now be acquired for somewhere closer to $500m – and Google is said to be the current favorite.

(Interesting sidenote: SoundCloud hired former Google exec Holly Lim as its first ever CFO in September last year – namely to “maintain SoundCloud’s financial health and capitalise on new opportunities for growth”. Hmm.)

If a sale to Google happens, all three major labels will get a windfall.

MBW has dug through SoundCloud’s latest financial filing and can confirm Universal, Sony and Warner all own stakes in the business.

A Confirmation Statement filed at the UK’s Companies House on December 21 (read it here) reveals that SoundCloud Ltd is comprised of 4,676,273 shares – 355,351 of which are categorized as ‘Ordinary Class A’.

(Also included in the total are 678,333 Series A shares; 818,195 Series B shares; 341,846 Series C shares; 42,074 Series C-1 shares; 463,546 Series D shares and 724,459 Series E shares.)

Music business interest is led by Universal Music Leisure Ltd, which owns 191,472Ordinary Class A shares, plus 2 Series D shares.

Sony Music Entertainment owns slightly fewer shares, controlling 134,056 Ordinary Class A shares, plus 2 Series D shares.

Warner Music Inc, meanwhile, owns just 29,823 Ordinary Class A shares.

However, WMG – the first major music company to license SoundCloud back in 2014 – also owns 32,755 Series D shares.

A rough approximation (not taking into account individual value of shares – which are likely to increase these stakes slightly) gives Universal a 4% holding in the company, with Sony on 3% and Warner on somewhere between 1% and 2%.

If SoundCloud was sold for $500m, the majors would therefore get a cut of around $45m between them.

These share percentages are likely to have been diluted as SoundCloud has taken on more investment since agreeing to apportion Universal and Sony equity as part of global licensing deals in 2016.

If SoundCloud does sell to Google, it could be the beginning of a major shake-up in music streaming land in 2017.

As previously covered, Pandora is looking odds-on to get swallowed up by Sirius XM in the coming months.

A tell-tale sign: investment fund UBS Asset Management raised its ownership stake in Pandora by 7.1% in Q3 2016 to 195,983 shares – currently worth $2.5m – a new SEC filing has revealed.

That came after BlackRock Advisors LLC increased its position in Pandora by 1.9% in the second quarter.

BlackRock now owns 1,014,741 shares of Pandora stock – currently valued at $12.85m – after buying an additional 19,044 shares during Q2 2016.

SoundCloud and Pandora to sell, while Spotify finally launches towards an IPO?

Another busy year ahead, folks…Music Business Worldwide

Google mulling SoundCloud buyout, say whispers - as Sony and Universal's stakes are revealed - Music Business Worldwide
 

Macallik86

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Got faked out on some USO 2019 calls yesterday and got out this morning.

Did pull the trigger on two Feb 2016 T-Mobile $60 Calls @ $2.19. Gonna bail before the earnings report for sure though but a relatively high short interest means that if this takes off, a decent amount of shorts will have to cover their positions which could take the stock even higher still. We shall see.
 
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