Are y’all concerned about Kamala’s early voting lead?

[daemonova]

every map I've seen shows Trump winning even if he loses some supposed swing states, especially Georgia

 

[BaggerofTea]

every map I've seen shows Trump winning even if he loses some supposed swing states, especially Georgia

I can say with reasonable confidence, Trump isnt winning shyt.

I dont need corporate statisticians to tell me anything

 

[boogers]

i got a few tracks in until this abomination made me turn it off

are they even fukking trying

 

[Texkmot2446]

X is suppressing a lot of exit polls showing Harris clapping Trump’s back out.

Also, Marist Polls (one of the most reputable unbiased polls in the streets) telling it like it is

Home of the Marist Poll | Polls, Analysis, Learning, and More

The Marist Institute for Public Opinion (MIPO) is a survey research center. MIPO is home to the Marist Poll and conducts polls on politics, the economy, sports, technology and more at the local, state, and national level.

maristpoll.marist.edu

I don't trust exit polls because white people will lie and touch that screen for Trump but tell the pollster they voted for kamala to save face.

 

[Adebisi_Said]

In 2016 and 2020, about 65% of Trump’s total voters voted on Election Day. Everyone I know who’s voted for Kamala has already voted. Are you concerned that she’s not up by at least 30% across the Battleground states?

The only thing that's fully guaranteed is that Van Jones will be crying on Tuesday night. He'll be crying tears of happiness or tears of sadness. But the tears will be flowing.

 

[Starman]

I want her to lose.

 

[The Prince of All Saiyans]

Needs to a 3rd option saiyan “OSU sucks” word to @Ed MOTHERfukkING G

 

[The Prince of All Saiyans]

I want her to lose.

and she won’t

 

[BrothaZay]

I can say with reasonable confidence, Trump isnt winning shyt.

I dont need corporate statisticians to tell me anything

And why are you confident. Based on what

 

[Kyle C. Barker]

Uh so were Hillary and Biden and both of those leads dropped by large amounts on Election Day.

The people in those tweets are using percentage leads as the basis for their arguments without considering the fact that more Republicans are voting earlier this year than years prior (2020 especially) will exhaust the number of expected Republican votes on voting day.

Something else those tweeters didn't consider is there have been 100,000 completely new voters in Pennsylvania alone and the turnout for that has been 60,000 Dem, 35,000 Rep, and 10,000 Independent.

 

[Arcavian]

i got a few tracks in until this abomination made me turn it off

are they even fukking trying

I posted this in the wrong thread

 

[lib123]

The people in those tweets are using percentage leads as the basis for their arguments without considering the fact that more Republicans are voting earlier this year than years prior (2020 especially) will exhaust the number of expected Republican votes on voting day.

Something else those tweeters didn't consider is there have been 100,000 completely new voters in Pennsylvania alone and the turnout for that has been 60,000 Dem, 35,000 Rep, and 10,000 Independent.

Understood but the vast majority of Republicans are still voting on Election Day.

 

[Unbothered]

It's like I mentioned before in another thread how early voting and mail-in ballots were going to be pivotal once again like it was in 2020.

 

[IsThatBrothaMouzone?]

A lot of Republicans are showing up for early voting as well so potentially means less of them on election day.

Additionally, most votes from North Carolina in 2020 were Early Voting.

2020 General Election Turnout | NCSBE

Data and charts of North Carolina turnout for the November 2020 general election.

www.ncsbe.gov

Voting Method	Number of Voters Who Voted
Early Voting	3,629,461
Absentee By-Mail	1,001,717
In Person on Election Day	896,815
Provisional	16,025

We'll find out soon enough.

Bingo.

Trump told his people to wait for Election Day in the past.

This year, he told them to vote early.

This is a great example of the media trying to make Trump's position look strong while ignoring context. Journalists, pollsters etc., keep looking at 2016 and 2020 to make inferences about 2024.

 

[IsThatBrothaMouzone?]

she leading in early voting and she’s leading in the polls, with a far superior ground game that is destined to drive voters to the ballot box on election day.

are you trolling?

The only voting bloc she is guaranteed to lose is white men.

She can pull even or probably have an edge with white women and then she will win all the other demographics (brehs, brehettes, spicy brehs/brehettes etc)