enough of this, boxofficeprophets.com
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The third
Captain America movie (which sorta kinda but not really doubles as the third Avengers movie) took in a strong $75.2 million on Friday, with $25 million of that coming from Thursday night showings. This is fantastic, considering Winter Solider opened two years ago to $95 million, a figure Civil War will have passed by the time you read this. The slight problem comes from the Expectation Game. Civil War felt like it was a lock to be the fourth member of the $200 million opening club. It’s got all of the Avengers, earned terrific reviews, is following Winter Solider, which is considered one of the best movies in the Marvel Comic Universe,
and it isn’t Batman v. Superman. There is literally nothing negative to report about the opening day box office of Civil War. It’s the eighth largest single day of all time. But in this era of the mega-opening, this sure feels like a letdown when you’re looking for it to duplicate the opening weekend of Age of Ultron.
Anyway, looking at Winter Soldier, that movie’s Friday was $37 million with $10.2 million of that from Thursday showings. It finished the opening weekend with $95 million. That’s a 2.56 multiplier when you include Thursday’s number and a 3.16 when you don’t. If Civil War duplicates that feat, it’s somewhere between $183 million and $192 million. I will remind you for the third time that Winter Solider opened to $95 million. Sequels, especially when going from the second movie to the third movie, aren’t supposed to earn nearly $100 million more than the previous film on opening weekend. Civil War’s opening weekend will be a very strong $185 million.
Lastly, we point and laugh at Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice one final time. Clinging to tenth place on Friday with $219,000, it now stands at $325.6 million. Let us count the days until Civil War crosses that figure.