A Trump Presidency Seems All But Certain As Kamala’s Poll Numbers Collapse. :mjcry:

[Professor Emeritus]

Stfu you bozo ass nikka I don’t have to fukkin lie… she was averaging a 3 to 5 pt lead fukk out of you clown

What is 2.6% rounded up too? You fukkin dumb ass..

You said 5 point lead, not "3 to 5", and 2.6 sure as hell doesn't round up to 5.


Where do you get 2.6 from in the first place? The RealClearPolling average only says 2.3, and it has NEVER been higher than 2.3 this entire race. So you claimed 5-point-lead for Kamala when she's actually hovered around 2.

Wait, did you just switch to using the 538 numbers for Kamala after shytting on me for using 538 for Hillary? So not only were you lying, but you disingenuously switched to the EXACT same polling average that you previously mocked, just because it got you slightly closer to your made-up bullshyt. And the 538 average has varied from 2.4 to 3.5 in the last month and is currently at 2.6, so claiming "3 to 5" is an outright lie for that average too.



To summarize:

You lied and claimed that Kamala was up by 5, when she's only been up around 2 to 2.5.

You lied and claimed Hillary was only up 0-1, when she was up by 5-7 at the same point in the race.

You shytted on 538 as a polling average, then turned around and started using 538 once it helped your case.

You switched from claiming 5, to just claiming 3-5, and then tried to say that 2.3 was the same as 3 to 5.


I don't trust anyone who lies this freely to prove a suspicious point. Agent is a real possibilty here.

 

[Piff Perkins]

I'm going off what dude said in the email and what reporters ( but mainly mainstream reporters and never trump republicans) said about Kamala smoking him in small dollar donations.

Trump always had a bunch of billionaires down to crash for him.

The Polls did tighten and Trump seems to feel good about his chances so maybe he surged in small dollar donations.

fukk the polls the small dollar donations in the battleground states are the best predictor of selection success.

Kamala smoked Trump in September campaign fundraising. I don't think Trump has out raised her once since she got in the race.

Bigger issue for Trump is how the money is being spent. Specifically, how it's not being spent. He has no GOTV machine, he's not paying people to knock on doors, he's not banking the early vote he needs, etc. Early vote numbers are coming in from MI and PA and they look really good for Kamala. Trump can still win but I'm not sure he's had many good days recently in any regard.

 

[Professor Emeritus]

Kamala smoked Trump in September campaign fundraising. I don't think Trump has out raised her once since she got in the race.

Bigger issue for Trump is how the money is being spent. Specifically, how it's not being spent. He has no GOTV machine, he's not paying people to knock on doors, he's not banking the early vote he needs, etc. Early vote numbers are coming in from MI and PA and they look really good for Kamala. Trump can still win but I'm not sure he's had many good days recently in any regard.

Supposedly Elon Musk's superpac and Turning Point USA have taken over the door-knocking operations for him. I don't know how much or how well they're doing it though, the numbers seem to be very vague.


"Turning Point Action and America PAC, the pro-Donald Trump group largely funded by billionaire Elon Musk, are joining forces in Wisconsin — with Musk’s group now taking the lead there in the final stretch ahead of the election.

Hundreds of “ballot chasers” that had been hired by Turning Point this week are combining with America PAC’s operation in Wisconsin, according to four people with knowledge of the arrangement, granted anonymity to speak freely."

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/03/trump-elon-musk-wisconsin-00182441

 

[Wiseborn]

Kamala smoked Trump in September campaign fundraising. I don't think Trump has out raised her once since she got in the race.

Bigger issue for Trump is how the money is being spent. Specifically, how it's not being spent. He has no GOTV machine, he's not paying people to knock on doors, he's not banking the early vote he needs, etc. Early vote numbers are coming in from MI and PA and they look really good for Kamala. Trump can still win but I'm not sure he's had many good days recently in any regard.

You know that bread that he raised went straight to his legal bills

 

[Wiseborn]

Kamala smoked Trump in September campaign fundraising. I don't think Trump has out raised her once since she got in the race.

Bigger issue for Trump is how the money is being spent. Specifically, how it's not being spent. He has no GOTV machine, he's not paying people to knock on doors, he's not banking the early vote he needs, etc. Early vote numbers are coming in from MI and PA and they look really good for Kamala. Trump can still win but I'm not sure he's had many good days recently in any regard.

Another all that bullshyt he's shilling i.e. the shoes the bibles and the watches only makes since before the selection and or if he wins

 

[BigMoneyGrip]

You said 5 point lead, not "3 to 5", and 2.6 sure as hell doesn't round up to 5.


Where do you get 2.6 from in the first place? The RealClearPolling average only says 2.3, and it has NEVER been higher than 2.3 this entire race. So you claimed 5-point-lead for Kamala when she's actually hovered around 2.

Wait, did you just switch to using the 538 numbers for Kamala after shytting on me for using 538 for Hillary? So not only were you lying, but you disingenuously switched to the EXACT same polling average that you previously mocked, just because it got you slightly closer to your made-up bullshyt. And the 538 average has varied from 2.4 to 3.5 in the last month and is currently at 2.6, so claiming "3 to 5" is an outright lie for that average too.



To summarize:

You lied and claimed that Kamala was up by 5, when she's only been up around 2 to 2.5.

You lied and claimed Hillary was only up 0-1, when she was up by 5-7 at the same point in the race.

You shytted on 538 as a polling average, then turned around and started using 538 once it helped your case.

You switched from claiming 5, to just claiming 3-5, and then tried to say that 2.3 was the same as 3 to 5.


I don't trust anyone who lies this freely to prove a suspicious point. Agent is a real possibilty here.

nikka shut up fukk you writing all that shyt for? What do you think margin of error means?

 

[Professor Emeritus]

nikka shut up fukk you writing all that shyt for? What do you think margin of error means?

Margin of error would work AGAINST your point that this race is decided, not for it.


I wrote all that because I caught you in an entire string of blatant lies and have receipts. If you were a honest participant, you would have corrected yourself, but the fact that you doubled down even after getting caught suggests to me that you might be an agent.

 

[I Really Mean It]

 

[I Really Mean It]

 

[I Really Mean It]

 

[I Really Mean It]

National average on September 1st: Harris +3.5

National average on September 15th: Harris +2.2

National average on October 1st: Harris +3.4

National average on October 13th: Harris +2.8

 

[Wiseborn]

National average on September 1st: Harris +3.5

National average on September 15th: Harris +2.2

National average on October 1st: Harris +3.4

National average on October 13th: Harris +2.8

National polls mean nothing the swing states is all that matters

 

[I Really Mean It]

National polls mean nothing the swing states is all that matters

she is still leading in the swing state aggregate, but you’re wrong about national polls not mattering.

if they didn’t offer a reliable bellwether of how a candidate is faring in all states, the polling industry wouldn’t bother administering them.

the specificity if a swing state poll might give you a closer look at how each candidate is performing, but the macro measurement of national polls is a good gauge of voter sentiment.

 

[I Really Mean It]

 

[BuckFilly]

don’t discount north carolina.

florida and texas are in play, too.