Are y’all concerned about Kamala’s early voting lead?

Are you concerned about her lead not being bigger?

  • Yes

    Votes: 5 17.2%
  • No

    Votes: 24 82.8%

  • Total voters
    29

Samori Toure

Veteran
Supporter
Joined
Apr 23, 2015
Messages
20,329
Reputation
6,305
Daps
100,987
every map I've seen shows Trump winning even if he loses some supposed swing states, especially Georgia
Maps or polls? You might have been looking at fake polls put out by Republicans and Russians, because none of the credible major polls that I have seen have shown Trump winning nationally. IPSOS showed Harris up 3% or 4% points nationally.
 

daemonova

hit it, & I didn't go Erykah Badu crazy, #yallmad
Joined
May 20, 2012
Messages
44,427
Reputation
3,596
Daps
73,204
Maps or polls? You might have been looking at fake polls put out by Republicans and Russians, because none of the credible major polls that I have seen have shown Trump winning nationally. IPSOS showed Harris up 3% or 4% points nationally.
maps
 

Arithmetic

Veteran
Supporter
Joined
Mar 6, 2015
Messages
49,660
Reputation
14,576
Daps
263,347




In 2016 and 2020, about 65% of Trump’s total voters voted on Election Day. Everyone I know who’s voted for Kamala has already voted. Are you concerned that she’s not up by at least 30% across the Battleground states?

Both of these two are MAGA based on their timeline, so take their interpretation with a grain of salt.
 

Samori Toure

Veteran
Supporter
Joined
Apr 23, 2015
Messages
20,329
Reputation
6,305
Daps
100,987
Both of these two are MAGA based on their timeline, so take their interpretation with a grain of salt.
Yeah and people also have to remember that Elame Moist and the Russians are putting out fake stories. Here is some actual analysis from early voting in Pennsylvania:

Donald Trump Gets Bad News From Two Early Voting Trends in Pennsylvania​

Published Nov 01, 2024 at 10:21 AM EDT

Early Pennsylvania voting data has highlighted two potentially worrying trends for Donald Trump's hopes of beating Vice President Kamala Harris in the crucial battleground state, according to analysis.

The former president is faced with a couple of potential warning signs as data from Pennsylvania shows more women have voted early than men in the 2024 election, and registered Democrats aged over 65 have so far also outvoted Republicans of the same age group, Politico reported this week.

It is unclear who these Pennsylvanians voted for, but seniors in the state have generally been a reliably Republican constituency and the Harris campaign has made it a priority to appeal to women, through issues like abortion. Republicans do tend to cast their votes more on Election Day, rather than with mail-in or early voting.

Harris' clearest path to victory in November would be to win the three blue-wall battleground states of Pennsylvania, with its 19 Electoral College votes, Michigan and Wisconsin, barring any shock results elsewhere. Trump's most efficient route to 270 electoral votes would involve winning Pennsylvania, Georgia and North Carolina.

https://exchange.postrelease.com/tr...vacy/privacy-policy-outbrain-dsp/newsweek.com
Registered Democrats account for about 58 percent of votes cast by seniors, compared to 35 percent for Republicans, Politico reported on Thursday. The over-65s have cast nearly half of the early ballots so far.

The over-65s historically vote in higher numbers during elections than any other age group.


Trump won more support from the over-65s in both the 2020 and 2016 elections nationally. The former president got around 53 percent of the senior vote in Pennsylvania at the 2020 election while still losing the state to Joe Biden.

Tom Bonier, a Democratic strategist and CEO of the data firm TargetSmart, said he is surprised by what he is calling the "silver surge" in early voting from senior Democrats.

"Our expectation going into the early vote was that it would, in general, skew substantially more Republican than in 2020," Bonier told Politico. "There is no more pandemic, Democrats were more Covid conscious...and Republicans have been pushing early voting."

The early voting figures suggesting Harris is leading among the over-65s is also backed by recent polling.




Donald Trump gets bad news from two early voting trends in Pennsylvania
 

Ozymandeas

Veteran
Joined
Jan 28, 2013
Messages
15,317
Reputation
2,386
Daps
72,526
Reppin
NULL
All Kamala needs to win is Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.

She's definitely winning the first two.

Pennsylvania is less clear but, from everything I've seen, she has the advantage there.
 

lib123

Superstar
Joined
Jun 16, 2015
Messages
6,531
Reputation
428
Daps
13,354
Serious question, have y’all interacted with white Americans socially outside of school and/or work settings? I thought the odds of the election were 50/50 but I’m legitimately shocked how many if not most of y’all were discounting Trump and how white folks would vote.
 

Arris

Superstar
Joined
Sep 11, 2013
Messages
8,885
Reputation
2,684
Daps
32,910
Reppin
Cleveland
Serious question, have y’all interacted with white Americans socially outside of school and/or work settings? I thought the odds of the election were 50/50 but I’m legitimately shocked how many if not most of y’all were discounting Trump and how white folks would vote.
social media/news is powerful and every individual thinks they're above being swayed. Nobody on here wanted her when noise about biden actually stepping down became real. Close to nobody on here thought she was a viable candidate to replace him. When she was chosen there was panic and doom and gloom about the Dems chances

then the news and social media went crazy with trump suddenly being the dementia riddled kooky old man, piling on JD Vance, and any maga statements getting magnified to show how crazy they were

about a month of that and sentiment changed like the snap of a finger
 

lib123

Superstar
Joined
Jun 16, 2015
Messages
6,531
Reputation
428
Daps
13,354
social media/news is powerful and every individual thinks they're above being swayed. Nobody on here wanted her when noise about biden actually stepping down became real. Close to nobody on here thought she was a viable candidate to replace him. When she was chosen there was panic and doom and gloom about the Dems chances

then the news and social media went crazy with trump suddenly being the dementia riddled kooky old man, piling on JD Vance, and any maga statements getting magnified to show how crazy they were

about a month of that and sentiment changed like the snap of a finger

Yeah and aside from social media it seems a lot of people believed the amounts of money she raised quickly was reflective of widespread support.
 
Top