British Intelligence put the figure at X 40 what the Chinese Gov't was reporting.
And Chinese residents have reported that the incinerators are running 24/7, and thousands of urns have been sent to funeral homes, a number far exceeding what is being reported.
I heard this too, weeks ago, when the 21m number was first floated.
People saying they might have, a, had multiple phones or, b, got rid of their main one are not taking into account that, if the Chinese government is using phones to track people and you gotta use it just to function in society, they not allowing option a and option b would effectively put one off the grid totally. And for what?
My conclusion is, while i don't believe the 21m number, I'm willing to believe something like 10-15m, simply based off the impossibility of option a and the impracticality of option b.