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Well shiidd...Let's keep eating then!
Boiler Room: The Official Stock Market Discussion
Well shiidd...Let's keep eating then!
BlaxOps
Pro
Soft landing stocks
Strategists at Goldman Sachs have a new note out, saying that the market is pricing in a soft landing even though the trend of earnings revisions points to a hard landing. They're not that optimistic -- even in the soft-landing scenario, the team led by David Kostin say the S&P 500 will end the year right around current levels, at 4,000. But they identify 46 stocks that could benefit -- profitable, cyclical companies that are trading at price-to-earnings valuations below their 10-year median, among other factors.
One name jumps out: Tesla (TSLA), which trades at 22 times forward earnings versus the 10-year median of 117 times. But the other 45 names are less flashy, ranging from Capital One (COF) and Carlyle Group (CG), to a host of industrials including 3M (MMM), Parker-Hannifan (PH) and Otis Worldwide (OTIS). As a whole, these typically $10 billion companies are trading at 12 times earnings, versus 17 times usually.
In the hard landing scenario, S&P 500 profit margins would shrink by 125 basis points, to 10.9% -- about in line with the median peak-to-trough decline during the eight recessions since 1970, which has been 132 basis points. Consensus expectations are for a 26 basis-point margin decline.
The Goldman team also have a 36 stock screen for a hard landing -- profitable companies in defensive industries with a positive dividend yield. They're typically food, beverage and tobacco companies as well as software and services companies -- including Costco Wholesale (COST), Kroger (KR), Altria (MO), Tyson Foods (TSN), Microsoft (MSFT), MasterCard (MA) and Visa (V). As a whole, these $37 billion companies are trading at 22 times earnings vs. a historical 24 times.
www.goldmansachs.com
Strategists at Goldman Sachs have a new note out, saying that the market is pricing in a soft landing even though the trend of earnings revisions points to a hard landing. They're not that optimistic -- even in the soft-landing scenario, the team led by David Kostin say the S&P 500 will end the year right around current levels, at 4,000. But they identify 46 stocks that could benefit -- profitable, cyclical companies that are trading at price-to-earnings valuations below their 10-year median, among other factors.
One name jumps out: Tesla (TSLA), which trades at 22 times forward earnings versus the 10-year median of 117 times. But the other 45 names are less flashy, ranging from Capital One (COF) and Carlyle Group (CG), to a host of industrials including 3M (MMM), Parker-Hannifan (PH) and Otis Worldwide (OTIS). As a whole, these typically $10 billion companies are trading at 12 times earnings, versus 17 times usually.
In the hard landing scenario, S&P 500 profit margins would shrink by 125 basis points, to 10.9% -- about in line with the median peak-to-trough decline during the eight recessions since 1970, which has been 132 basis points. Consensus expectations are for a 26 basis-point margin decline.
The Goldman team also have a 36 stock screen for a hard landing -- profitable companies in defensive industries with a positive dividend yield. They're typically food, beverage and tobacco companies as well as software and services companies -- including Costco Wholesale (COST), Kroger (KR), Altria (MO), Tyson Foods (TSN), Microsoft (MSFT), MasterCard (MA) and Visa (V). As a whole, these $37 billion companies are trading at 22 times earnings vs. a historical 24 times.
2023 US Economic Outlook: Approaching a Soft Landing
BlaxOps
Pro
$JPM fell premarket, but I like the announcement of a possible $12B buyback this year.
No greater feeling than being green on a red day.Consistent greens is the goal. That's how you REALLY get rich. It ain't the 5x, 10x, 20x. Those don't last. Being green more than you are red when you add up the weeks, months, years is what dictates ultimate success.The stock market is 3 things: A job, a bank, and a casino. YOU decide which one you want to go with.
JetFueledThoughts
Superstar
$HIMS closing the week on a 52 week high 
BlaxOps
Pro
Today was interesting. Seems a lot of people bought the dip on $JPM. Nice cheap contracts that ran up nicely.
140C
140C
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Silky Johnson
The Master Investbreh
Soft landing stocks
Strategists at Goldman Sachs have a new note out, saying that the market is pricing in a soft landing even though the trend of earnings revisions points to a hard landing. They're not that optimistic -- even in the soft-landing scenario, the team led by David Kostin say the S&P 500 will end the year right around current levels, at 4,000. But they identify 46 stocks that could benefit -- profitable, cyclical companies that are trading at price-to-earnings valuations below their 10-year median, among other factors.
One name jumps out: Tesla (TSLA), which trades at 22 times forward earnings versus the 10-year median of 117 times. But the other 45 names are less flashy, ranging from Capital One (COF) and Carlyle Group (CG), to a host of industrials including 3M (MMM), Parker-Hannifan (PH) and Otis Worldwide (OTIS). As a whole, these typically $10 billion companies are trading at 12 times earnings, versus 17 times usually.
In the hard landing scenario, S&P 500 profit margins would shrink by 125 basis points, to 10.9% -- about in line with the median peak-to-trough decline during the eight recessions since 1970, which has been 132 basis points. Consensus expectations are for a 26 basis-point margin decline.
The Goldman team also have a 36 stock screen for a hard landing -- profitable companies in defensive industries with a positive dividend yield. They're typically food, beverage and tobacco companies as well as software and services companies -- including Costco Wholesale (COST), Kroger (KR), Altria (MO), Tyson Foods (TSN), Microsoft (MSFT), MasterCard (MA) and Visa (V). As a whole, these $37 billion companies are trading at 22 times earnings vs. a historical 24 times.
2023 US Economic Outlook: Approaching a Soft Landing
I love Visa and MSFT (even though I'm not buying back in until $205) in the near and long term.
Calling
on $TSLA.
BlaxOps
Pro
Anyone else find bitcoin's run fishy after the whole FTX fiasco? I took a look at the miners, they are parabolic so far this year.
Went down big this morning, so I went in.
Went pass my goal. Might add more depending in what happens next week.
