Alabama Senate ELECTION: Jones wins!!! Daps + Reps to all

BigMoneyGrip

BigMoneyGrip

I'm Lamont's pops
Supporter
Joined
Nov 20, 2016
Messages
79,838
Reputation
10,955
Daps
315,505
Reppin
Straight from Flatbush
Mantis Toboggan M.D.

Mantis Toboggan M.D.

Drink wolf cola
Joined
Mar 18, 2014
Messages
31,588
Reputation
9,601
Daps
106,472
Reppin
Brooklyn
DrBanneker said:
I guess we might as well get this over with. Moore will likely win and in 2018 or 2020 they will probably have full White supremacist/racial realists running for Congress in many deep red states. After this, the right person could drop N bombs and still get elected.
Click to expand...
Basically the next step for their party is arpaio and David duke running again.
 
Dr. Acula

Dr. Acula

Hail Hydra
Supporter
Joined
Jul 26, 2012
Messages
25,556
Reputation
8,536
Daps
135,373
What The Hell Is Happening With These Alabama Polls?

What we’re seeing in Alabama goes beyond the usual warnings about minding the margin of error, however. There’s a massive spread in results from poll to poll — with surveys on Monday morning showing everything from a 9-point lead for Moore to a 10-point advantage for Democrat Doug Jones — and they reflect two highly different approaches to polling.

Most polls of the state have been made using automated scripts (these are sometimes also called IVR or “robopolls”). These polls have generally shown Moore ahead and closing strongly toward the end of the campaign, such as the Emerson College poll on Monday that showed Moore leading by 9 points. Recent automated polls from Trafalgar Group, JMC Analytics and Polling, Gravis Marketing and Strategy Research have also shown Moore with the lead.

But when traditional, live-caller polls have weighed in — although these polls have been few and far between — they’ve shown a much different result. A Monmouth University survey released on Monday showed a tied race. Fox News’s final poll of the race, also released on Monday, showed Jones ahead by 10 percentage points. An earlier Fox News survey also had Jones comfortably ahead, while a Washington Post poll from late November had Jones up 3 points at a time when most other polls showed the race swinging back to Moore. And a poll conducted for the National Republican Senatorial Committee in mid-November — possibly released to the public in an effort to get Moore to withdraw from the race — also showed Jones well ahead.There weren’t many details released to the public about the methodology of the NRSC poll, but the party committees generally have a lot of money and prefer to conduct traditional, live-caller polling when possible.

">1

What accounts for the differences between live-caller and automated polls? There are several factors, all of which are potentially relevant to the race in Alabama:

  1. Automated polls are prohibited by law from calling voters on cellphones.
  2. Automated polls get lower response rates and therefore may have less representative samples.
  3. Automated polls may have fewer problems with “shy” voters who are reluctant to disclose their true voting intentions.
  4. Automated pollsters (in part to compensate for issues No. 1 and 2 above) generally make more assumptions when modeling turnout, whereas traditional pollsters prefer to let the voters “speak for themselves” and take the results they obtain more at face value.
Click to expand...

In short, when a person receives a robocall they're more likely to say they vote for Moore. :francis:

Dude is going to win.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Top