Broner vs. Porter: BoxingScene.com Staff Predictions
Posted by: Jake Donovan on 6/20/2015 .
By Jake Donovan
In what many believe to be the most competitive matchup (on paper) offered since the inception of
Premier Boxing Champions earlier this year, former titlists Adrien Broner and Shawn Porter collide at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada (Saturday, NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET).
The bout is being contested at a catchweight of 144 lbs., met by both fighters during Friday's weigh-in.
The speculation was that the weight in place was designed to weaken Porter (25-1-1, 16KOs), who hasn't weighed that light since a 2011 win over Anges Adjaho. Not only did he make weight, but the fighting pride of Akron, Ohio seemed comfortable at the scale.
Broner, on the other hand, looked as if he hadn't ingested food or drink in the hours leading up to the weigh-in. The former three-division champ came in under the limit, but was bone-dry and not at all convincing that it was an easy task to satisfy the terms of the contract.
Porter—a former amateur standout before turning pro in 2008—initially gained fame as a chief sparring partner for Manny Pacquiao leading up to the Filipino's historic win over then-welterweight titlist Miguel Cotto in Nov. '09.
The sessions helped Porter get his name in headlines, but he's carved out a respectable career for himself in the process. He rose to welterweight prominence in a career-best 12-round win over Devon Alexander in Dec. '13. The welterweight-title winning effort was followed up by a 4th round stoppage of Paul Malignaggi last April, his lone successful title defense before succumbing to Kell Brook in a battle of unbeaten welterweights last August.
Porter has since rebounded with a 5th round knockout of late replacement Erick Bone this past March, a bout that served as the very first under PBC's developing series on Spike TV.
Broner appeared in the very first PBC telecast on any network, opening up its inaugural installment of PBC on NBC with a 12-round win over John Molina Jr. in March. The win was the third straight for the brash former three-division titlist from Cincinnati.
His lone career loss also came in a title-conceding effort, dropping a humiliating 12-round decision to Marcos Maidana in Dec. '13. The upset win helped propel Maidana into a pair of lucrative paydays with pound-for-pound king Floyd Mayweather Jr.
There has been serious talk of Saturday's winner landing such a coveted assignment, or at least joining a short list of potential candidates.
For now, both fighters need to worry about what awaits the other on fight night before eyeing a career-defining fight and payday.
Who will prevail in Las Vegas? Read on to see how the staff at BoxingScene.com believes the action will go down.
BOXINGSCENE.COM STAFF PREDICTIONS:ADRIEN BRONER vs. SHAWN PORTER
Ryan Burton (Porter SD): The catchweight clearly gives Broner an advantage but Porter wins a close decision to throw his name in the Mayweather sweepstakes.
Jake Donovan (Porter Dec): Broner's only real advantage here was (attempting to) get Porter down to an uncomfortable weight. That plan miserably backfired; so too will the decision to take this fight in the first place.
Michael Gibbons (Maj. Draw): Porter outworks Broner, Vegas judges outwork Porter.
Peter Lim (Porter Dec): Size trumps savvy in this fight. Broner's punching power, while destructive at 130 and 135, was significantly diminished at 140 and above. At welterweight, Broner was mauled by Marcos Maidana and struggled against Paulie Malignaggi. Maidana is a heavy-handed slugger, Malignaggi a slick stylist, and Porter is a middle-of-the-road hybrid of the two. Naturally bigger and stronger even at the 143-pound catchweight, Porter will simply walk Broner down with harder punches, forcing the smaller-framed man to fight on survival mode by the middle rounds. Porter wins a comfortable decision in the 117-111 to 116-112 range at the end of the night.
Ryan Maquiñana (Porter Dec.): I think Porter learned his lesson from the loss to Kell Brook and I predict that he won't be as drained by the catchweight as expected. Plus, Porter isn't the stationary target that Broner enjoyed in John Molina Jr. I foresee a tactical but entertaining scrap.
Takahiro Onaga (Broner UD): I think the weight limit takes the fight out of Porter, who’s tough but not going to look good here.
Cliff Rold (Broner Dec): If you've finished puberty, it's hard to find Broner amusing but that doesn't mean he can't fight. That he can, and is bringing another former fellow Welterweight titlist in at 144, is as stupid a catchweight provision as we've seen yet. It will be a factor.
Victor Salazar (Broner Dec): Team Porter says the weight won’t have any effect on its fighter. But I think it will. Porter might want to start fast but if he doesn’t catch Broner early, Broner will win by decision which I think will happen.
Reynaldo Sanchez (Porter UD): Broner has the obligation to put his performances in the ring, at the same level of his mouth out of the ring. We are still waiting for the promises great piece in each one of his fights. Porter has no power, but he is a real welterweight, and Broner not win by KO since 2013. If the catchweight didn’t affect Porter, we believe that Broner will have another long night.
Alexey Sukachev (Porter MD): I feel Broner—with all his skills—is a bit overrated and not fully grown into a welterweight to oppose a natural light middleweight in Porter. Both have comparable boxing skills but Porter will expose Broner's subtle mental weaknesses to outwork him in closing rounds and to get an edge.